Trading Signals: IVW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: IVW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 26, 2015 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF)
IVW latest price $32.3700 (0.53%) ($32.1800 - $32.4000) on Wed. Feb. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.44% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $32.3700(0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IVW advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IVW advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IVW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(99%)    QQQ(97%)    SPY(97%)    VUG(93%)    XLK(91%)
Factors Impacting IVW price   IVW will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-16%)    IPO(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.08(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.85(1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.61(2.4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IVW price fluctuates within 1.08% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(55%) Average negative next day return: -1.65%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 0.86%(82%) Average negative next three day return: -4.76%(18%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.68%(73%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.05%(27%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170315

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2017	30.59	31.61	31.85	32.08	32.1	32.2	32.37(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	70	20	40	159	2.07	65%	0.07	74.1	0.44%	0	2.2	77	0
2	Feb_14_2017	30.57	31.55	31.75	31.95	31.97	32.09	32.2(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	30	36	118	2.07	60%	0.07	71.4	0.45%	0	2.1	74	0
3	Feb_13_2017	30.55	31.49	31.66	31.83	31.85	31.99	32.09(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	52	30	38	92	3.31	60%	0.07	70.9	0.46%	0	2.2	78	0
4	Feb_10_2017	30.53	31.44	31.59	31.72	31.74	31.85	31.94(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	42	30	31	76	2.38	59%	0.03	69.7	0.46%	0	2.1	79	0
5	Feb_9_2017	30.52	31.4	31.55	31.66	31.64	31.7	31.82(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	10	23	73	2.31	59%	0.03	70	0.46%	0	1.9	76	0

6	Feb_8_2017	30.51	31.36	31.52	31.58	31.59	31.62	31.68(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	10	15	70	2.18	59%	0.07	70.1	0.46%	0	1.5	75	0
7	Feb_7_2017	30.49	31.33	31.5	31.52	31.53	31.59	31.61(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	10	14	72	2.7	65%	0.07	75	0.47%	0	1.4	70	0
8	Feb_6_2017	30.47	31.3	31.48	31.47	31.48	31.55	31.57(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	20	16	62	1.91	65%	0.03	81.3	0.54%	0	1.4	71	0
9	Feb_3_2017	30.46	31.28	31.44	31.47	31.41	31.47	31.6(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	10	8	54	1.83	62%	0.03	91.8	0.54%	0	1.7	69	0
10	Feb_2_2017	30.45	31.25	31.39	31.43	31.37	31.41	31.43(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	14	0	1	54	2.21	59%	0.07	100	0.55%	0	0.9	67	0

11	Feb_1_2017	30.43	31.22	31.36	31.45	31.42	31.35	31.4(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-20	-4	57	3.16	55%	0.07	100	0.55%	0	0.9	64	0
12	Jan_31_2017	30.41	31.18	31.34	31.45	31.45	31.34	31.34(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-30	-15	62	3.59	55%	0.03	89.2	0.57%	0	0.7	65	0
13	Jan_30_2017	30.4	31.14	31.32	31.48	31.51	31.48	31.39(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	17	-0	-0	69	3.22	55%	0.03	83.8	0.57%	0	1.1	64	0
14	Jan_27_2017	30.39	31.1	31.29	31.43	31.47	31.57	31.58(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	30	19	72	3.09	58%	0.07	65.5	0.56%	0	1.8	73	0
15	Jan_26_2017	30.37	31.06	31.24	31.35	31.36	31.53	31.55(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	40	28	65	2.01	58%	0.03	50.6	0.57%	0	1.8	78	0

16	Jan_25_2017	30.36	31.02	31.19	31.26	31.27	31.38	31.56(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	38	30	31	59	2.4	58%	0	42.9	0.57%	0	2.1	79	0
17	Jan_24_2017	30.36	30.98	31.14	31.18	31.18	31.19	31.32(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	19	0	9	47	2.19	57%	0.03	37.8	0.57%	0	1.5	80	0
18	Jan_23_2017	30.35	30.95	31.14	31.14	31.15	31.16	31.16(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	0	1	55	6.37	57%	0.03	31	0.57%	0	1	82	0
19	Jan_20_2017	30.34	30.93	31.11	31.13	31.13	31.17	31.18(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	10	6	72	2.78	57%	0.03	31	0.57%	0	1.1	70	0
20	Jan_19_2017	30.33	30.92	31.08	31.13	31.12	31.13	31.1(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	0	4	77	3.58	57%	0.03	30.9	0.57%	0	0.9	69	0

21	Jan_18_2017	30.32	30.91	31.06	31.11	31.09	31.13	31.16(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	0	3	79	3.04	59%	0	35.3	0.57%	0	1.2	59	0
22	Jan_17_2017	30.32	30.89	31.01	31.11	31.07	31.1	31.08(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	0	3	72	4.46	59%	0.03	33.8	0.58%	0	0.9	60	0
23	Jan_13_2017	30.31	30.88	30.95	31.09	31.06	31.07	31.14(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-0	5	66	7.71	59%	0	43.5	0.57%	0	1.4	63	0
24	Jan_12_2017	30.31	30.86	30.9	31.08	31.05	31.03	31.07(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10	0	59	2.27	59%	0.03	53.4	0.57%	0	1.2	58	0
25	Jan_11_2017	30.3	30.85	30.86	31.05	31.06	31.06	31.11(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	0	6	45	2.48	55%		74.5	0.57%	0	1.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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