Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 10, 2004

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 24, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $56.8500 (0.39%) ($56.5400 - $57.0800) on Thu. Jun. 10, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $56.8500(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(79%)    EWG(77%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.12(-0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.94(-0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.85(1.79%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2004	57.46	55.85	56.94	57.12			56.85(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	5	73	9.06	40%	-0.05	45	1.33%	0	0.7	72	0
2	Jun_9_2004	57.49	55.76	56.93	56.95			56.63(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-10000	-2	84	10.33	40%	-0.05	36.5	1.35%	0	0.6	72	0
3	Jun_8_2004	57.52	55.66	56.9	57.04			57.67(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	2	108	6.25	40%	0.02	32.4	1.34%	0	1.4	76	0
4	Jun_7_2004	57.51	55.45	56.65	56.96			57.73(1.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	34	-10000	5	119	9.93	40%	-0.03	22.1	1.35%	0	1.7	79	0
5	Jun_4_2004	57.53	55.28	56.32	56.77			56.7(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	0	115	11.02	39%	-0.02	15.5	1.33%	0	1.1	69	0

6	Jun_3_2004	57.54	55.23	56.06	56.76			56(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	26	-10000	-3	114	11.82	39%	-0.05	14.2	1.33%	0	0.6	64	0
7	Jun_2_2004	57.57	55.26	55.86	56.89			57.1(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	5	118	12.86	41%	-0.02	14.2	1.31%	0	1.4	64	0
8	Jun_1_2004	57.58	55.22	55.57	56.72			57.29(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	12	112	11.93	43%	0	2.6	1.31%	0	1.6	68	0
9	May_28_2004	57.58	55.15	55.19	56.28			56.75(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	13	95	6.85	43%	-0.02	-17.9	1.32%	0	1.4	72	0
10	May_27_2004	57.59	55.08	54.92	55.81			56.65(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	15	72	19.8	43%	-0.02	-42.6	1.33%	0	1.4	62	0

11	May_26_2004	57.6	55.05	54.67	55.26			56.64(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	16	35	12.89	43%	0.02	-61.4	1.33%	0	1.3	50	0
12	May_25_2004	57.59	55.08	54.48	54.68			56.25(2.09%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	7	-10000	11	-6	14.97	44%	-0.02	-66.7	1.33%	0	0.8	44	0
13	May_24_2004	57.6	55.18	54.29	54.27			55.1(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	9	-42	10.8	42%	-0.02	-61.6	1.32%	0	-0	40	0
14	May_21_2004	57.61	55.36	54.13	53.96			54.4(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10000	2	-81	12.02	41%	-0.05	-60.6	1.31%	0	-0.5	39	0
15	May_20_2004	57.64	55.57	54.12	53.9			53.89(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-10000	-2	-96	12.4	41%	-0.03	-56.8	1.31%	0	-0.9	41	0

16	May_19_2004	57.66	55.82	54.32	53.98			53.78(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-7	-99	18.79	39%	-0.03	-52.9	1.31%	0	-1.1	36	0
17	May_18_2004	57.68	56.04	54.61	54.23			54.17(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-10000	-3	-93	13.97	39%	-0.03	-51.2	1.32%	0	-1	33	0
18	May_17_2004	57.7	56.2	54.84	54.32			53.56(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-26	-10000	1	-105	19.71	41%	-0.03	-52.6	1.32%	0	-1.4	26	0
19	May_14_2004	57.72	56.46	55.11	54.3			54.08(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-10000	-2	-127	20.06	41%	-0.07	-59.1	1.33%	0	-1.3	27	0
20	May_13_2004	57.76	56.66	55.27	54.37			54.29(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-45	-10000	-10	-151	20.45	41%	0	-64.8	1.34%	0	-1.4	28	0

21	May_12_2004	57.76	56.84	55.49	54.72			55.04(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-47	-10000	-10	-157	31.08	42%	0	-69.1	1.34%	0	-1.1	29	0
22	May_11_2004	57.76	57	55.73	55.08			54.63(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-10000	-10	-148	24.26	42%	-0.02	-69.3	1.34%	0	-1.5	33	0
23	May_10_2004	57.77	57.2	56.14	55.47			53.46(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-44	-10000	-16	-128	33.15	41%	0	-69.7	1.31%	0	-2.4	34	0
24	May_7_2004	57.77	57.52	56.7	56.04			54.43(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-10000	-6	-99	21.52	43%	0	-73.2	1.29%	0	-2.3	32	0
25	May_6_2004	57.77	57.78	57.15	56.26			56.02(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-3	-87	22.13	48%		-77.9	1.25%	0	-1.5	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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