Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 25, 2009

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $58.3800 (0.43%) ($58.2000 - $59.0700) on Tue. Aug. 25, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $58.3800(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    PEJ(85%)    XLY(81%)    QQQ(79%)    EWG(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.55(1.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.96(2.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.63(3.09%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.7
One Month Target Price   > $58.38
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $53.51

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -5.3% away from the target price of 58.38.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_25_2009	51.22	56.63	56.96	57.55			58.38(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	12	39	30.21	63%	0.25	74.2	1.67%	0	1.7	58	0
2	Aug_24_2009	51.09	56.46	56.73	56.98			58.13(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	14	16	33.99	63%	0.26	74.7	1.68%	0	1.7	53	0
3	Aug_21_2009	50.96	56.31	56.62	56.32			58.15(2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	4	-10000	7	-7	38.32	63%	0.28	70.4	1.69%	0	1.9	56	0
4	Aug_20_2009	50.82	56.14	56.49	55.97			56.84(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-6	-10000	-3	-14	40.02	61%	0.28	78.4	1.68%	0	0.8	56	0
5	Aug_19_2009	50.68	56.03	56.38	56.12			56.23(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-10000	-4	-10	37.74	61%	0.3	78.5	1.69%	0	0.2	53	0

6	Aug_18_2009	50.53	55.87	56.41	56.3			55.55(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-3	6	39.36	64%	0.28	75.6	1.68%	0	-0.2	55	0
7	Aug_17_2009	50.39	55.74	56.57	56.44			54.82(-2.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-10	19	48.85	64%	0.24	80.1	1.72%	0	-0.6	51	0
8	Aug_14_2009	50.27	55.65	56.77	56.92			56.41(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-3	49	60.23	69%	0.24	89.7	1.68%	0	0.5	59	0
9	Aug_13_2009	50.15	55.44	56.7	57.05			57.59(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	8	65	43.55	65%	0.3	97.2	1.66%	0	1.2	67	0
10	Aug_12_2009	50	55.16	56.52	56.68			57.12(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	2	54	53.63	65%	0.32	99.1	1.77%	0	1	67	0

11	Aug_11_2009	49.84	54.89	56.3	56.57			56.27(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-3	61	36.08	65%	0.26	94.6	1.77%	0	0.7	72	0
12	Aug_10_2009	49.71	54.57	56.2	56.74			57.19(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	24	-10000	3	86	44.78	65%	0.36	90.5	1.77%	0	1.1	80	0
13	Aug_7_2009	49.53	54.19	55.98	56.61			57.09(2.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	29	-10000	6	97	49.36	67%	0.32	81.4	1.81%	0	1.1	79	0
14	Aug_6_2009	49.37	53.75	55.75	56.3			55.75(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	-0	103	52.41	66%	0.28	70.7	1.82%	0	0.7	78	0
15	Aug_5_2009	49.23	53.37	55.64	56.31			56.54(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	7	123	54.11	66%	0.35	61	1.81%	0	1.1	82	0

16	Aug_4_2009	49.06	52.96	55.29	55.97			57.11(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	8	123	41.23	68%	0.37	52.8	1.81%	0	1.4	89	0
17	Aug_3_2009	48.88	52.52	54.83	55.57			56.54(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	-10000	6	125	32.4	68%	0.37	46.6	1.85%	0	1.4	91	0
18	Jul_31_2009	48.7	52.16	54.43	55.28			55.57(-0.41%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	36	-10000	3	136	40.48	68%	0.35	42.9	1.86%	0	1.2	91	0
19	Jul_30_2009	48.53	51.86	54.07	55.13			55.8(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	5	157	67.83	68%	0.39	41.3	1.86%	0	1.5	94	0
20	Jul_29_2009	48.34	51.64	53.7	54.88			54.84(-0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	51	-10000	8	180	47.42	71%	0.39	45.8	1.85%	0	1.3	94	0

21	Jul_28_2009	48.15	51.44	53.37	54.48			55.12(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	54	-10000	10	187	56.19	71%	0.44	47.7	1.9%	0	1.6	94	0
22	Jul_27_2009	47.94	51.22	52.83	53.95			55.09(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	53	-10000	10	181	32.69	71%	0.42	48.1	1.9%	0	1.8	89	0
23	Jul_24_2009	47.74	51.01	52.25	53.44			54.81(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	51	-10000	12	166	31.3	71%	0.44	46.2	1.91%	0	1.9	76	0
24	Jul_23_2009	47.53	50.79	51.59	52.86			54.53(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	-10000	10	138	64.53	71%	0.36	42.9	1.92%	0	2.1	72	0
25	Jul_22_2009	47.36	50.53	50.92	52.37			52.86(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	6	101	47.56	69%		36.7	1.89%	0	1.5	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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