Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 2, 2011

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 24, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $73.5000 (0.41%) ($73.3100 - $74.6300) on Fri. Dec. 2, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.59% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $73.5000(0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(77%)    XAR(77%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -1.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.295% (StdDev 2.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.98(2.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.66(4.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.02(2.05%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   20.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 3.3% (three month std-dev: 2.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_2_2011	71.53	72.02	70.66	71.98			73.5(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	-10000	15	-10	47.68	46%	-0.13	-18.5	2.59%	0	0.6	46	0
2	Dec_1_2011	71.62	72.07	70.46	70.6			73.2(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	-0	-10000	12	-37	57.4	46%	-0.14	-36.2	2.63%	0	0.5	51	0
3	Nov_30_2011	71.72	72.05	70.39	69.46			73.73(5.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-7	-10000	9	-56	93.81	46%	-0.14	-48.2	2.63%	0	0.7	54	0
4	Nov_29_2011	71.82	71.93	70.36	68.64			69.66(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-10000	-1	-82	58.16	45%	-0.18	-58	2.52%	0	-0.9	35	0
5	Nov_28_2011	71.95	72.15	70.71	68.76			69.79(4.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-25	-10000	-5	-84	59.17	45%	-0.22	-56.8	2.59%	0	-1	39	0

6	Nov_25_2011	72.11	72.46	71.14	69.2			66.62(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-10000	-12	-83	28.17	40%	-0.43	-42.8	2.54%	0	-2.4	28	0
7	Nov_23_2011	72.42	72.96	71.77	70.28			67.48(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-27	-10000	-12	-72	69.73	44%	-0.23	-21.9	2.54%	0	-2.6	29	0
8	Nov_22_2011	72.59	73.26	72.27	71.39			69.67(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-21	-10000	-10	-55	55.41	45%	-0.04	-1.2	2.58%	0	-2	41	0
9	Nov_21_2011	72.62	73.37	72.86	72.3			70.26(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-12	-10000	-7	-27	58.24	45%	-0.19	16.1	2.58%	0	-1.9	50	0
10	Nov_18_2011	72.76	73.55	73.29	72.91			71.98(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-5	-15	53.46	42%	-0.15	41.5	2.57%	0	-1	46	0

11	Nov_17_2011	72.87	73.53	73.56	73.39			72(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3	-10000	-1	-9	78.93	42%	-0.14	45.9	2.67%	0	-0.9	41	0
12	Nov_16_2011	72.97	73.44	73.86	73.49			73.04(-1.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	-10000	2	-10	56.94	42%	-0.12	43	2.66%	0	-0.2	41	0
13	Nov_15_2011	73.06	73.28	73.89	73.27			74.24(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-6	-10000	-3	-15	65.8	44%	-0.08	38	2.66%	0	0.5	55	0
14	Nov_14_2011	73.12	73.12	73.63	73.53			73.31(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-2	-10	61.12	44%	-0.1	43.1	2.68%	0	0.1	56	0
15	Nov_11_2011	73.19	72.92	73.7	73.76			74.38(2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1	-10000	-0	-4	62.46	47%	-0.08	47.1	2.67%	0	0.7	53	0

16	Nov_10_2011	73.25	72.76	73.83	73.8			72.47(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-5	8	72.18	45%	-0.1	59.3	2.72%	0	-0.1	55	0
17	Nov_9_2011	73.32	72.64	74.22	74.3			71.94(-4.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	8	-10000	-2	36	78.81	49%	-0.12	69.4	2.79%	0	-0.3	58	0
18	Nov_8_2011	73.41	72.55	74.33	74.54			75.54(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	8	52	72.28	47%	-0.05	77.6	2.84%	0	1.2	66	0
19	Nov_7_2011	73.45	72.21	73.92	73.71			74.45(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	1	36	67.14	47%	-0.04	75.8	3.04%	0	0.9	59	0
20	Nov_4_2011	73.48	71.92	73.82	73.62			74.6(-0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	9	-10000	-3	45	65.26	43%	-0.05	80.4	3.05%	0	1	63	0

21	Nov_3_2011	73.52	71.48	73.49	73.91			74.97(2.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	11	-10000	-2	50	74.63	43%	-0.04	84.8	3.14%	0	1.3	58	0
22	Nov_2_2011	73.55	71.09	72.97	74.2			73.15(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-10000	1	57	63.84	42%	-0.1	87.6	3.13%	0	0.7	58	0
23	Nov_1_2011	73.62	70.73	72.63	74.09			71.39(-3.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	14	-10000	0	55	110.06	42%	-0.08	82.2	3.13%	0	0.2	55	0
24	Oct_31_2011	73.68	70.42	72.6	74.08			74.01(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	1	62	66.97	44%	-0.05	66.2	3.11%	0	1	63	0
25	Oct_28_2011	73.72	69.8	72.12	73.96			76.03(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	9	67	82.4	44%		58	3.09%	0	1.7	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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