Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 30, 2020

Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Renaissance IPO ETF)
IPO latest price $40.4400 (1.71%) ($39.8700 - $40.7000) on Tue. Jun. 30, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.28% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $40.4400(1.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IPO declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IPO advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IPO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(85%)    ONLN(81%)    SKYY(78%)    IWO(76%)    IWF(75%)
Factors Impacting IPO price   IPO will decline at least -1.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-38%)    UUP(-23%)    VXX(-14%)    TBT(-10%)    DRIV(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.14% (StdDev 2.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.39(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.72(-0.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.54(2.28%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   68.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IPO price fluctuates within 3.69% (three month std-dev: 2.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 2.36%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.6%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 2.18%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -2.25%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 2.77%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.07%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200730

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2020	32.23	39.54	40.72	40.39	40.28	39.96	40.44(1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-60	-11	61	0.06	59%	0.19	65.6	2.28%	0	0.6	60	0.3
2	Jun_29_2020	32.17	39.42	40.65	40.65	40.46	40.08	39.76(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-0	-80	-25	74	0.1	59%	0.19	77.5	2.28%	0	0.2	58	-0.2
3	Jun_26_2020	32.11	39.31	40.59	40.96	40.99	40.59	40.1(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-70	-13	94	0.07	64%	0.19	84.1	2.31%	0	0.5	58	-0.9
4	Jun_25_2020	32.05	39.15	40.36	41.21	41.2	40.83	41.09(1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-60	-14	101	0.06	68%	0.25	82.9	2.35%	0	1.1	66	-0.3
5	Jun_24_2020	31.97	38.86	39.93	41.17	41.42	41.39	40.57(-2.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	10	-1	101	0.08	74%	0.22	79.2	2.35%	0	0.9	66	-0.7

6	Jun_23_2020	31.9	38.61	39.73	41.07	41.34	41.57	41.72(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	60	16	101	0.14	79%	0.25	77	2.5%	0	1.6	64	-0
7	Jun_22_2020	31.82	38.3	39.39	40.65	40.9	41.44	41.34(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	110	20	93	0.14	79%	0.28	77.4	2.5%	0	1.7	66	-0.2
8	Jun_19_2020	31.73	38.03	39.1	40.17	40.54	41.11	41.32(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	130	41	93	0.17	82%	0.25	80.8	2.5%	0	1.9	68	-0.8
9	Jun_18_2020	31.65	37.73	38.74	39.38	39.67	40.37	40.93(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	150	34	67	0.1	73%	0.25	79	2.64%	0	2	70	-0.7
10	Jun_17_2020	31.57	37.45	38.4	38.5	38.88	39.97	40.05(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	230	32	50	0.11	74%	0.22	77.4	2.79%	0	1.8	73	-0.9

11	Jun_16_2020	31.5	37.19	38.23	38.2	38.11	38.97	39.61(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	150	29	57	0.09	62%	0.22	80.4	2.8%	0	1.7	70	-1
12	Jun_15_2020	31.43	36.95	38.04	37.96	37.79	37.79	38.93(4.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10	8	47	0.07	62%	0.19	81.8	3.24%	0	1.4	67	-1.3
13	Jun_12_2020	31.37	36.7	37.89	37.91	37.88	37.25	37.4(2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-120	-12	45	0.04	55%	0.1	79.7	3.29%	0	0.5	59	-1.4
14	Jun_11_2020	31.34	36.51	37.84	37.99	38.09	37.8	36.52(-5.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-50	-15	48	0.06	51%	0.1	76.9	3.58%	0	0	59	-2.6
15	Jun_10_2020	31.31	36.35	37.75	37.99	38.3	38.51	38.55(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	40	3	61	0.04	57%	0.16	79.4	3.61%	0	1.2	70	0.9

16	Jun_9_2020	31.26	36.08	37.44	38.23	38.3	38.38	38.38(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	40	5	65	0.03	51%	0.22	86.3	3.65%	0	1.3	73	1
17	Jun_8_2020	31.19	35.86	37.16	38.14	38.14	38.08	38.68(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10	7	64	0.05	51%	0.16	97.8	3.88%	0	1.6	75	1.6
18	Jun_5_2020	31.14	35.58	36.89	37.9	37.96	37.91	37.84(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	17	-0	1	66	0.03	48%	0.16	107.2	3.9%	0	1.3	77	2
19	Jun_4_2020	31.09	35.31	36.66	37.68	37.78	38.2	37.69(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	90	13	76	0.05	50%	0.13	106.4	3.91%	0	1.4	79	1.6
20	Jun_3_2020	31.05	34.99	36.44	37.16	37.29	38.02	38.58(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	37	150	23	80	0.06	49%	0.19	91.6	3.92%	0	1.9	87	1.7

21	Jun_2_2020	30.99	34.59	36.07	36.52	36.52	37.37	37.9(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	160	22	72	0.03	50%	0.16	81.8	3.92%	0	1.7	81	1.3
22	Jun_1_2020	30.94	34.21	35.75	36.05	35.88	36.57	37.48(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	120	17	63	0.04	50%	0.16	72.7	3.93%	0	1.7	72	1
23	May_29_2020	30.89	33.83	35.38	35.77	35.66	35.67	36.73(4.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10	10	57	0.01	50%	0.16	67.2	3.96%	0	1.5	73	1.3
24	May_28_2020	30.84	33.53	35.03	35.51	35.61	35.19	35.13(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-70	-7	50	0.01	48%	0.1	68.2	3.95%	0	0.8	72	0.9
25	May_27_2020	30.81	33.35	34.84	35.6	35.63	35.64	35.36(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	0	-4	63	0.04	46%		74.5	3.95%	0	1	80	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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