Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 29, 2009

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $51.2300 (0%) ($50.4000 - $51.5800) on Mon. Jun. 29, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.25% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $51.2300(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    PEJ(85%)    XLY(81%)    QQQ(80%)    EWG(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -1.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.125% (StdDev 2.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $51.52
5 Day Moving Average   $50.44(1.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.53(1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.52(-0.56%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   23%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.35% (three month std-dev: 2.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090729

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_29_2009	45.92	51.52		50.44			51.23(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	6	-46	49.2	67%	0.09	0.9	2.25%	0	-0.2	39	0
2	Jun_26_2009	45.88	51.56	50.53	50.1			51.23(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-16	-10000	-0	-63	60.39	66%	0.13	8.7	2.3%	0	-0.3	41	0
3	Jun_25_2009	45.82	51.52	50.65	50.11			51.05(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-16	-10000	0	-65	42.34	66%	0.13	14.9	2.34%	0	-0.3	36	0
4	Jun_24_2009	45.76	51.52	50.79	50.1			49.62(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-4	-70	39.96	60%	0.11	14.6	2.34%	0	-1.3	25	0
5	Jun_23_2009	45.71	51.44	51.08	50.33			49.09(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-10000	-5	-63	40.81	65%	0.09	19	2.4%	0	-1.7	29	0

6	Jun_22_2009	45.67	51.51	51.46	50.61			49.49(-3.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-6	-53	54.88	65%	0.11	28.2	2.61%	0	-1.5	29	0
7	Jun_19_2009	45.62	51.46	51.79	50.99			51.31(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-10000	-4	-42	38.71	65%	0.13	32.5	2.61%	0	-0.1	45	0
8	Jun_18_2009	45.56	51.32	51.97	51.28			51(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-5	-24	34.32	66%	0.09	36.2	2.61%	0	-0.2	59	0
9	Jun_17_2009	45.52	51.23	52.19	51.61			50.77(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4	-10000	-5	-1	71.99	68%	0.13	44.7	2.64%	0	-0.3	64	0
10	Jun_16_2009	45.46	51.17	52.37	51.97			50.5(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-0	-10000	-7	20	53.07	68%	0.13	49.7	2.69%	0	-0.4	64	0

11	Jun_15_2009	45.4	51.13	52.62	52.43			51.36(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-3	44	45.94	68%	0.15	54.2	2.69%	0	0.1	60	0
12	Jun_12_2009	45.33	50.96	52.71	52.68			52.78(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-10000	-1	70	44.09	72%	0.18	47	2.67%	0	0.9	78	0
13	Jun_11_2009	45.25	50.73	52.48	52.76			52.62(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10000	-2	79	62.96	72%	0.18	44.4	2.76%	0	0.9	73	0
14	Jun_10_2009	45.17	50.47	52.16	52.87			52.6(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	0	86	65.03	74%	0.2	37.8	2.76%	0	1	68	0
15	Jun_9_2009	45.08	50.3	51.84	52.84			52.81(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	0	84	35.03	74%	0.18	37	2.85%	0	1.2	66	0

16	Jun_8_2009	45	50.16	51.57	52.83			52.57(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	1	89	46.33	74%	0.13	38.3	2.87%	0	1.3	65	0
17	Jun_5_2009	44.94	50.06	51.11	52.74			53.2(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	8	93	50.62	70%	0.18	44.3	2.86%	0	1.7	74	0
18	Jun_4_2009	44.86	49.85	50.62	52.14			53.18(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	11	80	42.97	70%	0.18	40.4	2.96%	0	2	72	0
19	Jun_3_2009	44.78	49.7	50.18	51.33			52.43(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	9	68	44.07	70%	0.11	35.2	2.96%	0	1.8	73	0
20	Jun_2_2009	44.73	49.57	49.85	50.67			52.78(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	19	-10000	7	53	56.8	67%	0.16	35.4	2.98%	0	2.3	60	0

21	Jun_1_2009	44.66	49.44	49.48	50.13			52.13(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	19	-10000	12	39	70.18	67%	0.09	42	3.07%	0	2.2	55	0
22	May_29_2009	44.62	49.26	49.02	49.26			50.17(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	-10000	5	5	51.67	65%	0	30.3	3.07%	0	0.9	45	0
23	May_28_2009	44.62	49.18	48.8	48.88			49.16(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	1	-10	58.83	65%	-0.02	28.7	3.08%	0	-0	50	0
24	May_27_2009	44.63	49.17	48.62	48.83			49.1(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	-1	-23	48.21	65%	-0.04	36.8	3.11%	0	-0.1	45	0
25	May_26_2009	44.65	49.08	48.65	48.89			50.07(4.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-10000	2	-24	73.48	65%		37.3	3.1%	0	0.9	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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