Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IWM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 16, 2006

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 7, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $70.4200 (1.44%) ($69.4900 - $70.5200) on Wed. Aug. 16, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $70.4200(1.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(90%)    PEJ(83%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(79%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-12%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.75(2.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.9(2.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.82(2.32%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2006	71.76	68.82	68.9	68.75			70.42(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	6	-10000	10	-7	47.16	46%	-0.06	16.3	1.55%	0	1.7	60	0
2	Aug_15_2006	71.8	68.76	68.79	68.2			69.42(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-3	-10000	4	-23	48.78	46%	-0.08	-0.8	1.54%	0	0.7	52	0
3	Aug_14_2006	71.86	68.68	68.7	68			68(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-5	-37	45.03	44%	-0.1	-22.7	1.52%	0	-0.7	45	0
4	Aug_11_2006	71.93	68.67	68.87	68.27			67.6(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-8	-26	42.76	40%	-0.1	-28.9	1.54%	0	-1.2	45	0
5	Aug_10_2006	72	68.68	69.08	68.67			68.3(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-10000	-8	1	54.42	40%	-0.07	-32.6	1.56%	0	-0.4	60	0

6	Aug_9_2006	72.05	68.67	69.1	69.08			67.7(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-1	-10000	-7	17	58.13	40%	-0.08	-36.3	1.56%	0	-1	52	0
7	Aug_8_2006	72.11	68.77	69.23	69.44			68.39(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-1	29	76.24	40%	-0.08	-31.8	1.55%	0	-0.4	46	0
8	Aug_7_2006	72.17	68.89	69.31	69.48			69.35(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-1	36	45.88	40%	-0.06	-35.4	1.55%	0	0.4	56	0
9	Aug_4_2006	72.21	68.94	69.27	69.55			69.62(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	-0	47	76.61	41%	-0.07	-37.6	1.55%	0	0.6	59	0
10	Aug_3_2006	72.26	68.97	69	69.56			70.34(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	8	48	49.32	41%	-0.04	-37.6	1.55%	0	1.1	61	0

11	Aug_2_2006	72.29	69.01	68.74	69.14			69.5(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	2	31	50.14	43%	-0.06	-34	1.55%	0	0.4	56	0
12	Aug_1_2006	72.33	69.1	68.72	69.02			68.59(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-2	26	45	42%	-0.06	-25.8	1.55%	0	-0.4	46	0
13	Jul_31_2006	72.37	69.28	68.66	69.11			69.68(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	3	15	37.95	43%	-0.04	-12.4	1.55%	0	0.3	43	0
14	Jul_28_2006	72.4	69.37	68.43	68.95			69.67(2.1%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	8	-10000	11	-3	61.81	43%	-0.01	-6.4	1.55%	0	0.2	46	0
15	Jul_27_2006	72.41	69.44	68.21	68.36			68.24(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10000	2	-40	59.02	41%	-0.06	-7.8	1.53%	0	-0.7	40	0

16	Jul_26_2006	72.45	69.47	68.2	68.26			68.9(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-2	-64	59.84	41%	-0.04	-9.5	1.53%	0	-0.3	38	0
17	Jul_25_2006	72.48	69.45	68.25	68.38			69.05(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	4	-69	87.44	41%	-0.06	-5.3	1.53%	0	-0.2	39	0
18	Jul_24_2006	72.52	69.48	68.42	68.15			68.88(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10000	6	-83	72.23	41%	-0.06	-3.7	1.53%	0	-0.4	34	0
19	Jul_21_2006	72.56	69.47	68.55	67.86			66.75(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-3	-108	109.13	38%	-0.1	-9.1	1.47%	0	-1.6	30	0
20	Jul_20_2006	72.63	69.57	68.93	68.02			67.72(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-1	-108	74.28	38%	-0.08	-10.9	1.46%	0	-1.2	35	0

21	Jul_19_2006	72.69	69.63	69.3	68.09			69.5(2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-25	-10000	-1	-95	97.85	39%	-0.04	-6.7	1.43%	0	-0.1	55	0
22	Jul_18_2006	72.72	69.63	69.49	68.12			67.9(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-13	-85	74.55	40%	-0.08	-3.8	1.4%	0	-1	52	0
23	Jul_17_2006	72.78	69.54	69.95	68.76			67.44(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-10000	-12	-46	67.43	40%	-0.08	5.9	1.45%	0	-1.3	44	0
24	Jul_14_2006	72.84	69.62	70.4	69.37			67.53(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-12	-11	79.08	40%	-0.08	14.9	1.45%	0	-1.3	49	0
25	Jul_13_2006	72.9	69.75	70.8	69.97			68.07(-2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-4	-10000	-13	24	80.48	40%		25.7	1.46%	0	-1.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.