Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 1, 2008

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $72.7500 (1.89%) ($71.2300 - $72.8600) on Thu. May. 1, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $72.7500(1.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    PEJ(84%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(79%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.03(1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.6(1.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.92(2.58%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.7
One Month Target Price   > $75.73
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $69.33

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 4.1% away from the target price of 75.73.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.52% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080601

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_1_2008	70.69	70.92	71.6	72.03			72.75(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	5	60	55.32	61%	-0.07	52	1.69%	0	1.7	72	0
2	Apr_30_2008	70.74	70.83	71.41	71.73			71.4(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	3	53	62.32	61%	-0.07	57.4	1.71%	0	0.6	55	0
3	Apr_29_2008	70.79	70.8	71.39	71.56			71.74(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	4	56	40.94	61%	-0.1	59.3	1.72%	0	0.9	60	0
4	Apr_28_2008	70.86	70.75	71.14	71.31			72.38(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	2	41	35.47	63%	-0.1	50.3	1.72%	0	1.5	55	0
5	Apr_25_2008	70.93	70.55	70.76	71.17			71.9(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	1	26	56.25	63%	-0.08	38.9	1.73%	0	1.2	53	0

6	Apr_24_2008	70.99	70.37	70.45	71.13			71.23(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	1	15	83.23	63%	-0.08	41.5	1.73%	0	0.8	50	0
7	Apr_23_2008	71.05	70.26	70.37	71.06			70.55(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-2	9	48.06	65%	-0.06	44.9	1.73%	0	0.3	46	0
8	Apr_22_2008	71.09	70.22	70.3	71.19			70.5(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	6	-10000	5	10	81.35	65%	-0.08	55.7	1.78%	0	0.3	47	0
9	Apr_21_2008	71.15	70.2	70.34	70.9			71.68(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	10	5	40.02	65%	-0.07	69.6	1.77%	0	1.3	54	0
10	Apr_18_2008	71.2	70.11	70.24	70.27			71.67(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	8	-10000	10	-0	70.74	65%	-0.07	72.1	1.78%	0	1.4	67	0

11	Apr_17_2008	71.25	69.9	70.16	69.68			70.92(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	-10000	1	-7	48.82	62%	-0.08	51.8	1.78%	0	0.9	65	0
12	Apr_16_2008	71.31	69.76	70.17	69.59			71.2(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	3	-10000	4	1	72.39	62%	-0.04	54.7	1.81%	0	1.2	60	0
13	Apr_15_2008	71.34	69.61	70.13	69.31			69.01(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-6	-5	45.95	58%	-0.06	51.7	1.77%	0	-0.5	48	0
14	Apr_14_2008	71.38	69.44	70.31	69.71			68.53(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-8	8	57.85	58%	-0.1	49.3	1.78%	0	-0.6	42	0
15	Apr_11_2008	71.45	69.34	70.33	70.2			68.74(-2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-10000	-8	14	79.55	56%	-0.03	54.3	1.78%	0	-0.4	45	0

16	Apr_10_2008	71.47	69.31	70.32	70.68			70.47(0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10000	-2	33	56.07	59%	-0.06	66.9	1.77%	0	0.7	67	0
17	Apr_9_2008	71.51	69.12	70.19	70.82			69.81(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-4	41	71.77	59%	-0.07	62.2	1.78%	0	0.4	61	0
18	Apr_8_2008	71.56	68.99	70.18	71.05			71.02(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-10000	1	58	49.57	55%	-0.06	64	1.77%	0	1.1	67	0
19	Apr_7_2008	71.6	68.68	70.09	71			70.96(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-10000	8	82	40.31	55%	-0.07	50	1.81%	0	1.1	77	0
20	Apr_4_2008	71.65	68.43	69.98	70.47			71.16(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	9	87	61.54	53%	-0.08	36.7	1.81%	0	1.4	70	0

21	Apr_3_2008	71.71	68.17	69.62	69.88			71.15(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	6	68	57.23	53%	-0.11	19.5	1.85%	0	1.6	61	0
22	Apr_2_2008	71.79	68.02	69.31	69.46			70.96(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	4	65	58.95	53%	-0.11	7.2	1.85%	0	1.6	64	0
23	Apr_1_2008	71.87	67.84	69.01	69.2			70.79(3.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	2	61	65.93	53%	-0.07	-6.6	1.86%	0	1.8	60	0
24	Mar_31_2008	71.92	67.7	68.45	69.09			68.29(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-10000	-5	62	64.27	50%	-0.12	-17	1.81%	0	0.4	63	0
25	Mar_28_2008	72.01	67.71	68.26	69.43			68.19(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	21	-10000	2	77	48.87	50%		-12.4	1.81%	0	0.3	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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