Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 8, 2003

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $51.5600 (1.4%) ($50.9900 - $51.7000) on Mon. Sep. 8, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $51.5600(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(79%)    EEM(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-20%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(13%)    XLU(54%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.06(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.11(2.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.97(5.29%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.6
One Month Target Price   > $51.56
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $48.49

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -5.7% away from the target price of 51.56.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 3.29% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031008

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_8_2003	44.97	48.97	50.11	51.06			51.56(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	13	130	4.61	59%	0.16	89.7	1.19%	0	1.6	79	0
2	Sep_5_2003	44.9	48.66	49.8	50.67			50.85(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	10	121	6.29	58%	0.29	76.4	1.19%	0	1.3	80	0
3	Sep_4_2003	44.77	48.38	49.63	50.38			51.18(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	44	-10000	14	132	4.89	59%	0.31	64.6	1.2%	0	1.6	85	0
4	Sep_3_2003	44.63	48.09	49.4	49.96			50.97(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	44	-10000	16	129	5.53	59%	0.29	53.1	1.22%	0	1.7	84	0
5	Sep_2_2003	44.5	47.8	49.18	49.49			50.75(2.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	44	-10000	16	127	6.34	59%	0.5	41.5	1.22%	0	1.8	85	0

6	Aug_29_2003	44.28	47.57	48.9	49.02			49.61(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	8	123	3.55	59%	0.27	33.7	1.19%	0	1.4	85	0
7	Aug_28_2003	44.16	47.41	48.66	48.79			49.4(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	0	127	4.29	59%	0.3	31	1.2%	0	1.4	86	0
8	Aug_27_2003	44.03	47.3	48.41	48.78			49.08(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	-10000	1	144	2.39	61%	0.27	35.4	1.2%	0	1.3	84	0
9	Aug_26_2003	43.91	47.19	48.19	48.75			48.6(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	38	-10000	-2	159	5.05	61%	0.25	39.5	1.22%	0	1.1	83	0
10	Aug_25_2003	43.8	47.13	48	48.82			48.42(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	47	-10000	2	180	4.68	61%	0.27	47.1	1.23%	0	1	79	0

11	Aug_22_2003	43.68	47.07	47.77	48.75			48.46(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	52	-10000	9	180	7.13	62%	0.25	53.3	1.23%	0	1.1	67	0
12	Aug_21_2003	43.57	46.98	47.46	48.48			49.33(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	-10000	18	160	4.58	64%	0.28	52.2	1.21%	0	2	69	0
13	Aug_20_2003	43.45	46.82	47.06	47.97			48.93(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	-10000	15	113	4.61	64%	0.3	48.2	1.21%	0	2	59	0
14	Aug_19_2003	43.32	46.69	46.68	47.55			48.96(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	29	-10000	16	69	5.25	62%	0.14	38.1	1.21%	0	2.5	60	0
15	Aug_18_2003	43.26	46.55	46.31	47.09			48.06(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	-10000	15	22	3.76	60%	0.12	21.2	1.22%	0	1.9	52	0

16	Aug_15_2003	43.21	46.43	46.1	46.65			47.12(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	-10000	13	-16	1.49	57%	0.09	-5.9	1.21%	0	1	44	0
17	Aug_14_2003	43.17	46.38	46.04	46.28			46.8(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	10	-42	0	57%	0.09	-28.5	1.21%	0	0.6	49	0
18	Aug_13_2003	43.13	46.33	46.07	45.99			46.8(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	12	-51	7.63	57%	0.09	-43.7	1.21%	0	0.6	52	0
19	Aug_12_2003	43.09	46.35	46.09	45.67			46.65(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-10	-10000	9	-66	5.29	58%	0.07	-55.4	1.21%	0	0.4	50	0
20	Aug_11_2003	43.06	46.38	46.15	45.42			45.88(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-21	-10000	-2	-76	4.54	56%	0.09	-59.4	1.2%	0	-0.6	47	0

21	Aug_8_2003	43.02	46.47	46.3	45.48			45.25(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-11	-61	4.14	56%	0.05	-50.6	1.2%	0	-1.5	48	0
22	Aug_7_2003	43	46.58	46.46	45.77			45.35(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-14	-39	5.01	56%	0.07	-33.9	1.21%	0	-1.6	45	0
23	Aug_6_2003	42.97	46.65	46.59	46.17			45.2(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-10000	-15	-10	4.48	56%	0.05	-15.7	1.21%	0	-2	47	0
24	Aug_5_2003	42.95	46.77	46.75	46.58			45.41(-1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-9	-10000	-14	8	6.02	56%	0.07	18.9	1.21%	0	-2	36	0
25	Aug_4_2003	42.92	46.87	46.85	46.98			46.21(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-1	-10000	-9	22	7.83	59%		60.9	1.19%	0	-1.1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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