Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. May. 4, 2003

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jul. 1, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $40.6500 (2.52%) ($39.7500 - $40.6700) on Sun. May. 4, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $40.6500(2.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.77(2.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.38(3.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.46(5.69%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   2
One Month Target Price   > $40.65
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $38.58

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -0.8% away from the target price of 40.65.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.78% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20030604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2003	38.23	38.46	39.38	39.77			40.65(2.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	57	-10000	20	169	3.41	84%	0.29	0	1.02%	0	2	81	0
2	May_1_2003	38.12	38.29	39.12	39.37			39.65(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	5	159	2.61	81%	0.21	0	0.94%	0	1.4	74	0
3	Apr_30_2003	38.04	38.17	38.93	39.27			39.7(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	-10000	3	157	2.22	81%	0.21	0	0.96%	0	1.7	75	0
4	Apr_29_2003	37.96	38.01	38.76	39.21			39.56(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	-10000	6	164	3.25	81%	0.21	0	0.98%	0	1.7	71	0
5	Apr_28_2003	37.88	38.01	38.56	39.09			39.31(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	9	4	1.92	81%	0.21	0	1.01%	0	46.8	70	0

6	Apr_25_2003	37.8	38.01	38.33	38.92			38.63(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	-10000	5	2	1.12	78%	0.13	0	0.98%	0	48.9	66	0
7	Apr_24_2003	37.75	38.01	38.18	38.83			39.17(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	18	7	2.51	90%	0.24	0	0.91%	0	49.6	71	0
8	Apr_23_2003	37.66	38.01	37.98	38.51			39.38(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	16	6	2.3	90%	0.32	0	0.91%	0	53.9	75	0
9	Apr_22_2003	37.54	38.01	37.76	38.23			38.97(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	13	-10000	15	6	1.85	88%	0.27	0	0.92%	0	66.1	78	0
10	Apr_21_2003	37.44	38.01	37.58	37.96			38.44(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	18	7	1.8	86%	0.19	0	0.92%	0	81.8	50	0

11	Apr_17_2003	37.37	38.01	37.46	37.65			38.17(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	9	-10000	11	4	3.48	86%	0.19	0	0.95%	0	97.9	50	0
12	Apr_16_2003	37.3	38.01	37.37	37.45			37.6(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	6	2	2.04	82%	0.08	0	0.93%	0	113.9	50	0
13	Apr_15_2003	37.27	38.01	37.34	37.35			37.99(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	7	-10000	8	3	1.26	100%	0.19	0	0.87%	0	115.1	50	0
14	Apr_14_2003	37.2	38.01	37.2	37.22			37.59(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	4	-10000	4	2	1.66	100%	0.11	0	0.89%	0	150.4	50	0
15	Apr_11_2003	37.16	38.01	37.2	37.16			36.92(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4	-10000	-5	-2	1.95	100%	-0.08	0	0.75%	0	160.5	50	0

16	Apr_10_2003	37.19	38.01	37.2	37.23			37.13(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-10000	-3	-1	1.57	100%	0	0	0.76%	0	161.4	50	0
17	Apr_9_2003	37.19	38.01	37.2	37.28			37.12(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	-10000	-3	-1	4.02	100%	-0.05	0	0.81%	0	154.7	50	0
18	Apr_8_2003	37.21	38.01	37.2	37.32			37.32(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	9	4	2.01	100%	0.08	0	0.81%	0	143.5	50	0
19	Apr_7_2003	37.18	38.01	37.2	37.18			37.29(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	479	-10000	563	225	3.37	100%	0.05	0	0.89%	0	133.2	50	0
20	Apr_4_2003	37.16	38.01	37.2	29.73			37.27(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	24.3	576	-10000	677	271	1.39	100%	0.11	0	0.99%	0	120.2	50	0

21	Apr_3_2003	37.12	38.01	37.2	22.27			37.38(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	43.2	904	-10000	1063	425	3.02	100%	0.35	0	0.95%	0	106.8	50	0
22	Apr_2_2003	36.99	38.01	37.2	14.8			37.35(1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	62.6	0	-10000	0	0	2.8	100%	0.98	0	0%	0	103.8	50	0
23	Apr_1_2003	36.63	38.01	37.2	7.33			36.63(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	2.09	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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