Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 8, 2007

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $81.0500 (-0.16%) ($80.5800 - $81.1400) on Thu. Feb. 8, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $81.0500(-0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(90%)    PEJ(83%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(79%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-12%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $80.63(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.93(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.03(2.56%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.7
One Month Target Price   > $82.1
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $78.77

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1.3% away from the target price of 82.1.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2007	76.99	79.03	79.93	80.63			81.05(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	5	132	25.43	65%	0.1	72.8	0.81%	0	1.7	73	0
2	Feb_7_2007	76.91	78.86	79.61	80.46			81.18(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	-10000	11	130	30.71	65%	0.13	73	0.82%	0	2.1	76	0
3	Feb_6_2007	76.81	78.65	79.36	80.1			80.44(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	8	120	31.45	66%	0.1	65.6	0.81%	0	1.7	65	0
4	Feb_5_2007	76.73	78.45	79.1	79.84			80.24(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	9	104	30.91	66%	0.1	48.9	0.82%	0	1.7	61	0
5	Feb_2_2007	76.65	78.28	78.8	79.55			80.25(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	14	77	26.51	66%	0.1	31.8	0.82%	0	2	56	0

6	Feb_1_2007	76.57	78.17	78.54	79.11			80.2(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	-10000	15	52	50.58	60%	0.09	22.6	0.83%	0	2.3	60	0
7	Jan_31_2007	76.5	78.05	78.26	78.63			79.35(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	3	19	54.27	58%	0.1	15.5	0.87%	0	1.7	60	0
8	Jan_30_2007	76.42	77.98	78.12	78.51			79.18(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	7	23	33.84	58%	0.12	15.2	0.87%	0	1.7	63	0
9	Jan_29_2007	76.33	77.95	78.03	78.26			78.75(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	9	28	59.6	58%	0.1	10.3	0.87%	0	1.2	65	0
10	Jan_26_2007	76.25	77.95	78.04	77.95			78.07(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	2	28	56.63	54%	0.12	7.2	0.87%	0	0.2	60	0

11	Jan_25_2007	76.16	77.96	78.05	77.88			77.78(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	2	24	57.31	54%	0.09	5.7	0.88%	0	-0.3	47	0
12	Jan_24_2007	76.09	77.94	78.06	77.82			78.77(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	4	20	30.41	57%	0.08	-7.4	0.87%	0	1.1	53	0
13	Jan_23_2007	76.03	77.87	77.9	77.69			77.92(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-3	4	47.78	55%	0.03	-22	0.86%	0	0.1	49	0
14	Jan_22_2007	76.01	77.88	77.76	77.79			77.19(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-10000	-11	-13	46.31	52%	0.08	-21.3	0.85%	0	-0.9	40	0
15	Jan_19_2007	75.95	77.91	77.73	78.15			77.76(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-3	-12	49.72	52%	0.08	-12.6	0.85%	0	-0.2	40	0

16	Jan_18_2007	75.89	77.92	77.79	78.25			77.46(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-2	-10000	-1	-5	55.99	52%	0.08	-14.7	0.85%	0	-0.6	46	0
17	Jan_17_2007	75.83	77.99	77.86	78.3			78.11(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	6	9	27.48	52%	0.09	-12.8	0.85%	0	0.2	57	0
18	Jan_16_2007	75.76	77.99	77.84	78.11			78.45(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	12	5	34.92	52%	0.2	-19.1	0.85%	0	0.6	55	0
19	Jan_12_2007	75.61	78.03	77.86	77.71			78.98(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	8	-10000	14	-9	28.39	57%	0.13	-36.8	0.84%	0	1.3	55	0
20	Jan_11_2007	75.51	78	77.85	77.26			78.23(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-8	-10000	-1	-27	49.19	55%	0.12	-59.6	0.87%	0	0.3	52	0

21	Jan_10_2007	75.42	78.04	77.84	77.29			77.75(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-8	-10000	-2	-24	49.25	55%	0.11	-60.4	0.87%	0	-0.4	49	0
22	Jan_9_2007	75.34	78.09	77.78	77.37			77.15(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-5	-35	62.8	55%	0.09	-51.5	0.86%	0	-1.2	39	0
23	Jan_8_2007	75.27	78.17	77.84	77.54			76.43(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-21	-10000	-14	-42	46.12	53%	0.08	-41.2	0.86%	0	-2.3	34	0
24	Jan_5_2007	75.21	78.31	78.01	78.01			76.73(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-17	-10000	-14	-24	57.49	55%	0.08	-21.7	0.86%	0	-2.4	38	0
25	Jan_4_2007	75.15	78.44	78.14	78.5			78.37(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	-10000	1	-0	45.58	65%		18.8	0.83%	0	-0.1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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