Trading Signals: IYT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IYT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: IYT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Aug. 18, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Transportation Average ETF)
IYT latest price $137.2600 (-0.39%) ($137.0100 - $137.9600) on Mon. May. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $137.2600(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IYT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IYT declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IYT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(59%)    IVE(58%)    IWD(58%)    VYM(56%)    XLF(56%)
Factors Impacting IYT price   IYT will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $134.31(-2.15%)
Resistance Level   $138.86
5 Day Moving Average   $136.91(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $136.96(0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $138.86(-1.15%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IYT price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.35%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.53%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -2.03%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.53%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.26%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2016	134.28	138.86	136.96	136.91	137	137.4	137.26(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	20	20	34	-23	0.3	56%	0.02	-61.2	1.11%	0	-0.5	40	INF
2	May_20_2016	134.25	139.14	137.09	136.6	136.76	136.88	137.8(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	15	10	34	-41	0.49	60%	0.02	-60.7	1.13%	0	-0.4	37	INF
3	May_19_2016	134.22	139.48	137.15	135.95	136.28	136.6	136.05(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-15	20	5	-76	0.31	58%	0.01	-62.8	1.13%	0	-1.1	36	INF
4	May_18_2016	134.21	139.86	137.31	136	136	136.64	136.96(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	30	22	-87	0.51	58%	0	-60.4	1.13%	0	-0.9	34	INF
5	May_17_2016	134.21	140.27	137.52	136.25	136.18	135.96	136.49(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10	-3	-114	0.62	60%	0.01	-54.5	1.13%	0	-1.1	28	INF

6	May_16_2016	134.2	140.7	137.89	137.06	136.93	135.35	135.69(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-98	-80	-82	-145	0.28	64%	0.01	-41.8	1.14%	0	-1.5	27	INF
7	May_13_2016	134.18	141.11	138.52	137.68	138.01	136.4	134.56(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-130	-70	-123	-152	0.84	64%	-0.02	-32	1.17%	0	-2.1	30	INF
8	May_12_2016	134.21	141.56	139.19	138.5	138.9	138.5	136.29(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-69	-10	-52	-121	0.51	70%	0	-21.6	1.17%	0	-1.9	29	INF
9	May_11_2016	134.21	141.92	139.85	138.75	138.94	139.63	138.22(-1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	40	19	-90	0.34	73%	0.02	-11	1.19%	0	-1.5	37	INF
10	May_10_2016	134.18	142.16	140.51	138.93	138.68	139.29	140.56(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	15	30	46	-79	0.25	78%	0.05	-1.8	1.18%	0	-0.7	37	INF

11	May_9_2016	134.11	142.16	140.89	138.88	138.64	138.25	138.75(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-20	-11	-107	0.23	77%	0.05	-2.8	1.17%	0	-1.3	32	INF
12	May_6_2016	134.04	142.11	141.34	139.56	139.05	138.06	138.7(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-86	-60	-74	-121	0.3	77%	0.02	1.1	1.17%	0	-1.3	39	INF
13	May_5_2016	134.01	142.15	141.97	140.03	140.11	139.03	137.52(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-83	-50	-75	-107	0.27	72%	-0.01	1.6	1.18%	0	-1.7	38	INF
14	May_4_2016	134.02	142.18	142.61	141.09	140.88	140.03	139.11(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-89	-50	-88	-91	0.29	75%	0.02	3.9	1.18%	0	-1.2	41	INF
15	May_3_2016	133.99	142.21	143.26	142.29	141.84	141.19	140.34(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-56	-40	-59	-48	0.23	75%	0.04	10.6	1.23%	0	-0.7	45	INF

16	May_2_2016	133.93	142.18	143.77	143.19	142.92	141.73	142.12(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-60	-47	-7	0.15	71%	0.05	14.4	1.22%	0	-0	62	INF
17	Apr_29_2016	133.86	142.09	143.92	143.41	143.47	142.48	141.07(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-65	-50	-86	-3	0.52	74%	0.02	16	1.28%	0	-0.4	62	INF
18	Apr_28_2016	133.83	142.11	144.15	144.18	144.04	144.12	142.83(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	0	-19	51	0.34	74%	0.04	23.2	1.31%	0	0.3	65	INF
19	Apr_27_2016	133.77	142.09	144.2	144.33	144.24	144.46	145.11(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	10	22	90	0.19	78%	0.05	24.9	1.3%	0	1.2	76	INF
20	Apr_26_2016	133.7	141.95	143.96	144.39	144.11	143.96	144.81(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10	-11	91	0.27	79%	0.03	24.1	1.3%	0	1.2	67	INF

21	Apr_25_2016	133.66	141.81	143.42	144.48	144.45	144.02	143.21(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-20	-16	90	0.27	75%	0	21.3	1.33%	0	0.6	62	INF
22	Apr_22_2016	133.66	141.68	142.95	144.52	144.75	144.26	144.96(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-20	-12	88	0.22	76%	0.02	14	1.34%	0	1.3	64	INF
23	Apr_21_2016	133.63	141.52	142.34	144.12	144.41	144.89	143.58(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	30	-6	77	0.33	76%	-0.01	8	1.34%	0	0.9	56	INF
24	Apr_20_2016	133.64	141.45	141.73	144.01	144.13	145.24	145.4(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	74	60	68	92	0.24	76%	-0.02	14.4	1.33%	0	1.7	57	INF
25	Apr_19_2016	133.67	141.35	141.06	143.46	143.54	143.93	145.24(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	68	20	67	72	0.25	76%		22.1	1.33%	0	1.8	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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