Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $60.5800 (1.59%) ($59.0000 - $60.6200) on Thu. Feb. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $60.5800(1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    PEJ(85%)    XLY(81%)    QQQ(79%)    EWG(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $54.82(-9.51%)
Resistance Level   $61.27
5 Day Moving Average   $59.53(1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.27(-1.13%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.92% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100311

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_11_2010	60.64	61.27		59.53			60.58(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	8	-70	51.98	48%	-0.02	-64	1.29%	0	-0.4	43	0
2	Feb_10_2010	60.65	61.45	60	59.22			59.63(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-8	-105	55.72	46%	-0.03	-64	1.28%	0	-1	33	0
3	Feb_9_2010	60.67	61.65	60.21	59.51			59.49(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-35	-10000	-10	-110	92	48%	-0.05	-61.3	1.28%	0	-1.1	29	0
4	Feb_8_2010	60.7	61.89	60.38	59.91			58.68(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-38	-10000	-11	-119	61.59	46%	-0.05	-55.6	1.29%	0	-1.7	21	0
5	Feb_5_2010	60.73	62.18	60.7	60.34			59.27(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10000	-4	-114	106.76	51%	-0.05	-47.4	1.28%	0	-1.6	31	0

6	Feb_4_2010	60.76	62.44	60.95	60.51			59.04(-3.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-38	-10000	-9	-124	99.17	49%	-0.03	-45.2	1.34%	0	-2	27	0
7	Feb_3_2010	60.78	62.68	61.34	60.86			61.08(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-4	-125	50.25	55%	0	-43.6	1.29%	0	-1.1	34	0
8	Feb_2_2010	60.78	62.82	61.6	61.01			61.49(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-28	-10000	2	-116	71.05	55%	0.03	-41.1	1.29%	0	-0.9	41	0
9	Feb_1_2010	60.76	62.95	61.91	60.95			60.82(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-5	-120	60.73	55%	0.02	-41.4	1.29%	0	-1.5	35	0
10	Jan_29_2010	60.75	63.05	62.19	61.14			60.11(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10000	-8	-117	79.33	54%	0.02	-41.9	1.33%	0	-2.1	30	0

11	Jan_28_2010	60.74	63.22	62.65	61.47			60.78(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-10	-103	93.82	50%	0.03	-38.9	1.34%	0	-2	34	0
12	Jan_27_2010	60.72	63.35	63.01	61.88			61.84(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-10000	-10	-82	72.57	52%	0.07	-28.8	1.39%	0	-1.4	41	0
13	Jan_26_2010	60.68	63.44	63.2	62.3			61.19(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-10000	-17	-72	58.22	52%	0.02	-10.1	1.4%	0	-2.2	37	0
14	Jan_25_2010	60.67	63.56	63.52	63.03			61.8(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-17	-10000	-9	-41	62.3	52%	0.08	25.9	1.39%	0	-2	39	0
15	Jan_22_2010	60.62	63.64	63.8	63.41			61.73(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-14	-10000	-13	-16	83.77	51%	0.08	52.8	1.42%	0	-2.4	50	0

16	Jan_21_2010	60.57	63.69	64.07	63.98			62.86(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-2	-10000	-7	14	98.33	52%	0.13	107.2	1.41%	0	-1.3	50	0
17	Jan_20_2010	60.49	63.66	64.17	64.29			63.91(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	10	-10000	2	32	62.49	52%	0.13	130.2	1.41%	0	0.4	55	0
18	Jan_19_2010	60.41	63.54	64.16	64.22			64.85(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	3	34	46.84	53%	0.18	126	1.41%	0	2	61	0
19	Jan_15_2010	60.3	63.33	64.07	64.1			63.68(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-4	31	68.73	51%	0.08	98.5	1.39%	0	0.4	54	0
20	Jan_14_2010	60.25	63.22	63.96	64.27			64.62(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	2	37	41.87	55%	0.1	91.7	1.37%	0	1.3	63	0

21	Jan_13_2010	60.19	63.04	63.82	64.18			64.38(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	3	38	39.5	55%	0.1	91.4	1.39%	0	1.2	66	0
22	Jan_12_2010	60.13	62.88	63.7	64.04			63.56(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-1	40	45.86	55%	0.1	86.4	1.38%	0	0.6	66	0
23	Jan_11_2010	60.07	62.72	63.68	64.08			64.26(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	1	56	51.64	55%	0.1	83.9	1.38%	0	1.3	77	0
24	Jan_8_2010	60.01	62.49	63.59	64.03			64.52(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	10	77	48.81	55%	0.13	80.6	1.38%	0	1.6	82	0
25	Jan_7_2010	59.93	62.26	63.44	63.61			64.17(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	5	72	56.12	55%		69.3	1.38%	0	1.4	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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