Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 18, 2008

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $71.8000 (5.9%) ($67.1600 - $72.1500) on Thu. Sep. 18, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.91% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $71.8000(5.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    PEJ(84%)    XLY(84%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(79%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(5%)    LQD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.955% (StdDev 1.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $66.42(-7.49%)
Resistance Level   $72.01
5 Day Moving Average   $70.37(2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.98(1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.01(-0.29%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.22% (three month std-dev: 1.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2008	71.82	72.01	70.98	70.37			71.8(5.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-18	-10000	-0	-70	355.12	46%	0.01	-58.1	1.91%	0	-0.1	43	0
2	Sep_17_2008	71.81	72.07	70.96	70.4			67.8(-4.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-31	-10000	-12	-86	266.08	41%	-0.06	-62.3	1.76%	0	-2.7	36	0
3	Sep_16_2008	71.85	72.34	71.6	71.13			71(2.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-10000	1	-58	252.24	44%	-0.03	-68.4	1.67%	0	-1	47	0
4	Sep_15_2008	71.87	72.5	71.88	71.09			69.01(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-24	-10000	-12	-59	168.64	41%	-0.04	-71.9	1.64%	0	-2.7	41	0
5	Sep_12_2008	71.9	72.81	72.38	71.79			72.25(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	2	-36	117.71	47%	0.01	-58.7	1.56%	0	-0.5	44	0

6	Sep_11_2008	71.89	72.95	72.59	71.66			71.92(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	0	-30	144.29	45%	0.03	-42.4	1.55%	0	-0.8	50	0
7	Sep_10_2008	71.87	73.08	72.7	71.64			71.47(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-10	-34	126.87	45%	0.01	-34.9	1.57%	0	-1.3	45	0
8	Sep_9_2008	71.86	73.23	72.79	72.18			70.81(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-11	-23	132.38	45%	-0.01	-15.6	1.57%	0	-2	43	0
9	Sep_8_2008	71.87	73.44	72.95	72.79			72.48(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-5	-13	148.1	47%	0.01	14.9	1.54%	0	-0.8	43	0
10	Sep_5_2008	71.86	73.44	73.07	73.07			71.64(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-10	-13	122.3	47%	0	29.1	1.58%	0	-1.7	36	0

11	Sep_4_2008	71.86	73.48	73.15	73.64			71.82(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-5	-10000	-4	-9	126.7	47%	0.01	42.6	1.61%	0	-1.5	36	0
12	Sep_3_2008	71.85	73.52	73.28	73.88			74.15(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	-10000	7	-6	96.28	50%	0.07	53.6	1.56%	0	0.6	47	0
13	Sep_2_2008	71.8	73.42	73.15	73.49			73.85(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	6	-25	112.6	50%	0.13	45.2	1.56%	0	0.4	47	0
14	Aug_29_2008	71.71	73.27	73.16	73.13			73.87(-0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-10000	1	-41	83.92	50%	0.04	36.9	1.56%	0	0.5	45	0
15	Aug_28_2008	71.68	73.16	73.25	73.09			74.51(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	8	-31	75.51	50%	0.07	37.6	1.56%	0	1	56	0

16	Aug_27_2008	71.63	73	73.3	72.62			73.03(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-8	-10000	0	-30	62.03	48%	0.03	33	1.54%	0	0	59	0
17	Aug_26_2008	71.61	72.93	73.45	72.61			72.17(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-3	-21	53.87	48%	0.01	30.7	1.54%	0	-0.5	51	0
18	Aug_25_2008	71.6	72.9	73.67	72.76			72.06(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-7	-8	88.26	48%	0.01	29.9	1.55%	0	-0.5	53	0
19	Aug_22_2008	71.59	72.79	73.96	73.17			73.68(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3	-10000	-5	25	77.92	50%	0.04	35.4	1.54%	0	0.5	64	0
20	Aug_21_2008	71.56	72.65	73.91	73.46			72.16(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-11	41	83.53	48%	0.01	44.6	1.52%	0	-0.3	56	0

21	Aug_20_2008	71.55	72.56	73.87	74.09			73(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-6	63	101.31	48%	0.03	60.1	1.52%	0	0.3	60	0
22	Aug_19_2008	71.53	72.51	73.83	74.4			72.9(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	16	-10000	-5	78	105.13	48%	0.07	76	1.52%	0	0.2	57	0
23	Aug_18_2008	71.48	72.44	73.76	74.68			74.13(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-3	95	97.84	50%	0.08	91.9	1.51%	0	0.9	65	0
24	Aug_15_2008	71.42	72.22	73.45	74.83			75.1(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	7	113	98.17	50%	0.08	100.4	1.5%	0	1.5	76	0
25	Aug_14_2008	71.36	71.91	73.08	74.44			75.3(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	-10000	15	110	118.19	50%		98.8	1.5%	0	1.8	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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