Trading Signals: IWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: IWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 17, 2015 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(Russell 2000 Growth Ishares ETF)
IWO latest price $128.8600 (1.25%) ($126.4200 - $129.4500) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $128.8600(1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWO advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(97%)    IWC(93%)    IWN(89%)    IWF(86%)    SPY(86%)
Factors Impacting IWO price   IWO will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $128.16(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $128.11(0.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $126.16(2.14%)
To recent high   -9.6%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWO price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.9%(30%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.65%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -1.08%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 2.08%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.08%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2016	132.59	126.16	128.11	128.16	127.72	127.29	128.86(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-30	14	35	0.75	36%	-0.11	82.9	1.6%	0	0.9	62	0
2	Mar_16_2016	132.74	125.71	128.04	127.63	127.76	126.99	127.27(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-24	-40	-38	20	0.71	38%	-0.09	85.3	1.6%	0	0.5	62	0
3	Mar_15_2016	132.86	125.4	128.04	127.69	127.84	128.15	126.54(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	20	-13	45	1	38%	-0.11	89.7	1.61%	0	0.3	63	0
4	Mar_14_2016	133.01	125.02	128.08	127.81	127.86	128.53	129.06(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	40	31	81	0.57	39%	-0.09	95.1	1.61%	0	1.1	73	0
5	Mar_11_2016	133.13	124.36	127.56	128.08	127.72	127.53	129.05(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-20	4	81	0.58	38%	-0.08	85.5	1.61%	0	1.2	68	0

6	Mar_10_2016	133.24	123.59	127.1	128.1	128.05	127.18	126.23(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-50	-36	78	1.3	35%	-0.09	68.1	1.6%	0	0.6	67	0
7	Mar_9_2016	133.36	123	126.85	128.53	128.52	127.91	127.56(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-30	-33	99	0.49	34%	-0.1	59	1.6%	0	0.9	73	0
8	Mar_8_2016	133.5	122.32	126.36	128.5	128.61	128.93	127.13(-2.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	20	4	120	0.64	34%	-0.11	49.9	1.61%	0	0.9	67	0
9	Mar_7_2016	133.65	121.69	125.77	128.32	128.18	129.12	130.44(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	84	50	61	152	0.66	35%	-0.08	39.3	1.58%	0	1.7	82	0
10	Mar_4_2016	133.76	121	124.91	126.93	127.1	128.29	129.14(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	88	70	66	153	0.98	35%	-0.09	27.6	1.58%	0	1.7	84	0

11	Mar_3_2016	133.88	120.58	124.04	125.96	125.9	127.23	128.36(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	93	70	70	162	0.77	34%	-0.07	25.1	1.59%	0	1.7	85	0
12	Mar_2_2016	133.97	120.17	123.15	124.94	124.96	125.91	127.44(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	94	50	70	164	0.56	34%	-0.08	20.6	1.6%	0	1.8	82	0
13	Mar_1_2016	134.08	119.81	122.46	123.92	123.98	124.58	126.22(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	78	40	50	162	1.31	34%	-0.12	12.3	1.6%	0	1.7	81	0
14	Feb_29_2016	134.24	119.66	121.67	122.85	122.87	124.01	123.47(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	67	70	37	157	1.62	31%	-0.13	7.2	1.56%	0	1	76	0
15	Feb_26_2016	134.42	119.67	120.88	122.56	122.18	123.38	124.3(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	93	60	70	162	1.98	31%	-0.13	5.1	1.56%	0	1.2	65	0

16	Feb_25_2016	134.59	119.45	119.79	121.81	121.69	121.74	123.27(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	-0	47	116	0.77	31%	-0.13	-1.7	1.57%	0	1.1	51	0
17	Feb_24_2016	134.76	119.32	118.85	121.08	120.91	120.98	122.35(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-0	-15	58	0.83	31%	-0.11	-8.6	1.57%	0	0.9	50	0
18	Feb_23_2016	134.91	119.35	118	120.78	120.78	121.63	120.85(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	50	36	52	0.47	31%	-0.14	-7	1.56%	0	0.4	47	0
19	Feb_22_2016	135.1	119.4	117.34	120.28	120.49	120.84	122.04(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	30	66	25	1.18	31%	-0.11	-11.3	1.56%	0	0.7	42	0
20	Feb_19_2016	135.25	119.48	116.8	118.91	119.35	119.94	120.53(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	17	50	34	-34	0.83	31%	-0.1	-21.8	1.56%	0	0.3	39	0

21	Feb_18_2016	135.39	119.51	116.82	117.42	118.06	120.15	119.63(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	63	140	95	-35	1.39	33%	-0.11	-34.1	1.55%	0	0	48	0
22	Feb_17_2016	135.54	119.62	116.89	116.24	116.13	118.76	120.85(2.1%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	88	160	131	-43	1.15	33%	-0.08	-48.7	1.57%	0	0.3	48	0
23	Feb_16_2016	135.65	119.6	116.86	114.83	114.76	115.97	118.37(2.78%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	59	70	108	-88	1.28	31%	-0.13	-65.5	1.54%	0	-0.3	38	0
24	Feb_12_2016	135.82	119.81	117.37	114.01	113.82	113.49	115.17(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-44	-30	-8	-150	0.88	26%	-0.19	-76.5	1.48%	0	-1.2	36	0
25	Feb_11_2016	136.08	120.29	118.27	114.43	113.84	113.56	113.06(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-99	-30	-75	-172	1.63	23%		-80.6	1.47%	0	-1.9	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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