Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 5, 2006

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $72.4700 (0.91%) ($71.7000 - $72.5200) on Tue. Sep. 5, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $72.4700(0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(90%)    PEJ(83%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(79%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-12%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.82(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.91(2.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.08(3.41%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.7
One Month Target Price   > $76.31
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $70.97

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 5.3% away from the target price of 76.31.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.03% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2006	71.17	70.08	70.91	71.82			72.47(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	8	54	38.08	46%	-0.03	45.3	1.4%	0	1.7	73	0
2	Sep_1_2006	71.19	69.91	70.67	71.4			71.82(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	20	-10000	9	52	24.12	48%	-0.04	40.4	1.43%	0	1.5	77	0
3	Aug_31_2006	71.22	69.79	70.56	70.95			71.77(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	9	55	33.83	50%	-0.03	32.4	1.45%	0	1.6	78	0
4	Aug_30_2006	71.24	69.71	70.43	70.49			71.8(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	9	53	43.89	47%	-0.03	32.3	1.47%	0	1.9	71	0
5	Aug_29_2006	71.26	69.58	70.27	70.05			71.25(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	3	50	53.03	47%	-0.06	26.4	1.51%	0	1.6	72	0

6	Aug_28_2006	71.3	69.44	70.08	69.89			70.34(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	1	50	26.65	47%	-0.07	21	1.51%	0	0.9	62	0
7	Aug_25_2006	71.35	69.44	69.87	69.85			69.6(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-5	42	22.45	50%	-0.1	25.2	1.5%	0	0.2	52	0
8	Aug_24_2006	71.42	69.4	69.69	70.12			69.48(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-4	40	32.26	50%	-0.08	45.7	1.53%	0	0.1	49	0
9	Aug_23_2006	71.48	69.35	69.59	70.33			69.6(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-10000	-3	38	37.11	48%	-0.08	55	1.53%	0	0.3	45	0
10	Aug_22_2006	71.54	69.31	69.42	70.5			70.41(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	4	38	22.66	47%	-0.07	57.1	1.53%	0	1.1	54	0

11	Aug_21_2006	71.59	69.24	69.21	70.3			70.18(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	8	32	25.39	47%	-0.08	59.6	1.54%	0	1	58	0
12	Aug_18_2006	71.65	69.17	69.12	69.86			70.94(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	13	19	36.41	47%	-0.07	48	1.54%	0	1.7	55	0
13	Aug_17_2006	71.7	68.96	68.96	69.19			70.53(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	5	-10000	8	-4	44.72	46%	-0.08	29.2	1.54%	0	1.6	53	0
14	Aug_16_2006	71.76	68.82	68.9	68.75			70.42(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	6	-10000	10	-7	47.16	46%	-0.06	16.3	1.55%	0	1.7	60	0
15	Aug_15_2006	71.8	68.76	68.79	68.2			69.42(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-3	-10000	4	-23	48.78	46%	-0.08	-0.8	1.54%	0	0.7	52	0

16	Aug_14_2006	71.86	68.68	68.7	68			68(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-5	-37	45.03	44%	-0.1	-22.7	1.52%	0	-0.7	45	0
17	Aug_11_2006	71.93	68.67	68.87	68.27			67.6(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-8	-26	42.76	40%	-0.1	-28.9	1.54%	0	-1.2	45	0
18	Aug_10_2006	72	68.68	69.08	68.67			68.3(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-10000	-8	1	54.42	40%	-0.07	-32.6	1.56%	0	-0.4	60	0
19	Aug_9_2006	72.05	68.67	69.1	69.08			67.7(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-1	-10000	-7	17	58.13	40%	-0.08	-36.3	1.56%	0	-1	52	0
20	Aug_8_2006	72.11	68.77	69.23	69.44			68.39(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-1	29	76.24	40%	-0.08	-31.8	1.55%	0	-0.4	46	0

21	Aug_7_2006	72.17	68.89	69.31	69.48			69.35(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-1	36	45.88	40%	-0.06	-35.4	1.55%	0	0.4	56	0
22	Aug_4_2006	72.21	68.94	69.27	69.55			69.62(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	-0	47	76.61	41%	-0.07	-37.6	1.55%	0	0.6	59	0
23	Aug_3_2006	72.26	68.97	69	69.56			70.34(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	8	48	49.32	41%	-0.04	-37.6	1.55%	0	1.1	61	0
24	Aug_2_2006	72.29	69.01	68.74	69.14			69.5(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	2	31	50.14	43%	-0.06	-34	1.55%	0	0.4	56	0
25	Aug_1_2006	72.33	69.1	68.72	69.02			68.59(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-2	26	45	42%		-25.8	1.55%	0	-0.4	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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