Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IWM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 18, 2007

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $84.1700 (-0.19%) ($83.7000 - $84.6200) on Mon. Jun. 18, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $84.1700(-0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(90%)    PEJ(83%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(79%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-12%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.19(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.16(1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.3(1.04%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.9
One Month Target Price   > $85.01
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $81.35

$. The price is -0.7% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1% away from the target price of 85.01.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2007	80.97	83.3	83.16	83.19			84.17(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	7	-35	60.14	62%	0.07	45.5	0.86%	0	0.9	54	0
2	Jun_15_2007	80.91	83.18	83.19	82.93			84.33(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-2	-10000	8	-30	83.71	62%	0.09	34.2	0.86%	0	1.2	59	0
3	Jun_14_2007	80.84	83.01	83.2	82.63			83.34(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	-10000	8	-25	79.45	62%	0.05	21.1	0.86%	0	0.3	58	0
4	Jun_13_2007	80.8	82.92	83.27	82.33			82.59(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-5	-35	120.71	55%	0.06	7.5	0.86%	0	-0.3	49	0
5	Jun_12_2007	80.75	82.85	83.4	82.52			81.51(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-15	-26	115.68	53%	0.06	6.9	0.91%	0	-1.1	42	0

6	Jun_11_2007	80.7	82.87	83.6	83.1			82.87(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-10000	-11	5	70.16	56%	0.06	17.6	0.88%	0	0	52	0
7	Jun_8_2007	80.65	82.85	83.59	83.49			82.85(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	-10	29	86.38	59%	0.06	24.6	0.88%	0	0	58	0
8	Jun_7_2007	80.6	82.79	83.53	83.86			81.84(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	4	-10000	-13	55	113.91	56%	0.05	30.1	0.89%	0	-0.8	59	0
9	Jun_6_2007	80.56	82.83	83.67	84.33			83.51(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	23	-10000	-2	98	95.17	66%	0.06	43.4	0.85%	0	0.6	63	0
10	Jun_5_2007	80.51	82.77	83.66	84.39			84.45(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	6	121	84.81	63%	0.05	52.1	0.88%	0	1.4	72	0

11	Jun_4_2007	80.47	82.67	83.49	84.16			84.79(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-10000	12	117	52.42	63%	0.07	57.8	0.93%	0	1.9	67	0
12	Jun_1_2007	80.41	82.56	83.18	83.71			84.7(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	-10000	13	92	71	58%	0.09	54.5	0.97%	0	2.1	61	0
13	May_31_2007	80.34	82.43	82.79	83.17			84.2(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	6	65	69.04	63%	0.09	40.6	0.94%	0	2	63	0
14	May_30_2007	80.27	82.31	82.51	82.93			83.8(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	3	46	64.39	58%	0.09	35.1	0.95%	0	1.9	54	0
15	May_29_2007	80.2	82.15	82.23	82.83			83.33(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	3	33	59.41	58%	0.12	22.3	0.99%	0	1.5	54	0

16	May_25_2007	80.1	82.03	82.05	82.72			82.5(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	3	20	44.08	50%	0.05	10.6	1.12%	0	0.6	49	0
17	May_24_2007	80.06	82.02	82.03	82.56			82(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	7	-10000	5	12	89.59	50%	0.05	5.1	1.13%	0	-0	45	0
18	May_23_2007	80.02	82.07	81.98	82.32			83(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	7	-0	59.65	52%	0.04	7.2	1.13%	0	1.2	53	0
19	May_22_2007	79.99	82.04	81.93	82.01			83.33(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	6	-10000	10	-8	69.77	52%	0.05	0	1.13%	0	1.7	56	0
20	May_21_2007	79.95	81.98	81.8	81.54			82.76(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-1	-10000	5	-18	148.87	52%	0.06	-16.9	1.13%	0	1.1	62	0

21	May_18_2007	79.9	81.95	81.77	81.32			81.73(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-7	-10000	-3	-18	80.55	51%	0.04	-27.6	1.11%	0	-0.3	57	0
22	May_17_2007	79.87	81.98	81.87	81.44			80.78(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5	-10000	-3	-12	71.78	49%	0.03	-17	1.11%	0	-1.7	42	0
23	May_16_2007	79.85	82.01	82.03	81.59			81.43(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-5	-12	97.53	49%	0.04	-9.8	1.12%	0	-0.9	41	0
24	May_15_2007	79.82	82.04	82.11	81.83			80.98(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-6	-10000	-6	-7	115.27	49%	0.01	11.3	1.12%	0	-1.6	43	0
25	May_14_2007	79.81	82.11	82.1	82.09			81.7(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-4	-6	72.22	49%		34.2	1.11%	0	-0.7	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.