Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 7, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $94.1000 (0.57%) ($93.1700 - $94.1400) on Tue. Apr. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $94.1000(0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    XAR(79%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $93.35(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $92.11(2.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.17(2.09%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.4
One Month Target Price   > $97.86
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $93.06

$. The price is -0.7% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 4% away from the target price of 97.86.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130530

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_30_2013	90.03	92.17	92.11	93.35			94.1(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	8	36	30.5	49%	0.13	-1.4	0.98%	0	1.4	49	0
2	Apr_29_2013	89.91	92.08	91.85	92.99			93.57(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	12	22	20.79	49%	0.13	-14.3	0.99%	0	1.2	54	0
3	Apr_26_2013	89.79	92.04	91.5	92.45			92.9(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	10	-14	32.41	49%	0.12	-29.5	0.98%	0	0.7	51	0
4	Apr_25_2013	89.68	92.1	91.53	92			93.4(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	-10000	17	-17	36.54	49%	0.13	-35.3	0.98%	0	0.9	56	0
5	Apr_24_2013	89.56	92.13	91.55	91.23			92.79(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	-10000	12	-35	41.02	49%	0.12	-50.3	0.98%	0	0.5	53	0

6	Apr_23_2013	89.45	92.19	91.62	90.69			92.31(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-9	-10000	3	-43	55.31	49%	0.12	-57.1	0.98%	0	0.1	55	0
7	Apr_22_2013	89.34	92.26	91.6	90.56			90.87(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10000	4	-52	49.19	46%	0.1	-59.3	0.96%	0	-0.9	44	0
8	Apr_19_2013	89.25	92.43	91.76	90.41			90.61(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-10000	-14	-69	44.93	46%	0.1	-63.7	0.97%	0	-1.2	41	0
9	Apr_18_2013	89.16	92.59	91.89	91.02			89.58(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-10000	-20	-67	58.52	44%	0.09	-57.9	0.96%	0	-2	34	0
10	Apr_17_2013	89.08	92.86	92.15	91.9			90.08(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-25	-10000	-17	-48	77.71	44%	0.11	-43	0.96%	0	-2	36	0

11	Apr_16_2013	88.98	93.05	92.29	92.67			91.67(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-3	-34	58.06	47%	0.14	-31.3	0.94%	0	-1.1	40	0
12	Apr_15_2013	88.86	93.18	92.39	92.78			90.11(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-19	-10000	-11	-43	100.2	43%	0.11	-27.3	0.92%	0	-2.5	34	0
13	Apr_12_2013	88.76	93.43	92.71	93.25			93.64(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	11	-28	41.93	51%	0.06	-16.2	0.77%	0	0.2	46	0
14	Apr_11_2013	88.71	93.48	92.71	92.87			94.02(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-10000	12	-42	32.62	51%	0.17	-17.2	0.77%	0	0.5	50	0
15	Apr_10_2013	88.56	93.46	92.76	92.45			93.89(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-4	-10000	16	-64	50.12	51%	0.17	-22.4	0.77%	0	0.4	43	0

16	Apr_9_2013	88.41	93.44	92.77	91.9			92.22(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-26	-10000	-2	-99	36.83	46%	0.16	-31	0.74%	0	-1.1	41	0
17	Apr_8_2013	88.27	93.52	92.94	91.97			92.49(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-28	-10000	-4	-101	28.89	46%	0.18	-19.8	0.74%	0	-1	39	0
18	Apr_5_2013	88.11	93.59	93.1	92.1			91.73(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-10000	-16	-107	46.42	44%	0.18	-4.6	0.73%	0	-1.8	31	0
19	Apr_4_2013	87.95	93.66	93.32	92.64			91.91(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-10000	-14	-87	37.71	44%	0.17	23.2	0.74%	0	-1.9	32	0
20	Apr_3_2013	87.8	93.71	93.6	93.12			91.13(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-29	-10000	-18	-62	65.45	42%	0.15	51.1	0.74%	0	-2.9	36	0

21	Apr_2_2013	87.67	93.78	93.9	93.75			92.58(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-13	-10000	-8	-27	47.92	53%	0.16	101.3	0.7%	0	-1.6	46	0
22	Apr_1_2013	87.53	93.73	94.08	94.02			93.16(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6	-10000	-5	-7	59.67	53%	0.26	104.1	0.78%	0	-0.6	48	0
23	Mar_28_2013	87.3	93.63	94.25	94.22			94.43(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	3	12	24.16	61%	0.17	79.3	0.8%	0	0.6	57	0
24	Mar_27_2013	87.15	93.45	94.27	94.11			94.31(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-2	19	28.47	61%	0.14	72	0.81%	0	0.6	64	0
25	Mar_26_2013	87.03	93.26	94.23	94.19			94.25(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	2	35	26.35	61%		63.4	0.81%	0	0.6	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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