Trading Signals: IWD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IWD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: IWD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF)
IWD latest price $100.1700 (1.26%) ($99.3900 - $100.1900) on Wed. Apr. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $100.1700(1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWD advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(99%)    SDY(95%)    SPY(94%)    VYM(92%)    IWN(91%)
Factors Impacting IWD price   IWD will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-27%)    UUP(-19%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $98.49(1.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $98.56(1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.62(1.57%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWD price fluctuates within 0.73% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.64%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.24%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.16%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.82%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.64%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160513

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_13_2016	95.53	98.62	98.56	98.49	98.64	99.13	100.17(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	48	40	55	27	1.09	52%	-0.01	38.4	1.13%	0	2.2	63	0
2	Apr_12_2016	95.54	98.48	98.42	98.17	98.11	98.33	98.92(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	11	10	14	-0	2.91	51%	-0.02	39.7	1.16%	0	0.7	46	0
3	Apr_11_2016	95.56	98.43	98.38	97.92	98.02	98.16	97.89(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	5	10	11	-13	1.27	51%	-0.03	33.3	1.16%	0	-0.8	39	0
4	Apr_8_2016	95.59	98.44	98.38	98.1	97.93	97.88	97.95(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10	-10	-24	1.89	49%	-0.03	50	1.16%	0	-0.7	40	0
5	Apr_7_2016	95.62	98.38	98.4	98.36	98.14	97.89	97.5(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-20	-15	-24	1.87	46%	-0.03	51.9	1.17%	0	-1.1	41	0

6	Apr_6_2016	95.65	98.34	98.46	98.62	98.39	97.98	98.6(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-40	-24	-21	2.36	45%	-0.01	58.2	1.2%	0	0.3	54	0
7	Apr_5_2016	95.66	98.21	98.53	98.71	98.59	98.39	97.65(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-20	-28	-12	1.69	45%	-0.02	57.5	1.21%	0	-0.5	54	0
8	Apr_4_2016	95.68	98.2	98.72	98.9	98.91	98.39	98.79(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10	8	16	0.94	44%	0.01	83.2	1.2%	0	0.6	58	0
9	Apr_1_2016	95.67	98.11	98.78	98.73	98.69	98.8	99.26(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	10	0	14	1.39	44%	0	92.7	1.21%	0	1.1	59	0
10	Mar_31_2016	95.67	97.97	98.75	98.45	98.5	99.02	98.81(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	40	29	30	3.18	44%	-0.02	95.5	1.22%	0	0.8	68	0

11	Mar_30_2016	95.69	97.82	98.68	98.27	98.14	98.59	99.02(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	30	28	33	1.31	44%	-0.02	98.3	1.22%	0	1	69	0
12	Mar_29_2016	95.71	97.62	98.53	98.35	97.95	97.98	98.63(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10	1	32	1.43	45%	-0.02	101.5	1.22%	0	0.8	71	0
13	Mar_28_2016	95.73	97.34	98.46	98.53	98.25	97.7	97.93(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-10	-50	-23	31	1.73	45%	-0.1	81.8	1.23%	0	0.4	54	0
14	Mar_24_2016	95.83	97.13	98.49	98.84	98.62	97.91	97.84(-0.11%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-30	-60	-52	35	2.17	45%	-0.04	79	1.23%	0	0.4	57	0
15	Mar_23_2016	95.87	96.93	98.37	99.08	99.12	98.79	97.95(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-20	-25	54	1.33	47%	-0.04	79.2	1.23%	0	0.5	60	0

16	Mar_22_2016	95.91	96.67	98.24	99.11	99.19	99.34	99.38(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	10	12	74	1.43	49%	-0.03	74.6	1.24%	0	1.2	72	0
17	Mar_21_2016	95.94	96.31	97.89	98.73	98.79	99.44	99.54(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	50	35	78	1.06	49%	0	73.6	1.24%	0	1.4	76	0
18	Mar_18_2016	95.94	96	97.66	98.38	98.26	99.04	99.49(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	62	50	50	97	1.24	48%	-0.02	77.3	1.25%	0	1.5	81	0
19	Mar_17_2016	95.96	95.62	97.38	98.11	97.83	98.15	99.03(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	10	40	101	1.25	46%	-0.02	85.3	1.27%	0	1.5	74	0
20	Mar_16_2016	95.98	95.27	97.1	97.58	97.61	97.48	98.09(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10	12	90	1.75	47%	-0.01	88.8	1.27%	0	1.3	72	0

21	Mar_15_2016	95.99	94.97	96.86	97.24	97.28	97.52	97.48(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	20	1	92	1.05	49%	-0.03	89.5	1.28%	0	1.1	74	0
22	Mar_14_2016	96.02	94.65	96.61	96.91	97.06	97.75	97.83(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	50	37	111	1.12	49%	-0.03	90.7	1.3%	0	1.4	77	0
23	Mar_11_2016	96.05	94.23	96.12	96.82	96.68	97.04	98.1(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	20	35	107	1.34	47%	-0.02	83.9	1.3%	0	1.6	69	0
24	Mar_10_2016	96.07	93.71	95.66	96.57	96.47	96.37	96.41(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10	0	96	2.72	45%	-0.02	66.5	1.3%	0	1	70	0
25	Mar_9_2016	96.09	93.35	95.38	96.55	96.54	96.33	96.37(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-20	-5	103	1.11	45%		60.3	1.3%	0	1.1	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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