Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IPO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 20, 2023

Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Renaissance IPO ETF)
IPO latest price $34.9000 (-4%) ($34.7800 - $35.5800) on Thu. Jul. 20, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.12% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $34.9000(-4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IPO declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IPO advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IPO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(81%)    IBUY(81%)    SKYY(77%)    BOTZ(76%)    VT(76%)
Factors Impacting IPO price   IPO will decline at least -1.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-48%)    VIXM(-42%)    TBT(-35%)    UUP(-26%)    UNG(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.06% (StdDev 2.12%)
Hourly BBV -1.9 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.23(-0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.71(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.51(4.15%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   28.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IPO price fluctuates within 4.6% (three month std-dev: 2.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.09%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.72%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.47%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -2.85%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.83%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.28%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2023	29.75	33.51	34.71	35.23	35.48	35.66	34.9(-4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	60	-10	102	0.07	59%	0.24	53.5	2.12%	-1.9	0.9	65	1.4
2	Jul_19_2023	29.68	33.34	34.48	35.36	35.49	35.92	36.36(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	100	29	129	0.12	64%	0.3	55.1	2.06%	0.5	1.9	70	1.5
3	Jul_18_2023	29.59	33.11	34.14	34.99	35.24	35.3	35.89(5.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	30	20	118	0.32	64%	0.27	57.7	2.06%	1.4	2	70	1.9
4	Jul_17_2023	29.51	32.93	33.86	34.66	34.93	35.05	34.05(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	35	50	5	124	0.09	60%	0.2	61.9	1.95%	1.6	0.9	71	1.4
5	Jul_14_2023	29.45	32.87	33.74	34.51	34.66	35.18	34.96(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	120	32	145	0.05	63%	0.24	68.4	1.92%	-0.1	1.7	73	1.2

6	Jul_13_2023	29.38	32.71	33.46	34.09	34.08	34.81	35.55(3.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	70	150	47	140	0.17	63%	0.24	67.5	1.9%	1.7	2.5	76	1
7	Jul_12_2023	29.31	32.5	33.14	33.46	33.48	34.14	34.51(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	58	140	39	116	0.26	61%	0.21	66.1	1.88%	1	2.1	73	1.1
8	Jul_11_2023	29.25	32.32	32.9	33.16	32.94	33.34	34.24(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	42	70	23	97	0.07	61%	0.21	78.1	1.88%	1.7	2.4	64	-0.3
9	Jul_10_2023	29.19	32.16	32.57	32.97	32.75	32.83	33.27(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-0	10	69	0.05	58%	0.14	88.1	1.85%	1.4	1.6	54	-0.5
10	Jul_7_2023	29.15	32.04	32.37	32.86	32.75	32.54	32.88(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	12	-60	1	45	0.06	58%	0.07	94.5	1.85%	0.6	1.2	49	-0.3

11	Jul_6_2023	29.13	31.96	32.22	32.72	32.81	32.67	32.39(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-20	-12	28	0.05	58%	0.07	100.5	1.86%	-0.9	0.6	54	-0.6
12	Jul_5_2023	29.11	31.89	32.13	32.76	32.82	33.07	33.04(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	60	12	39	0.41	56%	0.14	107.7	1.84%	1	1.5	61	0.9
13	Jul_3_2023	29.07	31.7	32.02	32.57	32.68	32.96	33.26(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	70	31	45	0.06	56%	0.17	107.8	1.88%	0	2.1	66	1.2
14	Jun_30_2023	29.02	31.56	32.02	32.1	32.32	32.57	32.73(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	70	21	28	0.05	59%	0.14	80.4	1.88%	0.6	1.3	62	1
15	Jun_29_2023	28.98	31.4	31.93	31.81	31.91	32.4	32.16(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	120	19	30	0.32	62%	0.1	67.5	1.88%	-0.5	0.9	62	1

16	Jun_28_2023	28.95	31.27	31.9	31.65	31.59	32.08	32.59(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	100	29	31	0.08	62%	0.1	54.4	1.92%	0.8	1.4	60	1.2
17	Jun_27_2023	28.92	31.1	31.8	31.42	31.59	31.42	32.12(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	10	9	16	0.04	62%	0.1	45	1.94%	2.1	1	61	1.1
18	Jun_26_2023	28.89	30.94	31.7	31.41	31.31	31.1	30.91(-1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-60	-18	24	0.02	59%	0.07	39.1	1.88%	-0.6	-0	67	1
19	Jun_23_2023	28.87	30.88	31.73	31.74	31.58	31.2	31.28(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-100	-26	47	0.02	59%	0	46.4	1.87%	-0.7	0.4	57	1.1
20	Jun_22_2023	28.87	30.83	31.7	32.06	32	31.52	31.37(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-110	-20	83	0.05	59%	0.07	55	1.88%	-0.6	0.5	63	1.4

21	Jun_21_2023	28.85	30.76	31.71	32.17	32.28	31.96	31.4(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	-60	-16	111	0.05	62%	0.1	59	1.89%	-1	0.5	63	1.3
22	Jun_20_2023	28.82	30.66	31.67	32.21	32.33	32.48	32.07(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	40	6	138	0.04	65%	0.14	63.3	1.94%	-0.5	1.2	68	1.2
23	Jun_16_2023	28.78	30.55	31.39	32.01	32.15	32.61	32.58(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	110	26	145	0.05	65%	0.17	63.7	1.91%	1.1	1.7	73	1.6
24	Jun_15_2023	28.73	30.39	31.17	31.73	31.78	32.19	32.86(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	61	100	33	143	0.18	65%	0.24	62.8	1.92%	0	2.3	66	1.2
25	Jun_13_2023	28.66	30.18	30.82	31.32	31.4	31.69	31.95(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	70	15	107	0.05	63%		58.7	1.89%	1.5	1.9	58	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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