Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $127.9200 (1.34%) ($126.7400 - $128.2400) on Thu. Jun. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $127.9200(1.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(88%)    SPY(87%)    PEJ(84%)    VT(83%)    VYM(80%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $126.41(1.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $125.94(1.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $125.25(2.13%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   2.5
One Month Target Price   > $130.35
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $125.27

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1.9% away from the target price of 130.35.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 0.84% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2015	123.42	125.25	125.94	126.41			127.92(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	20	-10000	7	59	39.64	44%	0.1	47.6	0.78%	0	2.5	69	0
2	Jun_17_2015	123.3	125.1	125.59	126.08			126.23(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	1	47	32.47	40%	0.06	64.2	0.77%	0	1.3	58	0
3	Jun_16_2015	123.23	125.02	125.53	126.04			126.42(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	8	55	32.8	40%	0.06	79.7	0.77%	0	1.8	58	0
4	Jun_15_2015	123.15	124.94	125.34	125.64			125.53(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	3	47	30.62	40%	0.06	87.9	0.77%	0	0.8	63	0
5	Jun_12_2015	123.08	124.85	125.23	125.5			125.93(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	2	42	23.58	45%	0.07	83.9	0.77%	0	1.4	57	0

6	Jun_11_2015	123	124.75	125.03	125.39			126.31(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	7	34	17.49	45%	0.09	96.7	0.8%	0	2.1	55	0
7	Jun_10_2015	122.89	124.56	124.85	125.03			125.99(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	5	-10000	1	18	42.56	43%	0.08	84.6	0.8%	0	1.8	53	0
8	Jun_9_2015	122.79	124.38	124.71	124.98			124.44(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-1	15	23.93	39%	0.02	89.7	0.8%	0	0.1	48	0
9	Jun_8_2015	122.77	124.31	124.61	125			124.82(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-10000	2	7	18.8	39%	0.07	85.1	0.8%	0	0.6	48	0
10	Jun_5_2015	122.69	124.2	124.57	124.89			125.4(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	6	9	36.63	37%	0.09	81	0.81%	0	1.2	59	0

11	Jun_4_2015	122.58	124.02	124.51	124.59			124.5(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1	-10000	-0	3	25.82	37%	0.07	69.8	0.81%	0	0.4	55	0
12	Jun_3_2015	122.5	123.87	124.56	124.62			125.76(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	4	20	30.77	39%	0.07	53.1	0.8%	0	1.6	68	0
13	Jun_2_2015	122.42	123.63	124.46	124.42			124.52(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	5	27	29.48	36%	0.07	30.8	0.79%	0	0.7	64	0
14	Jun_1_2015	122.34	123.53	124.5	124.16			124.28(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-1	30	35.65	36%	0.06	18.3	0.8%	0	0.6	61	0
15	May_29_2015	122.27	123.42	124.45	124.19			123.89(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-5	35	33.47	36%	0.04	5.6	0.8%	0	0.4	60	0

16	May_28_2015	122.22	123.29	124.46	124.41			124.64(-0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-2	55	18.63	36%	0.07	-7.1	0.81%	0	1	70	0
17	May_27_2015	122.14	123.29	124.26	124.5			124.75(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	-0	67	32.09	36%	0.08	-11.8	0.81%	0	1.1	73	0
18	May_26_2015	122.04	123.24	124.04	124.53			123.24(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	14	-10000	-7	77	44.04	32%	0.07	-11.5	0.8%	0	0	70	0
19	May_22_2015	121.95	123.29	124.01	124.89			124.43(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	28	-10000	3	101	22.6	33%	0.02	-8.3	0.77%	0	0.8	63	0
20	May_21_2015	121.92	123.34	123.84	124.73			124.97(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	5	101	16.23	33%	0.04	-6.2	0.78%	0	1	69	0

21	May_20_2015	121.87	123.38	123.52	124.5			125.11(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	11	101	20.84	33%	0.04	-11.3	0.78%	0	1.1	73	0
22	May_19_2015	121.82	123.39	123.14	123.97			124.88(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	10	69	23.26	33%	0.03	-22.2	0.78%	0	0.9	53	0
23	May_18_2015	121.78	123.4	122.74	123.49			125.05(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	9	29	30.85	33%	0.04	-29.7	0.78%	0	1	46	0
24	May_15_2015	121.73	123.41	122.45	123.03			123.65(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	4	-1	22.06	29%	0.02	-38.2	0.77%	0	0.1	45	0
25	May_14_2015	121.71	123.44	122.27	122.82			123.79(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-0	-10000	9	-28	23.29	29%		-42.8	0.77%	0	0.2	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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