Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 5, 2006

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $68.7900 (0.54%) ($68.2500 - $68.7900) on Thu. Jan. 5, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $68.7900(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    PEJ(83%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(79%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.83(1.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.78(1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.94(1.25%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.3
One Month Target Price   > $68.79
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $65.32

$. The price is -0.1% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.5% away from the target price of 68.79.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2006	66.01	67.94	67.78	67.83			68.79(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	8	-10000	8	9	23.71	51%	0.06	-18	1.01%	0	1.3	48	0
2	Jan_4_2006	65.97	67.92	67.59	67.57			68.42(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	7	-18	29.78	49%	0.06	-20.8	1.06%	0	0.8	45	0
3	Jan_3_2006	65.93	67.91	67.44	67.31			68.05(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-12	-10000	-0	-46	40.53	49%	0.03	-22.7	1.08%	0	0.2	42	0
4	Dec_30_2005	65.91	67.94	67.41	67.32			66.72(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-10000	-7	-57	33.86	46%	0	-16	1.05%	0	-1.8	33	0
5	Dec_29_2005	65.91	68.04	67.55	67.57			67.15(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-4	-46	20.88	48%	0.03	-2.2	1.05%	0	-1.4	40	0

6	Dec_28_2005	65.89	68.06	67.7	67.7			67.51(0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	-10000	3	-33	20.49	48%	0.03	0	1.06%	0	-0.9	45	0
7	Dec_27_2005	65.87	68.05	67.83	67.6			67.11(-1.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-9	-10000	1	-37	26.2	48%	0.02	-7.7	1.06%	0	-1.5	37	0
8	Dec_23_2005	65.86	68.06	68	67.57			68.13(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	1	-36	15.26	50%	0.02	-7.8	1.03%	0	0.1	48	0
9	Dec_22_2005	65.85	68.05	68.05	67.52			67.97(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-11	-10000	-1	-42	20.62	50%	0	1.1	1.03%	0	-0.1	40	0
10	Dec_21_2005	65.85	68.06	68.08	67.54			67.79(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	-10000	-6	-45	30.17	48%	-0.02	21.5	1.04%	0	-0.4	42	0

11	Dec_20_2005	65.86	68.07	68.12	67.74			66.98(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-10000	-10	-33	28.76	44%	0	49.5	1.05%	0	-1.7	49	0
12	Dec_19_2005	65.86	68.1	68.28	68.11			67(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-9	-10000	-10	-5	22.95	44%	-0.02	82.8	1.06%	0	-1.9	53	0
13	Dec_16_2005	65.87	68.11	68.43	68.48			67.84(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-4	24	21.48	48%	0	103.4	1.05%	0	-0.4	62	0
14	Dec_15_2005	65.87	68.05	68.53	68.64			68.08(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-1	40	31.91	48%	0	98.1	1.06%	0	0	52	0
15	Dec_14_2005	65.87	67.92	68.59	68.69			68.78(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	4	49	26.97	46%	0.03	73.7	1.05%	0	0.9	58	0

16	Dec_13_2005	65.85	67.75	68.46	68.55			68.86(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	2	39	24.78	46%	0.03	60.9	1.06%	0	1	59	0
17	Dec_12_2005	65.83	67.62	68.3	68.49			68.85(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	3	34	24.18	46%	0.03	60.6	1.07%	0	1.1	63	0
18	Dec_9_2005	65.81	67.5	68.12	68.39			68.64(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	-10000	-1	30	22.45	46%	0.03	63.7	1.07%	0	1.1	67	0
19	Dec_8_2005	65.79	67.37	68.05	68.42			68.3(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-1	44	33.29	46%	0.02	66.7	1.07%	0	0.9	69	0
20	Dec_7_2005	65.78	67.24	68.02	68.47			68.12(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	4	70	23.41	46%	0.03	68.3	1.07%	0	0.8	74	0

21	Dec_6_2005	65.76	67.11	68	68.34			68.54(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	-10000	8	88	26.48	48%	0.05	69.6	1.07%	0	1.3	79	0
22	Dec_5_2005	65.73	66.97	67.9	68.06			68.33(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	7	86	25.92	48%	0.03	72.3	1.08%	0	1.2	65	0
23	Dec_2_2005	65.71	66.83	67.76	67.81			68.82(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	5	78	23.77	48%	0.05	77	1.09%	0	1.8	67	0
24	Dec_1_2005	65.68	66.66	67.52	67.64			68.55(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	3	74	37.39	48%	0.03	94.8	1.09%	0	1.9	68	0
25	Nov_30_2005	65.66	66.5	67.2	67.53			67.45(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	-2	65	38.38	49%		109.1	1.1%	0	1	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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