Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 3, 2007

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $84.3600 (0.44%) ($84.0300 - $84.5100) on Tue. Jul. 3, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $84.3600(0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(90%)    PEJ(83%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(79%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-12%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.66(0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.21(1.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.18(1.42%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.4
One Month Target Price   > $87.82
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $83.78

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 4.1% away from the target price of 87.82.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070803

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_3_2007	81.33	83.18	83.21	83.66			84.36(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	14	5	34.59	57%	0.05	-16.5	0.92%	0	1.4	59	0
2	Jul_2_2007	81.29	83.17	83.19	83.13			83.99(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	-10000	8	-0	56.34	57%	0.05	-26.9	0.92%	0	0.9	63	0
3	Jun_29_2007	81.25	83.2	83.18	82.83			82.96(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	-10000	0	-7	110.2	55%	0.02	-23.9	0.91%	0	-0.3	51	0
4	Jun_28_2007	81.23	83.28	83.31	82.82			83.42(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	1	-10000	-0	3	87.87	55%	0.02	-11.4	0.9%	0	0.1	53	0
5	Jun_27_2007	81.21	83.31	83.3	82.84			83.55(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	-10000	4	16	127.81	55%	0.04	-5.2	0.91%	0	0.2	59	0

6	Jun_26_2007	81.18	83.32	83.21	82.71			81.74(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-15	-3	91.44	51%	0.02	-7	0.87%	0	-1.6	43	0
7	Jun_25_2007	81.16	83.41	83.22	83.24			82.49(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-10000	-10	2	108.7	53%	0.02	11.9	0.86%	0	-1	41	0
8	Jun_22_2007	81.14	83.42	83.27	83.58			82.92(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-10000	-8	4	94.01	53%	0.04	26.6	0.86%	0	-0.5	41	0
9	Jun_21_2007	81.11	83.38	83.28	83.86			83.49(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10000	1	7	97.11	56%	0.05	39.5	0.85%	0	0.1	44	0
10	Jun_20_2007	81.07	83.36	83.12	83.83			82.93(-1.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-1	-10000	2	-11	86.95	56%	0.05	46.1	0.88%	0	-0.4	44	0

11	Jun_19_2007	81.03	83.38	83.18	83.76			84.39(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	-10000	16	-12	65.58	62%	0.07	56.1	0.85%	0	1.1	52	0
12	Jun_18_2007	80.97	83.3	83.16	83.19			84.17(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	7	-35	60.14	62%	0.07	45.5	0.86%	0	0.9	54	0
13	Jun_15_2007	80.91	83.18	83.19	82.93			84.33(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-2	-10000	8	-30	83.71	62%	0.09	34.2	0.86%	0	1.2	59	0
14	Jun_14_2007	80.84	83.01	83.2	82.63			83.34(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	-10000	8	-25	79.45	62%	0.05	21.1	0.86%	0	0.3	58	0
15	Jun_13_2007	80.8	82.92	83.27	82.33			82.59(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-5	-35	120.71	55%	0.06	7.5	0.86%	0	-0.3	49	0

16	Jun_12_2007	80.75	82.85	83.4	82.52			81.51(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-15	-26	115.68	53%	0.06	6.9	0.91%	0	-1.1	42	0
17	Jun_11_2007	80.7	82.87	83.6	83.1			82.87(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-10000	-11	5	70.16	56%	0.06	17.6	0.88%	0	0	52	0
18	Jun_8_2007	80.65	82.85	83.59	83.49			82.85(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	-10	29	86.38	59%	0.06	24.6	0.88%	0	0	58	0
19	Jun_7_2007	80.6	82.79	83.53	83.86			81.84(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	4	-10000	-13	55	113.91	56%	0.05	30.1	0.89%	0	-0.8	59	0
20	Jun_6_2007	80.56	82.83	83.67	84.33			83.51(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	23	-10000	-2	98	95.17	66%	0.06	43.4	0.85%	0	0.6	63	0

21	Jun_5_2007	80.51	82.77	83.66	84.39			84.45(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	6	121	84.81	63%	0.05	52.1	0.88%	0	1.4	72	0
22	Jun_4_2007	80.47	82.67	83.49	84.16			84.79(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-10000	12	117	52.42	63%	0.07	57.8	0.93%	0	1.9	67	0
23	Jun_1_2007	80.41	82.56	83.18	83.71			84.7(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	-10000	13	92	71	58%	0.09	54.5	0.97%	0	2.1	61	0
24	May_31_2007	80.34	82.43	82.79	83.17			84.2(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	6	65	69.04	63%	0.09	40.6	0.94%	0	2	63	0
25	May_30_2007	80.27	82.31	82.51	82.93			83.8(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	3	46	64.39	58%		35.1	0.95%	0	1.9	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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