Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 29, 2017

Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Renaissance IPO ETF)
IPO latest price $27.6201 (-2.2%) ($27.5308 - $28.2000) on Wed. Nov. 29, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $27.6201(-2.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IPO declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IPO advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IPO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(13%)    XLF(13%)    EMHY(12%)    EWP(12%)    VYM(12%)
Factors Impacting IPO price   IPO will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-6%)    DIA(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Resistance Level   $27.85
5 Day Moving Average   $28.3(-2.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.11(-1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.85(-0.83%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IPO price fluctuates within 1.65% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.93%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.55%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 4.4%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -3.3%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.6%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.61%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171229

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_29_2017	26.64	27.85	28.11	28.3	28.39	28.08	27.62(-2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-4	-70	-39	100	0.01	55%	0.11	33.9	0.86%	0	-0.5	55	INF
2	Nov_28_2017	26.61	27.87	28.08	28.47	28.57	28.41	28.24(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-30	-18	136	0.01	60%	0.11	47.3	0.81%	0	0.8	62	INF
3	Nov_27_2017	26.58	27.85	28	28.45	28.61	28.71	28.1(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	35	40	3	132	0.01	60%	0.15	50.6	0.8%	0	0.6	51	INF
4	Nov_24_2017	26.54	27.83	27.94	28.42	28.55	28.74	28.87(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	77	60	50	157	0.01	66%	0.19	48.1	0.72%	0	2.3	66	INF
5	Nov_22_2017	26.49	27.76	27.78	28.18	28.3	28.51	28.68(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	66	60	51	111	0.01	68%	0.11	44.5	0.72%	0	2.4	66	INF

6	Nov_21_2017	26.46	27.69	27.65	27.89	28.02	28.36	28.44(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	54	100	56	48	0.01	66%	0.11	29.5	0.72%	0	2.4	54	INF
7	Nov_20_2017	26.43	27.65	27.55	27.64	27.72	28.09	28.16(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	40	100	56	-7	0.01	65%	0.11	14.9	0.72%	0	2	49	INF
8	Nov_17_2017	26.4	27.62	27.51	27.48	27.45	27.68	27.95(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	19	60	38	-39	0	64%	0.15	-2.3	0.71%	0	1.4	51	INF
9	Nov_16_2017	26.36	27.61	27.49	27.39	27.45	27.34	27.67(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-0	14	-63	0	62%	0.08	-5.5	0.71%	0	0.2	48	INF
10	Nov_15_2017	26.34	27.59	27.48	27.33	27.45	27.23	27.21(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-30	-30	-11	-88	0	59%	0.08	-18.7	0.68%	0	-1.5	43	INF

11	Nov_14_2017	26.32	27.6	27.56	27.37	27.33	27.32	27.21(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-10	-17	-69	0	61%	0.08	-16.1	0.69%	0	-1.6	46	INF
12	Nov_13_2017	26.3	27.62	27.64	27.43	27.38	27.43	27.36(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	10	-10	-47	0	61%	0.08	-8.8	0.69%	0	-1.2	44	INF
13	Nov_10_2017	26.28	27.63	27.69	27.55	27.45	27.35	27.51(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-40	-9	-19	0.01	57%	0.11	13.8	0.69%	0	-0.5	51	INF
14	Nov_9_2017	26.25	27.62	27.71	27.6	27.56	27.33	27.34(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-60	-27	-19	0.01	57%	0.08	28.8	0.71%	0	-1.3	42	INF
15	Nov_8_2017	26.23	27.62	27.75	27.66	27.68	27.56	27.43(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-30	-33	-2	0.01	57%	0.08	46.1	0.71%	0	-1	56	INF

16	Nov_7_2017	26.21	27.64	27.76	27.78	27.78	27.56	27.52(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-4	10	-14	28	0	57%	0.11	72.5	0.71%	0	-0.5	53	INF
17	Nov_6_2017	26.18	27.63	27.78	27.88	27.78	27.8	27.94(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-20	7	67	0.01	61%	0.11	88.5	0.68%	0	1.3	61	INF
18	Nov_3_2017	26.15	27.59	27.78	27.85	27.88	27.75	27.78(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-30	-16	54	0.01	61%	0.08	89	0.69%	0	0.8	55	INF
19	Nov_2_2017	26.13	27.56	27.74	27.85	27.91	27.97	27.62(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	16	20	-2	70	0.01	56%	0.11	94.7	0.69%	0	0.2	54	INF
20	Nov_1_2017	26.1	27.54	27.71	27.84	27.88	28.02	28.03(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	40	28	73	0	60%	0.08	97.1	0.7%	0	1.7	60	INF

21	Oct_31_2017	26.08	27.48	27.65	27.73	27.76	27.86	28.04(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	30	20	50	0.01	60%	0.12	90.8	0.7%	0	1.9	60	INF
22	Oct_30_2017	26.05	27.42	27.58	27.66	27.67	27.73	27.8(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	20	12	37	0	58%	0.12	95.4	0.7%	0	1.3	60	INF
23	Oct_27_2017	26.02	27.37	27.55	27.61	27.62	27.66	27.73(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	10	1	36	0	55%	0.08	94.9	0.7%	0	1.1	63	INF
24	Oct_26_2017	26	27.32	27.52	27.63	27.64	27.6	27.59(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10	7	50	0	55%	0.08	85.9	0.72%	0	0.7	62	INF
25	Oct_25_2017	25.98	27.26	27.51	27.56	27.65	27.59	27.5(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10	-0	47	0	57%		76.9	0.72%	0	0.6	60	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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