Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 10, 2018

Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Renaissance IPO ETF)
IPO latest price $28.4400 (-0.14%) ($28.2500 - $28.4700) on Wed. Jan. 10, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $28.4400(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IPO declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IPO advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IPO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(13%)    EMHY(12%)    EWI(12%)    EWP(12%)    VYM(12%)
Factors Impacting IPO price   IPO will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-6%)    DIA(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.47(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.41(0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.23(0.74%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IPO price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.09%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.52%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.53%(75%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.52%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.89%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2018	27.35	28.23	28.41	28.47	28.5	28.47	28.44(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-0	-5	42	0	50%	0.11	79	0.8%	0	0.9	72	INF
2	Jan_9_2018	27.32	28.21	28.39	28.49	28.55	28.49	28.48(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-10	-2	51	0	50%	0.11	95.1	0.8%	0	1.2	63	INF
3	Jan_8_2018	27.29	28.18	28.37	28.48	28.56	28.53	28.42(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	0	0	59	0	50%	0.11	105.1	0.8%	0	1.1	69	INF
4	Jan_5_2018	27.26	28.15	28.34	28.43	28.54	28.61	28.52(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	30	8	67	0.01	53%	0.15	98.7	0.8%	0	1.7	75	INF
5	Jan_4_2018	27.22	28.1	28.29	28.39	28.46	28.59	28.48(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	40	15	66	0.01	53%	0.11	92.3	0.81%	0	1.7	68	INF

6	Jan_3_2018	27.19	28.05	28.24	28.33	28.37	28.48	28.55(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	30	17	59	0	53%	0.11	61.8	0.81%	0	2	64	INF
7	Jan_2_2018	27.16	28	28.19	28.28	28.31	28.32	28.41(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	10	9	49	0.01	54%	0.15	44.9	0.81%	0	1.6	59	INF
8	Dec_29_2017	27.12	27.96	28.14	28.28	28.25	28.27	28.21(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	10	-1	41	0	56%	0.11	16.5	0.81%	0	0.9	61	INF
9	Dec_28_2017	27.09	27.93	28.1	28.24	28.24	28.3	28.29(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	10	11	48	0	56%	0.11	2.2	0.81%	0	1.4	67	INF
10	Dec_27_2017	27.06	27.93	28.06	28.18	28.2	28.23	28.21(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	10	12	50	0.01	58%	0.11	-18.9	0.81%	0	1.2	71	INF

11	Dec_26_2017	27.03	27.9	28.05	28.13	28.1	28.17	28.27(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	10	4	52	0	58%	0.07	-23.7	0.82%	0	1.4	73	INF
12	Dec_22_2017	27.01	27.89	28.02	28.1	28.08	28.16	28.23(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	20	15	68	0	55%	0.11	-20	0.83%	0	1.1	74	INF
13	Dec_21_2017	26.98	27.91	27.99	28.03	28.06	28.03	28.2(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-0	10	64	0.02	55%	0.11	-8.7	0.83%	0	0.9	66	INF
14	Dec_20_2017	26.95	27.93	27.94	27.95	28	28.01	27.99(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	10	-2	48	0	53%	0.07	3.9	0.83%	0	0.2	55	INF
15	Dec_19_2017	26.93	27.95	27.9	27.93	27.98	28.09	27.95(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	30	4	45	0	53%	0.07	17.4	0.84%	0	0	59	INF

16	Dec_18_2017	26.91	27.96	27.85	27.95	27.98	28	28.12(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	10	9	33	0	54%	0.07	27.9	0.84%	0	0.4	45	INF
17	Dec_15_2017	26.89	27.95	27.78	27.95	27.96	27.87	27.9(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-20	-6	12	0	54%	0.07	34.1	0.84%	0	-0.1	45	INF
18	Dec_14_2017	26.87	27.94	27.76	27.94	28.05	27.92	27.79(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-20	-7	-19	0	54%	0.07	36.8	0.84%	0	-0.4	31	INF
19	Dec_13_2017	26.85	27.92	27.75	27.93	28.07	28.04	27.9(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	10	3	-37	0	54%	0.07	31.3	0.84%	0	-0	36	INF
20	Dec_12_2017	26.83	27.88	27.73	27.85	27.96	28.18	28.04(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	70	20	-62	0	54%	0.07	21.5	0.84%	0	0.4	43	INF

21	Dec_11_2017	26.81	27.85	27.74	27.74	27.81	28.09	28.09(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	80	38	-70	0	57%	0.11	8.6	0.84%	0	0.5	48	INF
22	Dec_8_2017	26.78	27.82	27.73	27.61	27.65	27.73	27.87(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	20	18	-94	0	55%	0.07	-2.5	0.85%	0	0.1	49	INF
23	Dec_7_2017	26.76	27.8	27.82	27.55	27.62	27.53	27.74(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	-20	-4	-85	0	55%	0.07	-7.7	0.85%	0	-0.1	52	INF
24	Dec_6_2017	26.74	27.8	27.91	27.57	27.63	27.56	27.5(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10	-14	-56	0	54%	0.07	-13	0.85%	0	-0.6	57	INF
25	Dec_5_2017	26.72	27.79	28	27.59	27.72	27.72	27.49(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	10	-14	-25	0	54%		-16.6	0.85%	0	-0.6	57	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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