Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Renaissance IPO ETF)
IPO latest price $27.3400 (-0.32%) ($27.0200 - $27.3400) on Thu. Nov. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $27.3400(-0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IPO declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IPO declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IPO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(13%)    XLF(13%)    EMHY(12%)    EWP(12%)    VYM(12%)
Factors Impacting IPO price   IPO will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-6%)    DIA(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $27.62
5 Day Moving Average   $27.6(-0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.71(-1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.62(-1.01%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IPO price fluctuates within 0.8% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.97%(80%) Average negative next day return: 0%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.08%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -1.3%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.35%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.36%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2017	26.25	27.62	27.71	27.6	27.56	27.33	27.34(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-60	-27	-19	0.01	57%	0.08	28.8	0.71%	0	-1.3	42	INF
2	Nov_8_2017	26.23	27.62	27.75	27.66	27.68	27.56	27.43(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-30	-33	-2	0.01	57%	0.08	46.1	0.71%	0	-1	56	INF
3	Nov_7_2017	26.21	27.64	27.76	27.78	27.78	27.56	27.52(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-4	10	-14	28	0	57%	0.11	72.5	0.71%	0	-0.5	53	INF
4	Nov_6_2017	26.18	27.63	27.78	27.88	27.78	27.8	27.94(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-20	7	67	0.01	61%	0.11	88.5	0.68%	0	1.3	61	INF
5	Nov_3_2017	26.15	27.59	27.78	27.85	27.88	27.75	27.78(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-30	-16	54	0.01	61%	0.08	89	0.69%	0	0.8	55	INF

6	Nov_2_2017	26.13	27.56	27.74	27.85	27.91	27.97	27.62(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	16	20	-2	70	0.01	56%	0.11	94.7	0.69%	0	0.2	54	INF
7	Nov_1_2017	26.1	27.54	27.71	27.84	27.88	28.02	28.03(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	40	28	73	0	60%	0.08	97.1	0.7%	0	1.7	60	INF
8	Oct_31_2017	26.08	27.48	27.65	27.73	27.76	27.86	28.04(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	30	20	50	0.01	60%	0.12	90.8	0.7%	0	1.9	60	INF
9	Oct_30_2017	26.05	27.42	27.58	27.66	27.67	27.73	27.8(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	20	12	37	0	58%	0.12	95.4	0.7%	0	1.3	60	INF
10	Oct_27_2017	26.02	27.37	27.55	27.61	27.62	27.66	27.73(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	10	1	36	0	55%	0.08	94.9	0.7%	0	1.1	63	INF

11	Oct_26_2017	26	27.32	27.52	27.63	27.64	27.6	27.59(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10	7	50	0	55%	0.08	85.9	0.72%	0	0.7	62	INF
12	Oct_25_2017	25.98	27.26	27.52	27.56	27.65	27.59	27.5(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10	-0	47	0	57%	0.04	76.9	0.72%	0	0.6	60	INF
13	Oct_24_2017	25.97	27.21	27.51	27.54	27.57	27.67	27.7(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	30	5	65	0	59%	0.08	69.8	0.72%	0	1.1	69	INF
14	Oct_23_2017	25.95	27.14	27.47	27.54	27.52	27.72	27.54(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	60	22	75	0.01	59%	0.08	59	0.72%	0	0.9	67	INF
15	Oct_20_2017	25.93	27.07	27.44	27.48	27.42	27.47	27.82(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	10	20	87	0	62%	0.08	56.3	0.71%	0	1.6	77	INF

16	Oct_19_2017	25.91	27	27.44	27.4	27.38	27.32	27.23(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-20	-16	82	0	60%	0.08	56.5	0.66%	0	0.5	74	INF
17	Oct_18_2017	25.89	26.96	27.36	27.46	27.49	27.38	27.43(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-20	-8	120	0	62%	0.12	60.3	0.66%	0	1	86	INF
18	Oct_17_2017	25.86	26.91	27.31	27.48	27.52	27.44	27.37(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-20	-15	135	0	62%	0.04	64.3	0.66%	0	1	77	INF
19	Oct_16_2017	25.85	26.87	27.26	27.47	27.6	27.61	27.53(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	49	20	9	167	0	62%	0.12	66.1	0.66%	0	1.4	87	INF
20	Oct_13_2017	25.82	26.81	27.19	27.39	27.61	27.6	27.46(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	20	15	179	0	64%	0.08	63.7	0.66%	0	1.4	87	INF

21	Oct_12_2017	25.8	26.75	27.1	27.32	27.48	27.59	27.51(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	50	11	172	0.01	66%	0.12	64.6	0.66%	0	1.8	73	INF
22	Oct_11_2017	25.77	26.68	26.99	27.24	27.38	27.62	27.51(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	73	80	40	170	0.01	66%	0.08	66	0.67%	0	2.1	75	INF
23	Oct_10_2017	25.75	26.62	26.89	27.11	27.22	27.37	27.32(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	65	50	36	153	0	64%	0.12	64.9	0.67%	0	2	73	INF
24	Oct_9_2017	25.72	26.57	26.78	27.02	27.03	27.13	27.14(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	30	15	121	0.01	63%	0.08	70.1	0.67%	0	1.8	62	INF
25	Oct_6_2017	25.7	26.53	26.68	26.95	26.96	27.08	27.09(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	30	25	105	0.01	62%		67.3	0.67%	0	1.9	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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