Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 10, 2006

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 24, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $76.5200 (0.83%) ($75.6100 - $76.5700) on Fri. Nov. 10, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $76.5200(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(90%)    PEJ(83%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(79%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-12%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.18(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.76(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.94(0.76%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.9
One Month Target Price   > $76.52
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $72.85

$. The price is -0.7% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -3.6% away from the target price of 76.52.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 0.83% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2006	71.76	75.94	75.76	76.18			76.52(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	9	5	43.72	65%	0.11	57.8	0.96%	0	0.9	55	0
2	Nov_9_2006	71.68	75.91	75.71	75.84			75.89(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	-10000	8	-7	49.56	65%	0.11	61.4	0.96%	0	-0	53	0
3	Nov_8_2006	71.6	75.88	75.81	75.56			76.59(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	-10000	11	-14	52.41	65%	0.13	48.5	0.96%	0	0.9	50	0
4	Nov_7_2006	71.51	75.75	75.78	75.56			76.2(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-9	-10000	0	-34	49.2	65%	0.13	36.4	0.98%	0	0.5	51	0
5	Nov_6_2006	71.42	75.65	75.74	75.16			75.7(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-12	-10000	-4	-36	47.7	65%	0.1	49.2	0.98%	0	0.1	48	0

6	Nov_3_2006	71.35	75.58	75.75	75.32			74.83(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-7	-35	49.05	63%	0.07	61.8	0.98%	0	-0.8	39	0
7	Nov_2_2006	71.3	75.53	75.84	75.58			74.47(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-18	-10000	-14	-29	47.59	63%	0.1	73.2	0.99%	0	-1	41	0
8	Nov_1_2006	71.23	75.51	76.04	76.09			74.58(-2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-7	-10000	-10	3	47.22	58%	0.11	84.9	1%	0	-0.8	48	0
9	Oct_31_2006	71.15	75.45	76.2	76.46			76.23(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	2	40	46.09	65%	0.11	75.9	0.98%	0	0.5	70	0
10	Oct_30_2006	71.07	75.21	76.17	76.39			76.47(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	4	52	51.25	65%	0.1	63.3	0.98%	0	0.8	68	0

11	Oct_27_2006	71	74.97	76.16	76.25			76.14(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	3	62	51.8	69%	0.08	55.5	1.01%	0	0.7	67	0
12	Oct_26_2006	70.94	74.77	76.13	76.14			77.04(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	22	-10000	4	76	49.43	73%	0.1	54.9	1.01%	0	1.3	78	0
13	Oct_25_2006	70.87	74.55	75.96	76			76.4(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	2	82	55.89	73%	0.08	55.6	1%	0	1.1	71	0
14	Oct_24_2006	70.81	74.37	75.71	75.92			75.9(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-10000	-0	86	30.51	77%	0.07	53.8	1%	0	0.9	74	0
15	Oct_23_2006	70.76	74.19	75.55	75.93			75.75(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-10000	-3	101	39	77%	0.03	55.1	1.07%	0	0.9	80	0

16	Oct_20_2006	70.74	74.03	75.39	76.05			75.6(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-10000	-1	127	39.51	69%	0.04	56.1	1.09%	0	0.9	79	0
17	Oct_19_2006	70.71	73.83	75.19	76.11			76.35(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	39	-10000	5	141	43.89	72%	0.06	55.8	1.13%	0	1.5	77	0
18	Oct_18_2006	70.67	73.62	74.94	75.9			75.98(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10000	10	142	44.73	72%	0.08	56.1	1.16%	0	1.5	69	0
19	Oct_17_2006	70.61	73.48	74.65	75.47			75.97(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	9	128	48.74	72%	0.07	53.2	1.16%	0	1.7	66	0
20	Oct_16_2006	70.56	73.28	74.19	75.09			76.35(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	-10000	11	109	46.46	72%	0.06	51.1	1.16%	0	2.3	71	0

21	Oct_13_2006	70.52	73.08	73.69	74.63			75.9(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	-10000	11	85	45.52	66%	0.06	57.5	1.17%	0	2.4	70	0
22	Oct_12_2006	70.48	72.91	73.28	74.15			75.3(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	6	68	40.64	62%	0.06	65.7	1.2%	0	2.4	72	0
23	Oct_11_2006	70.44	72.75	73	73.87			73.81(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	4	58	52.43	59%	0.06	82.9	1.21%	0	1.3	57	0
24	Oct_10_2006	70.4	72.7	72.9	73.7			74.1(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	13	54	32.95	59%	0.04	90.7	1.21%	0	1.8	53	0
25	Oct_9_2006	70.37	72.59	72.72	73.12			74.06(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	13	33	26	59%		63.8	1.21%	0	1.8	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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