Trading Signals: IVW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IVW: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: IVW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 26, 2015 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF)
IVW latest price $27.4500 (2.27%) ($26.9100 - $27.4600) on Fri. Jan. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $27.4500(2.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IVW advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IVW declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IVW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(99%)    QQQ(97%)    SPY(97%)    VUG(93%)    XLK(91%)
Factors Impacting IVW price   IVW will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.98(1.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.85(2.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.27(0.66%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IVW price fluctuates within 2.16% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.14%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.69%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.25%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160229

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_29_2016	28.75	27.27	26.85	26.98	26.96	27.01	27.45(2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	10	13	-11	5.63	39%	-0.07	-89.8	1.17%	0	0.3	52	0
2	Jan_28_2016	28.77	27.35	26.82	26.92	26.91	26.83	26.84(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-20	-2	-29	4.82	37%	-0.1	-75.8	1.13%	0	-0.7	43	0
3	Jan_27_2016	28.8	27.47	26.81	26.87	26.98	26.92	26.66(-1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-14	-0	1	-59	6.22	37%	-0.1	-64.2	1.13%	0	-1	35	0
4	Jan_26_2016	28.83	27.59	26.9	26.83	26.91	27	27.11(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	30	9	-78	3.82	39%	-0.1	-56.8	1.12%	0	-0.5	35	0
5	Jan_25_2016	28.86	27.68	26.91	26.75	26.74	27.03	26.84(-1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	70	14	-107	4.14	39%	-0.14	-56.2	1.12%	0	-0.9	33	0

6	Jan_22_2016	28.9	27.8	26.94	26.7	26.68	26.82	27.17(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-21	30	20	-142	4.57	40%	-0.07	-59.2	1.12%	0	-0.6	31	0
7	Jan_21_2016	28.92	27.89	26.96	26.71	26.55	26.44	26.56(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-50	-11	-193	7.78	36%	-0.14	-57.4	1.08%	0	-1.3	21	0
8	Jan_20_2016	28.96	28.01	27.12	26.76	26.66	26.53	26.48(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-75	-50	-27	-218	10.41	36%	-0.17	-56.8	1.09%	0	-1.5	19	0
9	Jan_19_2016	29.01	28.12	27.31	26.97	26.89	26.66	26.69(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-66	-70	-19	-206	10.23	36%	-0.14	-54.5	1.09%	0	-1.4	26	0
10	Jan_15_2016	29.05	28.25	27.48	27.09	27.07	26.79	26.61(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-72	-70	-26	-210	6.93	36%	-0.14	-57.5	1.1%	0	-1.8	25	0

11	Jan_14_2016	29.09	28.4	27.72	27.2	27.24	27.11	27.22(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-65	-30	-18	-206	8.01	39%	-0.14	-57.4	1.08%	0	-1.4	27	0
12	Jan_13_2016	29.13	28.49	27.91	27.25	27.35	27.35	26.78(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-69	10	-23	-206	9.52	36%	-0.14	-59.5	1.06%	0	-2.1	25	0
13	Jan_12_2016	29.17	28.61	28.18	27.53	27.46	27.37	27.55(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-57	-30	-18	-175	5.41	39%	-0.1	-61	1%	0	-1.4	34	0
14	Jan_11_2016	29.2	28.67	28.34	27.72	27.62	27.35	27.27(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-65	-80	-36	-153	9.54	37%	-0.14	-65.6	1%	0	-2	36	0
15	Jan_8_2016	29.24	28.78	28.53	27.95	27.93	27.55	27.2(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-70	-100	-49	-132	9.4	37%	-0.14	-64.4	1.01%	0	-2.6	29	0

16	Jan_7_2016	29.28	28.89	28.75	28.3	28.16	27.9	27.46(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-68	-80	-57	-102	8.2	37%	-0.1	-63.5	1.01%	0	-2.9	27	0
17	Jan_6_2016	29.31	28.99	28.92	28.67	28.52	28.32	28.18(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-39	-60	-33	-56	8.71	40%	-0.1	-64.5	0.96%	0	-2.3	40	0
18	Jan_5_2016	29.34	29.07	28.99	28.92	28.82	28.42	28.49(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-31	-110	-32	-27	5.83	42%	-0.03	-50	0.96%	0	-1.8	47	0
19	Jan_4_2016	29.35	29.13	29.01	29.05	29.05	28.72	28.44(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-36	-80	-41	-19	10.29	42%	-0.07	-39.1	0.97%	0	-2.2	49	0
20	Dec_31_2015	29.37	29.17	29.08	29.19	29.22	29.22	28.95(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-9	0	-13	5	4.48	45%	-0.03	-37.9	0.95%	0	-0.7	46	0

21	Dec_30_2015	29.38	29.2	29.14	29.25	29.23	29.37	29.27(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	30	13	30	2.79	47%	0	-32.1	0.94%	0	0.2	50	0
22	Dec_29_2015	29.38	29.2	29.12	29.2	29.2	29.21	29.47(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	0	19	19	3.68	47%	0	-31	0.95%	0	0.7	48	0
23	Dec_28_2015	29.38	29.23	29.06	29.07	29.09	29.09	29.12(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	0	6	-16	10.95	44%	-0.03	-44.8	0.94%	0	-0.3	43	0
24	Dec_24_2015	29.39	29.26	29.02	29.07	29.02	29.18	29.12(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	40	7	-50	1.52	44%	-0.03	-48.8	0.95%	0	-0.4	41	0
25	Dec_23_2015	29.4	29.28	29.03	28.96	28.94	29.09	29.28(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	30	8	-47	3.62	44%		-46	0.96%	0	0	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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