Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 12, 2008

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $45.5600 (-5.83%) ($45.3200 - $48.3800) on Wed. Nov. 12, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.78% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $45.5600(-5.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(90%)    PEJ(84%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(82%)    EWG(78%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -1.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.89% (StdDev 3.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.3%

Resistance Level   $50.51
5 Day Moving Average   $48.72(-6.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.72(-10.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.51(-9.8%)
To recent high   -39.5%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 5.48% (three month std-dev: 3.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2008	65.25	50.51	50.72	48.72			45.56(-5.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-9	-10000	-13	3	75.38	41%	-0.38	-38.9	3.78%	0	-1.8	46	0
2	Nov_11_2008	65.5	50.78	51.12	49.93			48.38(-2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10000	-13	20	73.19	44%	-0.37	-34.5	3.73%	0	-0.9	47	0
3	Nov_10_2008	65.74	51.12	51.19	51.14			49.45(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-9	30	50.46	44%	-0.35	-21.8	3.74%	0	-0.6	43	0
4	Nov_7_2008	65.97	51.48	50.82	52.01			50.62(2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-10000	-6	19	62.31	44%	-0.36	-18.3	3.75%	0	-0.3	42	0
5	Nov_6_2008	66.21	51.57	50.51	52.64			49.59(-3.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10000	-4	17	85.23	44%	-0.36	-28	3.74%	0	-0.7	46	0

6	Nov_5_2008	66.45	51.61	50.47	53.01			51.59(-5.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	8	-10000	6	14	73.88	46%	-0.33	-44.6	3.72%	0	-0	46	0
7	Nov_4_2008	66.67	51.74	50.35	52.43			54.44(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	13	7	79.68	47%	-0.28	-65.5	3.68%	0	0.9	58	0
8	Nov_3_2008	66.86	51.77	50.35	51.23			53.82(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	-10000	20	-19	54.87	47%	-0.3	-82	3.67%	0	0.6	47	0
9	Oct_31_2008	67.06	52.01	50.14	49.44			53.75(4.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	15	-59	113.06	47%	-0.28	-85.7	3.67%	0	0.4	45	0
10	Oct_30_2008	67.25	52.4	49.94	48.12			51.43(5.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	6	-87	77.44	46%	-0.3	-88.5	3.62%	0	-0.2	50	0

11	Oct_29_2008	67.45	52.95	50.12	47.63			48.7(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	-4	-93	94.99	45%	-0.37	-82.8	3.55%	0	-0.8	50	0
12	Oct_28_2008	67.7	53.82	50.3	48			48.45(8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-11	-101	114.98	44%	-0.37	-75.6	3.56%	0	-0.9	44	0
13	Oct_27_2008	67.95	54.76	50.97	48.94			44.86(-4.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-23	-96	99.42	41%	-0.44	-72.4	3.4%	0	-1.6	37	0
14	Oct_24_2008	68.25	55.78	52.2	50.91			47.17(-3.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-12	-66	105.75	41%	-0.42	-67	3.37%	0	-1.3	35	0
15	Oct_23_2008	68.54	56.93	52.79	51.96			48.99(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-11	-77	133.2	43%	-0.38	-64.3	3.35%	0	-1.2	34	0

16	Oct_22_2008	68.8	57.97	52.97	52.91			50.51(-5.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	0	-95	91.86	44%	-0.33	-61.3	3.34%	0	-1.1	34	0
17	Oct_21_2008	69.03	58.93	53.38	52.89			53.18(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	-10000	-5	-133	83.01	45%	-0.3	-59.3	3.31%	0	-0.8	33	0
18	Oct_20_2008	69.24	59.79	53.62	53.33			54.69(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	-10000	-5	-161	82.67	45%	-0.29	-56.5	3.3%	0	-0.7	34	0
19	Oct_17_2008	69.44	60.63	54.05	53.33			52.45(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-10000	0	-169	131.85	44%	-0.33	-51	3.26%	0	-1	35	0
20	Oct_16_2008	69.67	61.73	55.01	53.79			53.71(6.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-40	-10000	9	-186	207.61	45%	-0.29	-50.3	3.25%	0	-1	32	0

21	Oct_15_2008	69.87	62.63	55.93	53.04			50.41(-8.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-64	-10000	-9	-227	109.15	42%	-0.33	-54.5	3.17%	0	-1.6	27	0
22	Oct_14_2008	70.1	63.55	57.55	53.85			55.38(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-59	-10000	-1	-231	131.48	45%	-0.21	-57.4	2.98%	0	-1.1	31	0
23	Oct_13_2008	70.25	64.35	58.74	53.94			56.98(8.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-66	-10000	-7	-241	128.73	45%	-0.21	-59.5	2.97%	0	-1	31	0
24	Oct_10_2008	70.4	64.97	59.52	54.48			52.45(4.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-89	-10000	-26	-277	205.09	40%	-0.31	-60.6	2.76%	0	-1.8	20	0
25	Oct_9_2008	70.62	66	61.32	56.53			49.99(-8.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-92	-10000	-34	-264	154.56	36%		-58.3	2.69%	0	-2.5	12	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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