Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 26, 2013

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $115.2300 (0.01%) ($115.1000 - $115.9700) on Thu. Dec. 26, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $115.2300(0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    XAR(79%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    GDX(-6%)    UUP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $114.24(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $112.82(2.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $112.4(2.52%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.8
One Month Target Price   > $115.23
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $110.16

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -2.4% away from the target price of 115.23.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_26_2013	107.84	112.4	112.82	114.24			115.23(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	9	94	19.67	60%	0.14	46.2	0.88%	0	1.8	64	0
2	Dec_24_2013	107.69	112.26	112.25	113.77			115.22(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	-10000	15	72	17.37	60%	0.09	53.5	0.88%	0	2	64	0
3	Dec_23_2013	107.59	112.08	111.84	113			114.78(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	-10000	13	44	37.05	60%	0.09	50.9	0.88%	0	2.1	61	0
4	Dec_20_2013	107.49	111.92	111.57	112.34			113.93(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	15	23	48.77	60%	0.08	47	0.88%	0	1.8	55	0
5	Dec_19_2013	107.4	111.78	111.38	111.6			112.04(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	9	-11	32.87	58%	0.07	34.8	0.85%	0	0.3	41	0

6	Dec_18_2013	107.32	111.66	111.33	111.16			112.88(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	2	-10000	14	-35	52.98	59%	0.08	16.3	0.85%	0	1.1	44	0
7	Dec_17_2013	107.23	111.49	111.17	110.5			111.35(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-18	-10000	-0	-73	32.4	59%	0.08	0	0.84%	0	-0.1	41	0
8	Dec_16_2013	107.14	111.43	111.21	110.52			111.51(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-22	-10000	-4	-75	33.99	59%	0.07	2.6	0.85%	0	0.1	48	0
9	Dec_13_2013	107.07	111.4	111.29	110.7			110.2(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-10	-70	32.98	57%	0.06	13.2	0.84%	0	-0.9	42	0
10	Dec_12_2013	107.01	111.42	111.61	111.16			109.84(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-7	-42	37.71	57%	0.06	34.5	0.84%	0	-1.3	44	0

11	Dec_11_2013	106.95	111.47	111.97	111.51			109.6(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-8	-10000	-8	-7	47.18	57%	0.05	49.1	0.84%	0	-1.5	56	0
12	Dec_10_2013	106.9	111.48	112.32	111.9			111.43(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-2	30	34.95	62%	0.07	57.7	0.82%	0	-0	66	0
13	Dec_9_2013	106.83	111.39	112.39	111.98			112.45(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	0	47	31.24	66%	0.07	54.6	0.81%	0	0.8	66	0
14	Dec_6_2013	106.75	111.23	112.33	111.96			112.48(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	9	-10000	-5	50	36.47	66%	0.08	54.5	0.83%	0	0.9	60	0
15	Dec_5_2013	106.66	110.99	112.22	112.17			111.61(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-8	63	37.93	66%	0.08	46.1	0.83%	0	0.4	58	0

16	Dec_4_2013	106.58	110.87	112.03	112.54			111.53(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-6	72	40.61	66%	0.08	50.3	0.83%	0	0.4	57	0
17	Dec_3_2013	106.49	110.77	111.85	112.8			111.83(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	21	-10000	-1	85	36.93	66%	0.08	50	0.83%	0	0.7	65	0
18	Dec_2_2013	106.41	110.68	111.69	112.83			112.37(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	25	-10000	2	93	43.16	66%	0.09	48.3	0.83%	0	1.1	69	0
19	Nov_29_2013	106.31	110.49	111.53	112.72			113.51(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	-10000	9	102	15.68	66%	0.15	40.7	0.84%	0	1.9	78	0
20	Nov_27_2013	106.15	110.27	111.21	112.28			113.45(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	41	-10000	18	111	29.1	61%	0.11	31.8	0.84%	0	2.2	83	0

21	Nov_26_2013	106.03	110.07	110.89	111.46			112.82(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	-10000	14	84	30.76	61%	0.12	15.8	0.9%	0	2.2	66	0
22	Nov_25_2013	105.9	109.97	110.55	110.77			111.99(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	8	59	22.97	61%	0.11	3	0.9%	0	1.8	60	0
23	Nov_22_2013	105.78	109.91	110.28	110.38			111.85(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	14	-10000	4	42	28.79	63%	0.06	-5.2	0.9%	0	1.8	57	0
24	Nov_21_2013	105.72	109.85	110.01	110.18			111.3(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	4	39	45.59	63%	0.13	-8.9	0.91%	0	1.5	61	0
25	Nov_20_2013	105.58	109.82	109.62	110			109.33(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-5	20	43.38	63%		-8.1	0.89%	0	-0.5	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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