Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 19, 2009

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 7, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $62.1900 (0.83%) ($61.3800 - $62.5200) on Mon. Oct. 19, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $62.1900(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    PEJ(85%)    XLY(81%)    QQQ(79%)    EWG(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.94(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.4(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.78(2.32%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   18.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.2
One Month Target Price   > $62.19
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $58.12

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -5.5% away from the target price of 62.19.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2009	55.73	60.78	61.4	61.94			62.19(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	4	101	38.23	62%	0.22	13.2	1.31%	0	1.2	55	0
2	Oct_16_2009	55.61	60.78	61.1	61.78			61.68(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	1	81	49.03	62%	0.23	16.3	1.31%	0	0.8	51	0
3	Oct_15_2009	55.48	60.74	60.75	61.73			62.3(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	8	71	28.63	66%	0.23	24.5	1.3%	0	1.3	62	0
4	Oct_14_2009	55.35	60.7	60.37	61.41			62.34(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	10	45	38.64	66%	0.24	26.7	1.37%	0	1.4	59	0
5	Oct_13_2009	55.22	60.65	60.13	60.98			61.17(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	5	18	35.46	66%	0.11	29.8	1.36%	0	0.5	47	0

6	Oct_12_2009	55.16	60.62	60.09	60.77			61.43(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	12	6	26.9	66%	0.25	36.6	1.38%	0	0.7	45	0
7	Oct_9_2009	55.02	60.55	60.05	60.29			61.42(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	-10000	17	-15	34.6	66%	0.24	36.8	1.38%	0	0.8	47	0
8	Oct_8_2009	54.89	60.45	59.87	59.61			60.71(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	-10000	11	-59	48.97	66%	0.22	32.4	1.38%	0	0.2	43	0
9	Oct_7_2009	54.77	60.39	59.81	59.16			60.16(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-23	-10000	-0	-92	35.53	66%	0.2	34.9	1.38%	0	-0.2	42	0
10	Oct_6_2009	54.66	60.32	59.92	59.17			60.14(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-27	-10000	-4	-94	52.21	66%	0.2	41.9	1.42%	0	-0.1	41	0

11	Oct_5_2009	54.55	60.22	60.08	59.34			59.04(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-10000	-11	-84	48.92	65%	0.22	46.6	1.41%	0	-0.9	44	0
12	Oct_2_2009	54.43	60.14	60.35	59.79			58(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-10000	-9	-57	66.45	56%	0.18	48	1.41%	0	-1.4	42	0
13	Oct_1_2009	54.33	60.09	60.75	60.15			58.44(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-8	-26	62.85	56%	0.2	44	1.49%	0	-1	49	0
14	Sep_30_2009	54.22	59.98	61.1	60.5			60.24(-1.23%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-4	-10000	-6	1	79.35	61%	0.2	37.7	1.44%	0	0.1	58	0
15	Sep_29_2009	54.11	59.78	61.25	60.74			60.99(-0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10000	-5	30	37.45	61%	0.2	32.4	1.43%	0	0.6	68	0

16	Sep_28_2009	54	59.6	61.22	60.95			61.26(2.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-10000	-2	58	47.93	61%	0.2	33.1	1.43%	0	0.8	74	0
17	Sep_25_2009	53.89	59.43	61.11	61.04			59.83(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-10	81	51.8	62%	0.19	34.6	1.41%	0	0.2	73	0
18	Sep_24_2009	53.79	59.37	61.1	61.46			60.2(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	25	-10000	-7	119	60.64	62%	0.19	44.1	1.44%	0	0.4	79	0
19	Sep_23_2009	53.69	59.28	61.05	61.75			61.43(-0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.2	40	-10000	-2	164	55.05	66%	0.22	53.8	1.41%	0	1	91	0
20	Sep_22_2009	53.57	59.12	60.79	61.82			62.02(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	54	-10000	7	195	36.27	59%	0.21	63.6	1.41%	0	1.4	92	0

21	Sep_21_2009	53.46	58.91	60.37	61.53			61.74(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	-10000	8	182	37.51	59%	0.24	71.5	1.49%	0	1.5	76	0
22	Sep_18_2009	53.33	58.72	59.92	61.19			61.91(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	-10000	11	168	36.82	59%	0.26	75.9	1.49%	0	1.8	68	0
23	Sep_17_2009	53.19	58.45	59.36	60.69			61.66(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	10	138	50.6	59%	0.25	71.8	1.49%	0	1.9	65	0
24	Sep_16_2009	53.06	58.18	58.77	60.24			61.79(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	-10000	14	107	39.4	59%	0.28	67.2	1.49%	0	2.3	64	0
25	Sep_15_2009	52.91	57.86	58.17	59.62			60.54(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	13	68	48.81	52%		59.8	1.49%	0	1.9	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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