Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 8, 2008

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 7, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $54.4600 (-2.4%) ($53.5100 - $56.9500) on Wed. Oct. 8, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.52% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $54.4600(-2.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM declines -4.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -9.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    PEJ(84%)    XLY(84%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(79%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -1.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(6%)    LQD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.26% (StdDev 2.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $46.55(-14.52%)
Resistance Level   $67.16
5 Day Moving Average   $59.25(-8.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.4(-14.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.16(-18.91%)
To recent high   -27.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 8.06% (three month std-dev: 2.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20081108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2008	70.85	67.16	63.4	59.25			54.46(-2.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-83	-10000	-32	-235	173.76	42%	-0.27	-58.2	2.52%	0	-2.3	23	0
2	Oct_7_2008	71.04	68.07	65	61.76			55.8(-6.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-68	-10000	-30	-182	152.29	42%	-0.27	-58.1	2.55%	0	-2.7	35	0
3	Oct_6_2008	71.23	68.88	66.58	64.2			59.72(-4.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-10000	-13	-139	172.3	45%	-0.2	-59.3	2.43%	0	-2.5	35	0
4	Oct_3_2008	71.37	69.55	67.84	65.27			62.7(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-44	-10000	-20	-115	118.87	47%	-0.17	-65.4	2.38%	0	-2.3	43	0
5	Oct_2_2008	71.49	70.03	69.06	66.86			63.58(-5.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-32	-10000	-17	-76	116.14	46%	-0.14	-65.2	2.37%	0	-2.5	39	0

6	Oct_1_2008	71.59	70.47	69.93	68.2			67.02(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-7	-48	69.57	48%	-0.08	-62.1	2.32%	0	-1.5	44	0
7	Sep_30_2008	71.65	70.83	70.07	68.78			68(4.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-7	-49	108.27	48%	-0.07	-53.7	2.31%	0	-1.3	46	0
8	Sep_29_2008	71.7	71.12	70.38	69.38			65.05(-7.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-23	-10000	-17	-42	150	46%	-0.1	-44.4	2.24%	0	-2.8	42	0
9	Sep_26_2008	71.77	71.58	70.86	70.76			70.63(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-12	-26	94.65	49%	-0.01	-34.2	2.02%	0	-0.6	47	0
10	Sep_25_2008	71.78	71.77	71.01	71.64			70.3(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-10000	-4	-0	115.33	49%	-0.01	-13.7	2.04%	0	-0.8	48	0

11	Sep_24_2008	71.79	71.91	71.17	71.94			69.94(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	7	-10000	6	11	91.77	48%	-0.04	-8.9	2.05%	0	-1.1	47	0
12	Sep_23_2008	71.82	72.03	71.34	71.94			70.99(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	0	-11	92.9	48%	-0.03	-18.1	2.05%	0	-0.6	44	0
13	Sep_22_2008	71.84	72.09	71.33	71.51			71.95(-4.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	8	-19	98.35	48%	0	-24.4	2.04%	0	-0.1	46	0
14	Sep_19_2008	71.84	72.17	71.36	70.92			75(4.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.4	-4	-10000	8	-39	138.36	49%	0.03	-36.7	1.99%	0	1.6	51	0
15	Sep_18_2008	71.82	72.01	70.98	70.37			71.8(5.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-18	-10000	-0	-70	355.12	46%	0.01	-58.1	1.91%	0	-0.1	43	0

16	Sep_17_2008	71.81	72.07	70.96	70.4			67.8(-4.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-31	-10000	-12	-86	266.08	41%	-0.06	-62.3	1.76%	0	-2.7	36	0
17	Sep_16_2008	71.85	72.34	71.6	71.13			71(2.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-10000	1	-58	252.24	44%	-0.03	-68.4	1.67%	0	-1	47	0
18	Sep_15_2008	71.87	72.5	71.88	71.09			69.01(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-24	-10000	-12	-59	168.64	41%	-0.04	-71.9	1.64%	0	-2.7	41	0
19	Sep_12_2008	71.9	72.81	72.38	71.79			72.25(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	2	-36	117.71	47%	0.01	-58.7	1.56%	0	-0.5	44	0
20	Sep_11_2008	71.89	72.95	72.59	71.66			71.92(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	0	-30	144.29	45%	0.03	-42.4	1.55%	0	-0.8	50	0

21	Sep_10_2008	71.87	73.08	72.7	71.64			71.47(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-10	-34	126.87	45%	0.01	-34.9	1.57%	0	-1.3	45	0
22	Sep_9_2008	71.86	73.23	72.79	72.18			70.81(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-11	-23	132.38	45%	-0.01	-15.6	1.57%	0	-2	43	0
23	Sep_8_2008	71.87	73.44	72.95	72.79			72.48(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-5	-13	148.1	47%	0.01	14.9	1.54%	0	-0.8	43	0
24	Sep_5_2008	71.86	73.44	73.07	73.07			71.64(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-10	-13	122.3	47%	0	29.1	1.58%	0	-1.7	36	0
25	Sep_4_2008	71.86	73.48	73.15	73.64			71.82(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-5	-10000	-4	-9	126.7	47%		42.6	1.61%	0	-1.5	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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