Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 21, 2008

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $40.6400 (5.48%) ($37.1200 - $40.8500) on Fri. Nov. 21, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.26% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $40.6400(5.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM declines -2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -10% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(90%)    PEJ(84%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(81%)    EWG(78%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -2.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.13% (StdDev 4.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $27.1(-33.32%)
Resistance Level   $47.63
5 Day Moving Average   $42.16(-3.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.71(-9.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.63(-14.68%)
To recent high   -45.8%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 8.84% (three month std-dev: 4.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2008	63.47	47.63	44.71	42.16			40.64(5.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-10000	-11	-145	160.64	41%	-0.41	-52.5	4.26%	0	-1.7	28	0
2	Nov_20_2008	63.73	48	45.71	43.16			38.53(-6.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-54	-10000	-23	-145	140.07	39%	-0.44	-56.2	4.19%	0	-2.4	22	0
3	Nov_19_2008	64.01	48.58	46.87	45.32			41.36(-8.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-10000	-9	-114	96.01	40%	-0.44	-56.8	4.12%	0	-2.2	32	0
4	Nov_18_2008	64.29	49.07	47.91	46.16			45.03(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-7	-97	98.26	42%	-0.39	-56.1	4.02%	0	-1.4	45	0
5	Nov_17_2008	64.54	49.48	48.83	46.83			45.25(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-9	-73	84.05	42%	-0.37	-53.1	4.02%	0	-1.4	47	0

6	Nov_14_2008	64.78	49.95	49.68	47.67			45.64(-7.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-10	-37	98.7	42%	-0.38	-51.7	4.02%	0	-1.5	56	0
7	Nov_13_2008	65.03	50.3	50.5	48.66			49.31(8.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1	-10000	-1	-1	142.36	44%	-0.34	-44.3	3.93%	0	-0.4	56	0
8	Nov_12_2008	65.25	50.51	50.72	48.72			45.56(-5.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-9	-10000	-13	3	75.38	41%	-0.38	-38.9	3.78%	0	-1.8	46	0
9	Nov_11_2008	65.5	50.78	51.12	49.93			48.38(-2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10000	-13	20	73.19	44%	-0.37	-34.5	3.73%	0	-0.9	47	0
10	Nov_10_2008	65.74	51.12	51.19	51.14			49.45(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-9	30	50.46	44%	-0.35	-21.8	3.74%	0	-0.6	43	0

11	Nov_7_2008	65.97	51.48	50.82	52.01			50.62(2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-10000	-6	19	62.31	44%	-0.36	-18.3	3.75%	0	-0.3	42	0
12	Nov_6_2008	66.21	51.57	50.51	52.64			49.59(-3.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10000	-4	17	85.23	44%	-0.36	-28	3.74%	0	-0.7	46	0
13	Nov_5_2008	66.45	51.61	50.47	53.01			51.59(-5.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	8	-10000	6	14	73.88	46%	-0.33	-44.6	3.72%	0	-0	46	0
14	Nov_4_2008	66.67	51.74	50.35	52.43			54.44(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	13	7	79.68	47%	-0.28	-65.5	3.68%	0	0.9	58	0
15	Nov_3_2008	66.86	51.77	50.35	51.23			53.82(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	-10000	20	-19	54.87	47%	-0.3	-82	3.67%	0	0.6	47	0

16	Oct_31_2008	67.06	52.01	50.14	49.44			53.75(4.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	15	-59	113.06	47%	-0.28	-85.7	3.67%	0	0.4	45	0
17	Oct_30_2008	67.25	52.4	49.94	48.12			51.43(5.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	6	-87	77.44	46%	-0.3	-88.5	3.62%	0	-0.2	50	0
18	Oct_29_2008	67.45	52.95	50.12	47.63			48.7(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	-4	-93	94.99	45%	-0.37	-82.8	3.55%	0	-0.8	50	0
19	Oct_28_2008	67.7	53.82	50.3	48			48.45(8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-11	-101	114.98	44%	-0.37	-75.6	3.56%	0	-0.9	44	0
20	Oct_27_2008	67.95	54.76	50.97	48.94			44.86(-4.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-23	-96	99.42	41%	-0.44	-72.4	3.4%	0	-1.6	37	0

21	Oct_24_2008	68.25	55.78	52.2	50.91			47.17(-3.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-12	-66	105.75	41%	-0.42	-67	3.37%	0	-1.3	35	0
22	Oct_23_2008	68.54	56.93	52.79	51.96			48.99(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-11	-77	133.2	43%	-0.38	-64.3	3.35%	0	-1.2	34	0
23	Oct_22_2008	68.8	57.97	52.97	52.91			50.51(-5.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	0	-95	91.86	44%	-0.33	-61.3	3.34%	0	-1.1	34	0
24	Oct_21_2008	69.03	58.93	53.38	52.89			53.18(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	-10000	-5	-133	83.01	45%	-0.3	-59.3	3.31%	0	-0.8	33	0
25	Oct_20_2008	69.24	59.79	53.62	53.33			54.69(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	-10000	-5	-161	82.67	45%		-56.5	3.3%	0	-0.7	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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