Trading Signals: IYT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: IYT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Aug. 18, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Transportation Average ETF)
IYT latest price $177.8500 (0.46%) ($177.1100 - $178.1800) on Thu. Sep. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $177.8500(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IYT advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IYT advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IYT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(59%)    IVE(57%)    IWD(57%)    PAVE(55%)    SDY(55%)
Factors Impacting IYT price   IYT will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $176.27(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $174.3(2.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $172.06(3.37%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IYT price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.11%(48%) Average negative next day return: -0.77%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.69%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -2.04%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.94%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.31%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171028

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_28_2017	168.6	172.06	174.3	176.27	176.28	177.31	177.85(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	105	40	93	140	0.24	55%	0.08	86.2	0.9%	0	1.8	74	INF
2	Sep_27_2017	168.46	171.55	173.64	175.61	175.53	176.24	177.04(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	96	30	84	133	0.15	53%	0.08	92.2	0.91%	0	1.8	74	INF
3	Sep_26_2017	168.33	171.01	173.11	175.03	174.86	175.25	176.09(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	75	10	58	126	0.08	53%	0.08	92.5	0.92%	0	1.7	75	INF
4	Sep_25_2017	168.2	170.46	172.68	174.13	174.17	174.81	175.29(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	30	53	125	0.25	53%	0.06	86.1	0.92%	0	1.6	75	INF
5	Sep_22_2017	168.1	169.92	172.25	173.42	173.37	174.47	175.09(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	103	40	92	136	0.05	53%	0.06	80.6	0.92%	0	1.7	67	INF

6	Sep_21_2017	168	169.3	171.66	172	172.68	173.53	174.52(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	115	50	113	120	0.12	53%	0.06	61.2	0.92%	0	1.7	67	INF
7	Sep_20_2017	167.9	168.76	171.07	171.38	171.57	172.27	174.15(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	30	38	82	0.1	50%	0.06	49.2	0.92%	0	1.8	67	INF
8	Sep_19_2017	167.8	168.32	170.43	170.95	171.29	171.83	171.61(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	60	30	52	83	0.07	47%	0.05	44.6	0.93%	0	1.2	66	INF
9	Sep_18_2017	167.72	167.96	169.98	171.05	171.26	170.86	171.72(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10	10	77	0.09	47%	0.05	39.9	0.94%	0	1.3	70	INF
10	Sep_15_2017	167.64	167.56	169.67	170.92	171.21	170.74	168(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-30	-10	-62	66	0.1	42%	0.02	36.3	0.89%	0	0.2	65	INF

11	Sep_14_2017	167.61	167.42	169.7	171.19	171.4	171.66	171.42(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	10	31	136	0.12	46%	0.04	39.4	0.86%	0	1.4	84	INF
12	Sep_13_2017	167.55	167.27	169.34	170.63	170.67	171.69	171.98(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	94	40	73	158	0.13	46%	0.04	40.5	0.86%	0	1.7	79	INF
13	Sep_12_2017	167.49	167.08	168.78	169.8	169.83	171.14	172.13(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	145	50	137	169	0.26	46%	0.03	39.7	0.87%	0	2	67	INF
14	Sep_11_2017	167.44	166.85	168.07	168.77	168.74	169.65	171.09(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	106	40	97	133	0.24	46%	0.04	34.1	0.87%	0	1.9	69	INF
15	Sep_8_2017	167.37	166.55	167.4	168.28	168	168.52	169.31(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	20	44	107	0.17	43%	0.03	27.9	0.86%	0	1.4	67	INF

16	Sep_7_2017	167.32	166.31	166.76	168.02	167.99	167.83	168.63(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10	24	86	0.26	43%	0.04	22.9	0.86%	0	1.2	60	INF
17	Sep_6_2017	167.25	166.17	166.26	167.85	167.93	167.49	167.82(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-16	-20	-34	39	0.43	43%	0.04	23.7	0.86%	0	0.9	45	INF
18	Sep_5_2017	167.18	166.17	166.05	167.6	167.9	168.15	167(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	20	14	43	0.36	43%	0.04	24.1	0.86%	0	0.5	44	INF
19	Sep_1_2017	167.12	166.08	165.79	167.2	167.28	168.38	168.64(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	80	50	90	49	0.19	49%	0.05	24.3	0.85%	0	1.4	49	INF
20	Aug_31_2017	167.03	165.98	165.29	166.37	166.28	167.65	168.01(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	114	60	138	43	0.19	49%	0.04	15.2	0.86%	0	1.2	56	INF

21	Aug_30_2017	166.96	165.86	164.96	165.29	165.21	166.17	167.79(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	89	40	115	9	0.13	49%	0.02	-1	0.86%	0	1.1	58	INF
22	Aug_29_2017	166.93	165.72	165.01	164.46	164.34	164.91	166.54(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	30	20	49	-28	0.28	49%	0.01	-30	0.85%	0	0.5	50	INF
23	Aug_28_2017	166.91	165.63	165.18	164.32	164.12	164.25	165.04(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	11	0	25	-32	0.09	46%	0.01	-50	0.85%	0	-0.4	47	INF
24	Aug_25_2017	166.9	165.64	165.48	164.19	164.26	163.77	164.46(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	-20	-15	-48	0.59	50%	0	-64	0.85%	0	-0.7	43	INF
25	Aug_24_2017	166.9	165.73	165.59	164.06	164.37	163.99	162.6(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-60	-10	-55	-73	0.34	47%		-80.6	0.86%	0	-1.9	39	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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