Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $69.2800 (1.27%) ($68.1500 - $69.6600) on Fri. Oct. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $69.2800(1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    PEJ(84%)    XLY(80%)    QQQ(78%)    EWG(75%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.42(1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.98(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.91(3.54%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.6
One Month Target Price   > $69.63
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $63.82

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 0.5% away from the target price of 69.63.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.23% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2010	64.16	66.91	67.98	68.42			69.28(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	5	60	59.95	65%	0.08	81.2	1.67%	0	1.6	60	0
2	Oct_7_2010	64.11	66.63	67.75	68.13			68.41(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	3	61	39.96	68%	0.02	76.8	1.67%	0	1.2	65	0
3	Oct_6_2010	64.1	66.39	67.41	67.95			68.61(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	3	55	43.16	68%	0	75	1.72%	0	1.4	67	0
4	Oct_5_2010	64.1	66.13	67.13	67.76			68.84(2.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	5	53	77.66	68%	-0.02	80.2	1.73%	0	1.7	65	0
5	Oct_4_2010	64.11	65.85	67.13	67.49			66.94(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10000	0	53	56.3	66%	-0.05	90.7	1.71%	0	0.7	61	0

6	Oct_1_2010	64.14	65.72	66.9	67.47			67.86(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	3	63	61.76	66%	-0.05	99.1	1.71%	0	1.4	64	0
7	Sep_30_2010	64.17	65.48	66.64	67.29			67.5(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	9	69	81.82	66%	-0.06	106.6	1.72%	0	1.3	70	0
8	Sep_29_2010	64.21	65.24	66.39	66.77			67.67(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	7	61	53.59	60%	-0.03	100.8	1.72%	0	1.6	71	0
9	Sep_28_2010	64.23	64.88	66.15	66.4			67.48(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	3	57	66.18	60%	-0.02	84.2	1.79%	0	1.5	71	0
10	Sep_27_2010	64.24	64.52	65.9	66.23			66.82(-0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10000	-1	60	48.36	60%	0.02	76.4	1.79%	0	1.2	71	0

11	Sep_24_2010	64.23	64.27	65.74	66.27			66.99(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	6	70	71.68	60%	0	78.6	1.8%	0	1.4	62	0
12	Sep_23_2010	64.23	63.93	65.42	65.92			64.88(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	16	-10000	-0	62	62.73	57%	-0.08	68.7	1.77%	0	0.5	60	0
13	Sep_22_2010	64.28	63.72	65.31	65.93			65.84(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-10000	2	70	65.24	55%	-0.09	61.2	1.76%	0	1	69	0
14	Sep_21_2010	64.34	63.42	65.08	65.83			66.63(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	6	87	64.98	55%	-0.09	51.6	1.77%	0	1.5	80	0
15	Sep_20_2010	64.4	63.1	64.73	65.5			67.02(2.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	28	-10000	6	93	70.67	55%	-0.08	46.3	1.77%	0	1.8	81	0

16	Sep_17_2010	64.45	62.79	64.43	65.15			65.21(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	5	99	61.78	52%	-0.14	46.2	1.74%	0	1.2	67	0
17	Sep_16_2010	64.54	62.58	64.23	64.86			64.94(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	-10000	5	108	52.66	52%	-0.11	42.3	1.74%	0	1.2	71	0
18	Sep_15_2010	64.61	62.45	64	64.57			65.36(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	7	113	63.01	54%	-0.11	41.6	1.74%	0	1.6	70	0
19	Sep_14_2010	64.68	62.3	63.5	64.2			64.99(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	7	106	55.81	54%	-0.14	33.7	1.77%	0	1.6	72	0
20	Sep_13_2010	64.77	62.11	63.04	63.82			65.27(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	3	95	60.55	54%	-0.14	17.7	1.77%	0	2	69	0

21	Sep_10_2010	64.86	61.89	62.67	63.63			63.72(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	2	95	46.97	55%	-0.15	3.1	1.75%	0	1.3	60	0
22	Sep_9_2010	64.96	61.78	62.31	63.53			63.52(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	4	87	52.5	55%	-0.14	-11.5	1.8%	0	1.3	60	0
23	Sep_8_2010	65.05	61.7	62.02	63.33			63.48(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	12	74	58.87	55%	-0.14	-31.4	1.8%	0	1.4	51	0
24	Sep_7_2010	65.14	61.73	61.64	62.67			63.11(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	10	40	48.88	52%	-0.23	-45.5	1.8%	0	1	51	0
25	Sep_3_2010	65.29	61.84	61.35	62.1			64.33(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	-10000	9	16	51.99	49%		-46.4	1.9%	0	1.4	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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