Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $110.1900 (-0.84%) ($110.1000 - $111.3200) on Mon. Apr. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $110.1900(-0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWN(97%)    IWO(97%)    IWC(95%)    IWD(90%)    IVE(87%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $110.51(-0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.31(0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.47(1.59%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.1
One Month Target Price   > $110.19
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $102.2

$. The price is -0.8% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.7% away from the target price of 110.19.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.48% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2016	107.65	108.47	109.31	110.51			110.19(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	7	55	21.53	43%	-0.04	76.4	1.45%	0	1.1	59	0
2	Apr_1_2016	107.69	108.34	109.24	109.94			111.12(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	10	50	29.98	43%	-0.04	82.5	1.47%	0	1.8	60	0
3	Mar_31_2016	107.73	108.13	108.97	109.16			110.63(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	9	43	28.56	42%	-0.06	90.2	1.48%	0	1.7	67	0
4	Mar_30_2016	107.8	107.89	108.61	108.41			110.32(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	9	-10000	3	26	35.68	42%	-0.07	93.7	1.49%	0	1.8	62	0
5	Mar_29_2016	107.88	107.63	108.2	108.19			110.31(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	7	-10000	2	21	46.76	42%	-0.07	104.7	1.5%	0	1.9	63	0

6	Mar_28_2016	107.96	107.26	107.94	108			107.33(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10000	-6	12	21.1	39%	-0.21	90.6	1.46%	0	0	45	0
7	Mar_24_2016	108.19	107.07	108.03	108.45			107.2(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-4	24	30.92	39%	-0.11	85.2	1.46%	0	0.1	49	0
8	Mar_23_2016	108.31	106.86	107.94	108.74			106.88(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	7	-10000	-0	28	39.24	41%	-0.11	85	1.46%	0	0	50	0
9	Mar_22_2016	108.43	106.62	107.95	108.76			109.22(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	8	36	23.6	43%	-0.08	78	1.44%	0	1	61	0
10	Mar_21_2016	108.52	106.21	107.65	108.16			109.35(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	4	26	29.9	43%	-0.06	72.8	1.45%	0	1.2	64	0

11	Mar_18_2016	108.58	105.82	107.57	107.88			109.61(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	4	42	36.51	41%	-0.06	75.9	1.45%	0	1.3	70	0
12	Mar_17_2016	108.65	105.37	107.36	107.6			108.63(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	7	54	41.72	41%	-0.07	81.7	1.46%	0	1.1	67	0
13	Mar_16_2016	108.73	104.94	107.2	107.06			106.99(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-10000	1	58	37.95	41%	-0.07	82.7	1.45%	0	0.7	66	0
14	Mar_15_2016	108.81	104.63	107.11	107.06			106.24(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	0	73	34.26	43%	-0.08	85.5	1.46%	0	0.5	67	0
15	Mar_14_2016	108.9	104.28	107.01	107.02			107.92(-0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	20	-10000	-3	89	24.42	44%	-0.07	89	1.46%	0	1.2	75	0

16	Mar_11_2016	108.98	103.73	106.53	107.22			108.2(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	1	102	33.63	42%	-0.06	82.4	1.47%	0	1.3	71	0
17	Mar_10_2016	109.05	103.08	106.04	107.12			105.93(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-10000	-3	111	48.53	40%	-0.07	68	1.46%	0	0.8	70	0
18	Mar_9_2016	109.13	102.59	105.73	107.36			106.8(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	2	131	25.63	40%	-0.08	61.3	1.46%	0	1.1	75	0
19	Mar_8_2016	109.22	102.05	105.24	107.2			106.26(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	-10000	3	135	46.19	40%	-0.09	53.8	1.47%	0	1	71	0
20	Mar_7_2016	109.32	101.56	104.71	106.94			108.89(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	-10000	16	148	38.74	41%	-0.05	45.2	1.44%	0	1.8	85	0

21	Mar_4_2016	109.38	100.99	103.95	105.71			107.72(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	44	-10000	12	140	38.18	41%	-0.08	34.5	1.44%	0	1.8	87	0
22	Mar_3_2016	109.47	100.6	103.21	104.8			107.13(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	45	-10000	12	144	28.22	39%	-0.05	32.3	1.44%	0	1.9	89	0
23	Mar_2_2016	109.53	100.23	102.47	103.88			106.02(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	44	-10000	12	141	24.94	39%	-0.07	28.8	1.45%	0	1.9	81	0
24	Mar_1_2016	109.61	99.91	101.89	103			104.94(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	45	-10000	12	142	36.42	39%	-0.1	22.2	1.45%	0	1.9	80	0
25	Feb_29_2016	109.72	99.74	101.28	102.14			102.73(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	3	134	32.01	37%		20.2	1.41%	0	1.2	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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