Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 1, 2005

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $68.5500 (1.63%) ($67.4300 - $68.8500) on Thu. Dec. 1, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $68.5500(1.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    PEJ(83%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(79%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.64(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.52(1.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.66(2.84%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.9
One Month Target Price   > $68.55
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $64.81

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -0.3% away from the target price of 68.55.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2005	65.68	66.66	67.52	67.64			68.55(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	3	74	37.39	48%	0.03	94.8	1.09%	0	1.9	68	0
2	Nov_30_2005	65.66	66.5	67.2	67.53			67.45(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	-2	65	38.38	49%	0.02	109.1	1.1%	0	1	65	0
3	Nov_29_2005	65.65	66.34	66.99	67.62			67.16(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-2	69	23.21	51%	0	103.8	1.1%	0	0.8	65	0
4	Nov_28_2005	65.65	66.18	66.9	67.71			67.06(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	20	-10000	1	78	24.6	51%	0.02	94.3	1.11%	0	0.8	62	0
5	Nov_25_2005	65.64	65.99	66.84	67.67			67.96(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	8	88	5.9	50%	0.08	83	1.12%	0	1.5	72	0

6	Nov_23_2005	65.59	65.7	66.64	67.36			68.01(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-10000	15	82	21.29	50%	0.05	67.8	1.11%	0	1.6	70	0
7	Nov_22_2005	65.56	65.48	66.4	66.8			67.93(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	15	60	21.21	50%	0.03	60.8	1.11%	0	1.7	71	0
8	Nov_21_2005	65.54	65.27	66.14	66.26			67.57(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	16	-10000	7	44	30.76	50%	0.06	60.7	1.11%	0	1.8	77	0
9	Nov_18_2005	65.5	65.1	65.95	65.99			66.89(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	14	-10000	3	45	28.9	50%	0.05	62.6	1.11%	0	1.4	76	0
10	Nov_17_2005	65.47	64.91	65.8	65.9			66.38(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	17	-10000	2	60	22.2	50%	0.05	59.4	1.1%	0	1.1	78	0

11	Nov_16_2005	65.44	64.71	65.72	65.83			65.25(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-10000	-3	84	28.43	46%	0.03	61.6	1.08%	0	0.4	78	0
12	Nov_15_2005	65.42	64.62	65.74	65.92			65.23(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	25	-10000	-1	103	35.16	47%	0.05	67.1	1.11%	0	0.4	63	0
13	Nov_14_2005	65.39	64.48	65.65	65.97			66.19(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	3	113	24.33	49%	0.06	66.8	1.1%	0	1.2	66	0
14	Nov_11_2005	65.35	64.32	65.42	65.88			66.43(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	5	106	19.66	48%	0.05	65.7	1.11%	0	1.6	62	0
15	Nov_10_2005	65.32	64.13	65.09	65.69			66.05(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	3	100	34.59	48%	0.03	58.9	1.11%	0	1.4	68	0

16	Nov_9_2005	65.3	63.93	64.72	65.6			65.7(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	2	96	29.76	48%	0.03	51.9	1.11%	0	1.3	70	0
17	Nov_8_2005	65.28	63.72	64.5	65.54			65.48(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-10000	8	98	21.21	48%	0.03	44.6	1.11%	0	1.4	60	0
18	Nov_7_2005	65.26	63.57	64.33	65.26			65.72(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	11	102	20.78	48%	0.03	28.6	1.11%	0	1.8	66	0
19	Nov_4_2005	65.24	63.44	64.18	64.87			65.48(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	13	96	26.5	44%	0.02	8.4	1.12%	0	1.8	60	0
20	Nov_3_2005	65.23	63.35	63.93	64.39			65.62(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	-10000	19	77	43.13	44%	0.03	-14.1	1.14%	0	2.2	61	0

21	Nov_2_2005	65.21	63.24	63.6	63.7			65.39(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	19	-10000	10	46	33.27	44%	0.03	-49.3	1.14%	0	2.4	64	0
22	Nov_1_2005	65.19	63.15	63.39	63.33			64.1(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	1	41	30.22	42%	0.03	-63.2	1.11%	0	1	62	0
23	Oct_31_2005	65.17	63.22	63.2	63.28			63.78(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	7	-10000	-3	36	35.33	42%	0.02	-50.8	1.11%	0	0.5	56	0
24	Oct_28_2005	65.16	63.35	63.11	63.28			63.06(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	0	41	38.52	42%	0.02	-39.5	1.1%	0	-0.2	49	0
25	Oct_27_2005	65.15	63.5	63.1	63.4			62.19(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-10000	-1	32	27.44	40%		-33.5	1.09%	0	-0.9	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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