Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 29, 2018

Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Renaissance IPO ETF)
IPO latest price $28.7100 (-0.42%) ($28.7000 - $28.8000) on Mon. Jan. 29, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $28.7100(-0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IPO declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IPO advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IPO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(13%)    EMHY(12%)    EWI(12%)    EWP(12%)    VYM(12%)
Factors Impacting IPO price   IPO will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-6%)    DIA(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.96(-0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.8(-0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.65(0.21%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IPO price fluctuates within 0.8% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_29_2018	27.69	28.65		28.96	28.97	28.81	28.71(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	2	-40	-15	51	0	52%	0.07	80	0.78%	0	0.3	58	-2.1
2	Jan_26_2018	27.67	28.63	28.8	28.99	29.05	28.95	28.83(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-20	-9	63	0	52%	0.11	82.8	0.78%	0	0.8	58	136.8
3	Jan_25_2018	27.64	28.6	28.79	28.97	29.02	29.13	28.93(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	30	6	72	0	50%	0.11	83.5	0.78%	0	1.3	62	137.4
4	Jan_24_2018	27.61	28.57	28.74	28.92	28.94	29.15	29.14(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	50	31	73	0.01	50%	0.11	80.2	0.78%	0	2.2	64	-1.4
5	Jan_23_2018	27.58	28.52	28.67	28.8	28.79	28.92	29.18(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	39	30	32	60	0	48%	0.07	81	0.78%	0	2.8	69	0.1

6	Jan_22_2018	27.56	28.47	28.59	28.63	28.64	28.74	28.86(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	30	11	31	0.01	45%	0.07	92.1	0.78%	0	2.2	68	0.9
7	Jan_19_2018	27.54	28.43	28.55	28.59	28.64	28.67	28.75(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	20	8	29	0	49%	0.11	95	0.82%	0	1.9	63	1
8	Jan_18_2018	27.51	28.39	28.53	28.58	28.57	28.55	28.65(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10	9	34	0	49%	0.11	98.2	0.83%	0	1.6	63	0
9	Jan_17_2018	27.48	28.36	28.51	28.54	28.56	28.47	28.57(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-20	-5	29	0.01	49%	0.11	82.5	0.83%	0	1.2	59	0
10	Jan_16_2018	27.45	28.33	28.5	28.52	28.54	28.59	28.32(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	4	10	-6	32	0.01	47%	0.15	71.8	0.82%	0	-0	55	0

11	Jan_12_2018	27.41	28.31	28.49	28.54	28.56	28.65	28.66(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	20	15	46	0.01	49%	0.11	70.5	0.8%	0	1.6	69	0
12	Jan_11_2018	27.38	28.27	28.46	28.51	28.49	28.49	28.7(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	14	-0	4	45	0.01	51%	0.11	69.4	0.8%	0	1.8	76	0
13	Jan_10_2018	27.35	28.23	28.41	28.47	28.5	28.47	28.44(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-0	-5	42	0	50%	0.11	79	0.8%	0	0.9	72	0
14	Jan_9_2018	27.32	28.21	28.39	28.49	28.55	28.49	28.48(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-10	-2	51	0	50%	0.11	95.1	0.8%	0	1.2	63	0
15	Jan_8_2018	27.29	28.18	28.37	28.48	28.56	28.53	28.42(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	0	0	59	0	50%	0.11	105.1	0.8%	0	1.1	69	0

16	Jan_5_2018	27.26	28.15	28.34	28.43	28.54	28.61	28.52(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	30	8	67	0.01	53%	0.15	98.7	0.8%	0	1.7	75	0
17	Jan_4_2018	27.22	28.1	28.29	28.39	28.46	28.59	28.48(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	40	15	66	0.01	53%	0.11	92.3	0.81%	0	1.7	68	0
18	Jan_3_2018	27.19	28.05	28.24	28.33	28.37	28.48	28.55(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	30	17	59	0	53%	0.11	61.8	0.81%	0	2	64	0
19	Jan_2_2018	27.16	28	28.19	28.28	28.31	28.32	28.41(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	10	9	49	0.01	54%	0.15	44.9	0.81%	0	1.6	59	0
20	Dec_29_2017	27.12	27.96	28.14	28.28	28.25	28.27	28.21(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	10	-1	41	0	56%	0.11	16.5	0.81%	0	0.9	61	0

21	Dec_28_2017	27.09	27.93	28.1	28.24	28.24	28.3	28.29(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	10	11	48	0	56%	0.11	2.2	0.81%	0	1.4	67	0
22	Dec_27_2017	27.06	27.93	28.06	28.18	28.2	28.23	28.21(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	10	12	50	0.01	58%	0.11	-18.9	0.81%	0	1.2	71	0
23	Dec_26_2017	27.03	27.9	28.05	28.13	28.1	28.17	28.27(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	10	4	52	0	58%	0.07	-23.7	0.82%	0	1.4	73	0
24	Dec_22_2017	27.01	27.89	28.02	28.1	28.08	28.16	28.23(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	20	15	68	0	55%	0.11	-20	0.83%	0	1.1	74	0
25	Dec_21_2017	26.98	27.91	27.99	28.03	28.06	28.03	28.2(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-0	10	64	0.02	55%		-8.7	0.83%	0	0.9	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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