Trading Signals: IWD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IWD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: IWD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF)
IWD latest price $98.0900 (0.63%) ($97.2200 - $98.2600) on Wed. Mar. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $98.0900(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWD advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWD advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(99%)    SDY(95%)    SPY(94%)    VYM(92%)    IWN(91%)
Factors Impacting IWD price   IWD will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-27%)    UUP(-19%)    IGOV(-6%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $97.58(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.1(1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.27(2.96%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWD price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.05%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.06%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.79%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.54%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2016	95.98	95.27	97.1	97.58	97.61	97.48	98.09(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10	12	90	1.75	47%	-0.01	88.8	1.27%	0	1.3	72	INF
2	Mar_15_2016	95.99	94.97	96.86	97.24	97.28	97.52	97.48(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	20	1	92	1.05	49%	-0.03	89.5	1.28%	0	1.1	74	INF
3	Mar_14_2016	96.02	94.65	96.61	96.91	97.06	97.75	97.83(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	50	37	111	1.12	49%	-0.03	90.7	1.3%	0	1.4	77	INF
4	Mar_11_2016	96.05	94.23	96.12	96.82	96.68	97.04	98.1(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	20	35	107	1.34	47%	-0.02	83.9	1.3%	0	1.6	69	INF
5	Mar_10_2016	96.07	93.71	95.66	96.57	96.47	96.37	96.41(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10	0	96	2.72	45%	-0.02	66.5	1.3%	0	1	70	INF

6	Mar_9_2016	96.09	93.35	95.38	96.55	96.54	96.33	96.37(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-20	-5	103	1.11	45%	-0.03	60.3	1.3%	0	1.1	69	INF
7	Mar_8_2016	96.12	92.99	95	96.42	96.44	96.58	95.85(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	10	3	106	1.63	45%	-0.03	56	1.3%	0	1.1	66	INF
8	Mar_7_2016	96.15	92.66	94.64	96.22	96.15	96.76	97.36(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	70	40	50	128	1.61	46%	-0.02	49.3	1.29%	0	1.7	78	INF
9	Mar_4_2016	96.17	92.31	94.22	95.28	95.44	96.3	96.84(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	76	70	60	125	1.73	47%	-0.02	39.3	1.3%	0	1.8	80	INF
10	Mar_3_2016	96.19	92.03	93.71	94.61	94.58	95.54	96.35(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	76	70	58	128	1.59	46%	-0.01	38.9	1.31%	0	1.9	83	INF

11	Mar_2_2016	96.2	91.76	93.27	94.05	94.05	94.59	95.7(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	77	40	59	129	1.73	45%	-0.02	39.4	1.32%	0	1.9	73	INF
12	Mar_1_2016	96.22	91.49	92.9	93.4	93.51	93.63	94.83(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	10	27	114	2.21	46%	-0.04	34.8	1.32%	0	1.8	70	INF
13	Feb_29_2016	96.26	91.34	92.5	92.85	92.93	93.5	92.69(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	50	6	103	2.66	44%	-0.06	39	1.28%	0	0.8	64	INF
14	Feb_26_2016	96.32	91.33	92.2	92.98	92.75	93.4	93.5(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	69	40	51	122	1.76	44%	-0.06	47.8	1.28%	0	1.3	60	INF
15	Feb_25_2016	96.38	91.16	91.62	92.66	92.57	92.35	93.54(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-20	23	82	1.21	44%	-0.04	49.4	1.29%	0	1.5	54	INF

16	Feb_24_2016	96.42	90.97	91.16	92.36	92.23	92.09	92.43(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-12	-10	-30	43	2.15	44%	-0.05	52.4	1.28%	0	1	53	INF
17	Feb_23_2016	96.47	90.86	90.83	92.32	92.36	92.79	92.09(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	30	24	57	1.64	44%	-0.04	55.6	1.28%	0	0.8	55	INF
18	Feb_22_2016	96.51	90.7	90.56	92.07	92.22	92.37	93.34(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	20	46	46	1.71	45%	-0.02	47	1.27%	0	1.7	51	INF
19	Feb_19_2016	96.53	90.54	90.25	91.29	91.58	91.92	91.88(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	40	26	6	1.55	43%	-0.01	30.9	1.25%	0	1	45	INF
20	Feb_18_2016	96.54	90.38	90.21	90.4	90.88	92.08	92.05(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	56	110	73	5	1.71	45%	-0.02	6.5	1.25%	0	1.2	55	INF

21	Feb_17_2016	96.56	90.19	90.11	89.77	89.67	91.25	92.25(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	67	120	89	-1	2.1	45%	0.01	-19.1	1.26%	0	1.5	57	INF
22	Feb_16_2016	96.55	90.05	89.91	89.15	89.03	89.68	90.83(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	53	50	78	-24	3.7	45%	0.02	-40.9	1.25%	0	0.6	52	INF
23	Feb_12_2016	96.53	90	90.04	88.86	88.63	88.09	89.46(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-28	-50	-19	-55	3.09	42%	-0.04	-54.1	1.24%	0	-0.4	54	INF
24	Feb_11_2016	96.57	90.12	90.34	89.09	88.75	88.39	87.41(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-69	-40	-72	-60	3.49	39%	-0.07	-51.9	1.21%	0	-1.9	42	INF
25	Feb_10_2016	96.64	90.29	90.67	89.97	89.67	89.18	88.92(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-50	-20	-4	3.28	41%		-56.9	1.19%	0	-1.1	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.