Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 10, 2011

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $85.5300 (1.53%) ($84.5600 - $85.5400) on Tue. May. 10, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $85.5300(1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    PEJ(84%)    XLY(80%)    QQQ(79%)    EWG(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.82(2.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.65(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.02(1.8%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.1
One Month Target Price   > $87.16
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $82.28

$. The price is -1% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1.9% away from the target price of 87.16.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2011	81.35	84.02	84.65	83.82			85.53(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	5	-9	44.42	50%	0.1	-12.3	1.12%	0	1.1	67	0
2	May_9_2011	81.27	83.9	84.6	83.57			84.24(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10000	-5	-5	45.82	47%	0.07	-22.9	1.11%	0	0.3	64	0
3	May_6_2011	81.21	83.88	84.62	83.8			83.27(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-10000	-13	5	76.5	45%	0.07	-20.4	1.09%	0	-0.5	51	0
4	May_5_2011	81.15	83.96	84.75	84.42			82.83(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-1	-10000	-14	39	91.88	45%	0.07	-5.1	1.1%	0	-0.8	54	0
5	May_4_2011	81.09	84.09	84.89	85.07			83.21(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	11	-10000	-10	74	64.79	45%	0.07	13.8	1.11%	0	-0.7	58	0

6	May_3_2011	81.03	84.19	84.83	85.57			84.3(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	22	-10000	-4	98	56.08	47%	0.09	31.9	1.09%	0	0.1	64	0
7	May_2_2011	80.96	84.2	84.64	85.74			85.38(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	4	105	48.98	49%	0.1	45	1.08%	0	0.9	61	0
8	Apr_29_2011	80.88	84.15	84.46	85.54			86.39(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	8	97	41.03	55%	0.12	49.4	1.09%	0	1.7	61	0
9	Apr_28_2011	80.78	84.03	84.07	85.15			86.08(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	10	72	43.47	51%	0.12	55.2	1.09%	0	1.7	53	0
10	Apr_27_2011	80.68	83.91	83.68	84.7			85.69(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	15	39	44.68	51%	0.11	60	1.14%	0	1.6	48	0

11	Apr_26_2011	80.59	83.76	83.32	83.99			85.18(1%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	9	-10000	13	-4	53.16	53%	0.11	53.5	1.14%	0	1.3	47	0
12	Apr_25_2011	80.5	83.6	83.1	83.38			84.34(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	3	-38	23.46	53%	0.19	40.8	1.15%	0	0.7	46	0
13	Apr_21_2011	80.35	83.5	83.04	83.21			84.45(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-6	-10000	8	-46	30.38	53%	0.12	45	1.14%	0	0.8	48	0
14	Apr_20_2011	80.25	83.36	83.05	82.85			83.83(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	7	-56	47.1	52%	0.14	46.3	1.15%	0	0.4	47	0
15	Apr_19_2011	80.14	83.23	83.17	82.85			82.15(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	0	-64	32	45%	0.11	46.9	1.13%	0	-0.8	40	0

16	Apr_18_2011	80.05	83.19	83.47	82.53			82.13(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-5	-52	58.62	45%	0.11	51.5	1.18%	0	-0.8	49	0
17	Apr_15_2011	79.96	83.16	83.73	82.75			83.51(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-9	-10000	-2	-30	53.71	47%	0.05	54.8	1.16%	0	0.2	62	0
18	Apr_14_2011	79.92	82.97	83.83	82.85			82.63(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-9	-17	58.54	47%	0.11	46.6	1.16%	0	-0.2	56	0
19	Apr_13_2011	79.83	82.79	84	83.29			82.25(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	-10000	-13	11	80.46	47%	0.13	45	1.16%	0	-0.3	59	0
20	Apr_12_2011	79.73	82.62	84.18	83.92			82.14(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-12	50	58.13	47%	0.13	43	1.16%	0	-0.2	61	0

21	Apr_11_2011	79.63	82.48	84.29	84.53			83.23(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-10000	-6	87	41.79	49%	0.14	43.1	1.15%	0	0.3	71	0
22	Apr_8_2011	79.52	82.32	84.21	84.83			83.98(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10000	-2	107	63.66	49%	0.15	43.9	1.14%	0	0.7	72	0
23	Apr_7_2011	79.4	82.13	84.05	84.94			84.87(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	-10000	3	132	69.45	49%	0.19	41.2	1.14%	0	1.2	86	0
24	Apr_6_2011	79.25	81.87	83.73	84.8			85.38(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	6	150	59.05	49%	0.19	36	1.14%	0	1.6	92	0
25	Apr_5_2011	79.1	81.69	83.31	84.5			85.19(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	-10000	10	161	45.47	51%		37.2	1.14%	0	1.7	92	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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