Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Renaissance IPO ETF)
IPO latest price $28.0357 (-0.19%) ($28.0100 - $28.1890) on Tue. Dec. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $28.0357(-0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IPO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IPO declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IPO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(13%)    EMHY(12%)    EWI(12%)    EWP(12%)    VYM(12%)
Factors Impacting IPO price   IPO will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-6%)    DIA(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.85(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.73(1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.88(0.56%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IPO price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.37%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.26%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.73%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_12_2017	26.83	27.88	27.73	27.85	27.96	28.18	28.04(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	70	20	-62	0	54%	0.07	21.5	0.84%	0	0.4	43	0
2	Dec_11_2017	26.81	27.85	27.74	27.74	27.81	28.09	28.09(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	80	38	-70	0	57%	0.11	8.6	0.84%	0	0.5	48	0
3	Dec_8_2017	26.78	27.82	27.73	27.61	27.65	27.73	27.87(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	20	18	-94	0	55%	0.07	-2.5	0.85%	0	0.1	49	0
4	Dec_7_2017	26.76	27.8	27.82	27.55	27.62	27.53	27.74(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	-20	-4	-85	0	55%	0.07	-7.7	0.85%	0	-0.1	52	0
5	Dec_6_2017	26.74	27.8	27.91	27.57	27.63	27.56	27.5(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10	-14	-56	0	54%	0.07	-13	0.85%	0	-0.6	57	0

6	Dec_5_2017	26.72	27.79	28	27.59	27.72	27.72	27.49(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	10	-14	-25	0	54%	0.07	-16.6	0.85%	0	-0.6	57	0
7	Dec_4_2017	26.7	27.81	28.07	27.74	27.79	27.7	27.44(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-20	-16	12	0.01	54%	0.04	-6.5	0.86%	0	-0.8	54	0
8	Dec_1_2017	26.69	27.83	28.13	27.87	27.9	27.72	27.6(-0.7%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-20	-40	-38	33	0	55%	0.11	1.8	0.86%	0	-0.5	53	0
9	Nov_30_2017	26.66	27.84	28.15	28.13	28.14	27.87	27.8(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-70	-35	79	0.01	55%	0.08	17.6	0.86%	0	-0.1	58	0
10	Nov_29_2017	26.64	27.85	28.11	28.3	28.39	28.08	27.62(-2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-4	-70	-39	100	0.01	55%	0.11	33.9	0.86%	0	-0.5	55	0

11	Nov_28_2017	26.61	27.87	28.08	28.47	28.57	28.41	28.24(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-30	-18	136	0.01	60%	0.11	47.3	0.81%	0	0.8	62	0
12	Nov_27_2017	26.58	27.85	28	28.45	28.61	28.71	28.1(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	35	40	3	132	0.01	60%	0.15	50.6	0.8%	0	0.6	51	0
13	Nov_24_2017	26.54	27.83	27.94	28.42	28.55	28.74	28.87(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	77	60	50	157	0.01	66%	0.19	48.1	0.72%	0	2.3	66	0
14	Nov_22_2017	26.49	27.76	27.78	28.18	28.3	28.51	28.68(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	66	60	51	111	0.01	68%	0.11	44.5	0.72%	0	2.4	66	0
15	Nov_21_2017	26.46	27.69	27.65	27.89	28.02	28.36	28.44(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	54	100	56	48	0.01	66%	0.11	29.5	0.72%	0	2.4	54	0

16	Nov_20_2017	26.43	27.65	27.55	27.64	27.72	28.09	28.16(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	40	100	56	-7	0.01	65%	0.11	14.9	0.72%	0	2	49	0
17	Nov_17_2017	26.4	27.62	27.51	27.48	27.45	27.68	27.95(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	19	60	38	-39	0	64%	0.15	-2.3	0.71%	0	1.4	51	0
18	Nov_16_2017	26.36	27.61	27.49	27.39	27.45	27.34	27.67(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-0	14	-63	0	62%	0.08	-5.5	0.71%	0	0.2	48	0
19	Nov_15_2017	26.34	27.59	27.48	27.33	27.45	27.23	27.21(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-30	-30	-11	-88	0	59%	0.08	-18.7	0.68%	0	-1.5	43	0
20	Nov_14_2017	26.32	27.6	27.56	27.37	27.33	27.32	27.21(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-10	-17	-69	0	61%	0.08	-16.1	0.69%	0	-1.6	46	0

21	Nov_13_2017	26.3	27.62	27.64	27.43	27.38	27.43	27.36(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	10	-10	-47	0	61%	0.08	-8.8	0.69%	0	-1.2	44	0
22	Nov_10_2017	26.28	27.63	27.69	27.55	27.45	27.35	27.51(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-40	-9	-19	0.01	57%	0.11	13.8	0.69%	0	-0.5	51	0
23	Nov_9_2017	26.25	27.62	27.71	27.6	27.56	27.33	27.34(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-60	-27	-19	0.01	57%	0.08	28.8	0.71%	0	-1.3	42	0
24	Nov_8_2017	26.23	27.62	27.75	27.66	27.68	27.56	27.43(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-30	-33	-2	0.01	57%	0.08	46.1	0.71%	0	-1	56	0
25	Nov_7_2017	26.21	27.64	27.76	27.78	27.78	27.8	27.52(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-4	10	-14	28	0	57%		72.5	0.71%	0	-0.5	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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