Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 12, 2010

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 11, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $71.6200 (3.07%) ($69.7900 - $71.7000) on Wed. May. 12, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.51% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $71.6200(3.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    PEJ(85%)    XLY(81%)    QQQ(79%)    EWG(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.755% (StdDev 1.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $63.55(-11.27%)
5 Day Moving Average   $68.56(4.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.16(2.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.31(0.43%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   17.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 3% (three month std-dev: 1.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2010	66.17	71.31	70.16	68.56			71.62(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-26	-10000	7	-124	84.62	59%	0.14	-30	1.51%	0	0.1	46	0
2	May_11_2010	66.08	71.34	70.19	68.22			69.49(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-41	-10000	-6	-147	100.03	58%	0.12	-29.6	1.47%	0	-0.9	43	0
3	May_10_2010	66	71.41	70.44	68.51			69.03(5.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-49	-10000	-17	-144	107.71	58%	0.12	-25.3	1.48%	0	-1.1	44	0
4	May_7_2010	65.92	71.51	70.91	69.36			65.36(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-52	-10000	-27	-125	189.57	54%	0.08	-13.1	1.3%	0	-3	37	0
5	May_6_2010	65.87	71.8	71.83	70.62			67.3(-3.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-39	-10000	-29	-70	195.39	57%	0.09	9.9	1.25%	0	-2.8	40	0

6	May_5_2010	65.81	71.96	72.48	71.92			69.92(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-10000	-11	-11	110.34	63%	0.15	47	1.15%	0	-1.5	43	0
7	May_4_2010	65.71	71.98	72.77	72.39			70.96(-3.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-6	12	105.73	60%	0.15	63.4	1.13%	0	-0.8	47	0
8	May_3_2010	65.61	71.95	72.91	72.63			73.26(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	6	-10000	-3	33	53.78	65%	0.21	72	1.14%	0	0.9	61	0
9	Apr_30_2010	65.47	71.78	72.71	72.75			71.65(-2.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-12	40	88.77	63%	0.18	82.3	1.11%	0	-0.1	57	0
10	Apr_29_2010	65.35	71.63	72.72	73.25			73.81(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	3	81	68.87	69%	0.23	85.2	1.04%	0	1.4	69	0

11	Apr_28_2010	65.2	71.34	72.72	73.15			72.28(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10000	-2	97	79.77	63%	0.2	77.3	1.04%	0	0.6	66	0
12	Apr_27_2010	65.07	71.16	72.57	73.21			72.16(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	29	-10000	0	116	101.05	63%	0.18	72.9	1.07%	0	0.6	65	0
13	Apr_26_2010	64.95	70.97	72.45	73.2			73.85(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-10000	15	134	62.72	68%	0.22	69.5	1.02%	0	1.6	75	0
14	Apr_23_2010	64.81	70.66	72.12	72.65			74.13(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	40	-10000	14	118	66.27	68%	0.23	63.2	1.02%	0	1.9	79	0
15	Apr_22_2010	64.66	70.34	71.72	72.12			73.35(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	30	-10000	5	106	79.29	63%	0.23	57.6	1.02%	0	1.7	81	0

16	Apr_21_2010	64.51	70.08	71.37	71.93			72.58(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	-10000	2	111	60.39	58%	0.22	58.3	1.05%	0	1.6	81	0
17	Apr_20_2010	64.37	69.9	71.1	71.86			72.08(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	7	121	50.74	55%	0.22	65.6	1.08%	0	1.5	73	0
18	Apr_19_2010	64.23	69.71	70.9	71.58			71.11(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	-10000	3	122	85.29	56%	0.23	66.2	1.09%	0	1	72	0
19	Apr_16_2010	64.08	69.53	70.77	71.47			71.46(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	-10000	6	134	93.25	56%	0.11	62.6	1.1%	0	1.3	76	0
20	Apr_15_2010	64.01	69.36	70.48	71.23			72.43(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	45	-10000	14	136	55.15	56%	0.22	62	1.09%	0	2.2	85	0

21	Apr_14_2010	63.87	69.15	70.02	70.71			72.21(2.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	36	-10000	12	109	62.04	56%	0.22	64	1.11%	0	2.5	78	0
22	Apr_13_2010	63.73	68.93	69.62	70.24			70.7(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	3	83	42.15	52%	0.17	70.1	1.09%	0	1.8	60	0
23	Apr_12_2010	63.62	68.77	69.37	70.13			70.54(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	4	78	49.31	52%	0.2	74.5	1.1%	0	1.8	65	0
24	Apr_9_2010	63.49	68.62	69.1	69.96			70.25(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	9	77	53.07	52%	0.19	82.3	1.1%	0	1.8	69	0
25	Apr_8_2010	63.37	68.49	68.85	69.6			69.83(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	11	60	54.61	52%		90.8	1.11%	0	1.6	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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