Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 19, 2011

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $70.2400 (-1.79%) ($69.4500 - $71.0100) on Mon. Sep. 19, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.58% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $70.2400(-1.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    XLY(79%)    QQQ(77%)    EWG(75%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -1.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(0%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.29% (StdDev 2.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.55(-0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.75(0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.71(0.76%)
To recent high   -18%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.81% (three month std-dev: 2.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111019

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2011	77.8	69.71	69.75	70.55			70.24(-1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	2	-10000	5	-8	69.22	44%	-0.21	22.8	2.58%	0	0.3	43	0
2	Sep_16_2011	77.96	69.48	69.58	70.12			71.52(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	9	-17	75.77	44%	-0.19	5.8	2.57%	0	0.9	57	0
3	Sep_15_2011	78.11	69.23	69.49	69.32			71.41(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	4	-24	74.21	43%	-0.19	-10.3	2.57%	0	1	61	0
4	Sep_14_2011	78.26	69.16	69.56	68.95			70.42(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-7	-10000	-1	-23	77.02	44%	-0.19	-6.4	2.57%	0	0.6	54	0
5	Sep_13_2011	78.41	69.15	69.76	69.03			69.18(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	-10000	2	-7	84.14	44%	-0.19	-3.2	2.58%	0	0	54	0

6	Sep_12_2011	78.56	69.27	70.06	68.85			68.08(0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-1	10	100.11	44%	-0.14	7.7	2.57%	0	-0.5	60	0
7	Sep_9_2011	78.67	69.36	70.2	68.93			67.5(-2.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-8	21	99.46	43%	-0.22	5.9	2.57%	0	-0.8	58	0
8	Sep_8_2011	78.84	69.46	70.26	69.64			69.55(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-10000	-7	40	71.12	44%	-0.19	8.6	2.55%	0	0	59	0
9	Sep_7_2011	78.99	69.3	70.25	70.26			70.85(3.78%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	10	-10000	-4	50	68.96	44%	-0.15	-6	2.54%	0	0.7	51	0
10	Sep_6_2011	79.11	69.22	69.99	70.65			68.27(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-9	51	71.5	41%	-0.24	-15.8	2.49%	0	-0.4	46	0

11	Sep_2_2011	79.3	69.09	69.74	71.48			68.46(-3.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	12	-10000	-1	51	78.92	40%	-0.18	-31.3	2.49%	0	-0.3	43	0
12	Sep_1_2011	79.44	69.23	69.48	71.61			71.09(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	8	44	86.79	40%	-0.14	-43.6	2.45%	0	0.7	53	0
13	Aug_31_2011	79.55	69.27	69.02	70.89			72.65(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	8	21	70.31	41%	-0.13	-53.5	2.46%	0	1.1	57	0
14	Aug_30_2011	79.65	69.44	68.74	70.2			72.8(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	11	23	67.8	41%	-0.14	-58	2.47%	0	1	65	0
15	Aug_29_2011	79.76	69.58	68.44	69.28			72.38(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	17	10	53.08	41%	-0.15	-63.5	2.49%	0	0.7	55	0

16	Aug_26_2011	79.88	69.86	68.29	67.81			69.11(2.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	-10000	10	-1	84.47	39%	-0.2	-69.2	2.41%	0	-0.2	59	0
17	Aug_25_2011	80.04	70.34	68.34	67.04			67.5(-2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	3	-24	80.73	40%	-0.22	-71.6	2.4%	0	-0.6	45	0
18	Aug_24_2011	80.22	70.93	68.53	66.83			69.2(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-13	-10000	-3	-42	67.7	41%	-0.2	-72.5	2.39%	0	-0.3	45	0
19	Aug_23_2011	80.38	71.43	68.23	67.09			68.19(4.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	-10000	-6	-75	93.28	40%	-0.21	-68.3	2.38%	0	-0.6	38	0
20	Aug_22_2011	80.55	72.11	68.35	67.54			65.05(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10000	-17	-98	72.22	37%	-0.25	-63.3	2.3%	0	-1.2	34	0

21	Aug_19_2011	80.75	73	68.43	68.88			65.28(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-10000	-11	-115	99.2	37%	-0.23	-55.6	2.3%	0	-1.3	32	0
22	Aug_18_2011	80.94	73.92	69.04	69.78			66.45(-5.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-7	-124	110.7	38%	-0.22	-51.1	2.3%	0	-1.2	32	0
23	Aug_17_2011	81.12	74.79	69.65	70.36			70.46(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-26	-10000	11	-135	66.79	41%	-0.16	-48.4	2.21%	0	-0.7	35	0
24	Aug_16_2011	81.25	75.41	70.25	69.48			70.44(-1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-40	-10000	2	-167	79.48	40%	-0.14	-52.1	2.2%	0	-0.8	35	0
25	Aug_15_2011	81.36	76.05	70.81	69.29			71.76(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-33	-10000	18	-184	57.62	40%		-53.5	2.2%	0	-0.7	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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