Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Renaissance IPO ETF)
IPO latest price $25.2879 (-0.45%) ($25.2300 - $25.4000) on Mon. Aug. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $25.2879(-0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IPO declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IPO declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IPO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(13%)    XLF(13%)    EMHY(12%)    EWP(12%)    VT(12%)
Factors Impacting IPO price   IPO will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-6%)    DIA(-4%)    UNG(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $25.64
5 Day Moving Average   $25.43(-0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.47(-0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.64(-1.37%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IPO price fluctuates within 0.98% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.33%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.33%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.06%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.03%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.24%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.92%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170921

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_21_2017	24.83	25.64	25.47	25.43	25.43	25.33	25.29(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-30	-13	-48	0.01	53%	0.08	-29.6	0.78%	0	-1.4	41	INF
2	Aug_18_2017	24.81	25.67	25.52	25.5	25.48	25.4	25.4(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-20	-11	-39	0	53%	0.08	-20.4	0.77%	0	-1.1	41	INF
3	Aug_17_2017	24.79	25.69	25.54	25.49	25.55	25.54	25.47(-0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	0	7	-39	0	49%	0.12	-11.1	0.77%	0	-1	42	INF
4	Aug_16_2017	24.76	25.69	25.55	25.44	25.47	25.54	25.56(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	30	0	-64	0	49%	0.12	-7	0.82%	0	-0.7	37	INF
5	Aug_15_2017	24.73	25.71	25.58	25.46	25.41	25.56	25.45(-0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	40	5	-65	0	52%	0.08	4.5	0.82%	0	-1.1	36	INF

6	Aug_14_2017	24.71	25.71	25.61	25.51	25.42	25.39	25.6(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-20	3	-60	0	52%	0.12	24.4	0.84%	0	-0.5	45	INF
7	Aug_11_2017	24.68	25.71	25.63	25.55	25.46	25.26	25.36(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-70	-22	-65	0	48%	0.12	41.9	0.83%	0	-1.6	44	INF
8	Aug_10_2017	24.65	25.72	25.68	25.6	25.61	25.46	25.25(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-28	-40	-19	-55	0	48%	0.12	58.4	0.85%	0	-2	40	INF
9	Aug_9_2017	24.62	25.73	25.77	25.65	25.67	25.67	25.65(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	0	-12	-38	0	51%	0.16	75.6	0.83%	0	-0.4	46	INF
10	Aug_8_2017	24.58	25.7	25.82	25.65	25.68	25.76	25.71(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	20	4	-8	0	51%	0.12	75.2	0.83%	0	0	56	INF

11	Aug_7_2017	24.55	25.66	25.82	25.72	25.68	25.67	25.77(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-20	3	0	0	51%	0.2	62.8	0.83%	0	0.4	56	INF
12	Aug_3_2017	24.5	25.63	25.83	25.73	25.73	25.61	25.64(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-30	-16	-1	0	53%	0.16	50.7	0.85%	0	0	55	INF
13	Aug_2_2017	24.46	25.58	25.85	25.77	25.78	25.79	25.5(-1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	0	-18	18	0	54%	0.12	45	0.87%	0	-0.2	58	INF
14	Aug_1_2017	24.43	25.56	25.89	25.9	25.86	25.85	25.96(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-10	-2	59	0	59%	0.16	53	0.84%	0	1	69	INF
15	Jul_31_2017	24.39	25.51	25.85	25.94	25.92	25.78	25.76(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-40	-9	74	0	59%	0.12	50.3	0.84%	0	0.6	72	INF

16	Jul_28_2017	24.36	25.47	25.84	25.96	25.92	25.88	25.81(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-20	-8	97	0	59%	0.16	49.1	0.84%	0	0.8	76	INF
17	Jul_27_2017	24.32	25.43	25.81	25.96	25.96	25.88	25.84(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	30	2	117	0	59%	0.12	46.2	0.84%	0	0.9	77	INF
18	Jul_26_2017	24.29	25.4	25.76	25.94	25.91	26.05	26.15(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	30	18	144	0	61%	0.16	50.3	0.82%	0	1.7	91	INF
19	Jul_25_2017	24.25	25.34	25.68	25.88	25.85	25.88	26.12(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	52	0	20	148	0	61%	0.17	48.1	0.82%	0	2	78	INF
20	Jul_24_2017	24.21	25.29	25.57	25.76	25.8	25.77	25.87(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	-0	6	130	0	61%	0.12	44.2	0.82%	0	1.7	77	INF

21	Jul_21_2017	24.18	25.26	25.48	25.7	25.72	25.81	25.74(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	30	5	119	0	61%	0.12	45	0.83%	0	1.5	67	INF
22	Jul_20_2017	24.15	25.23	25.4	25.66	25.68	25.82	25.83(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	40	26	123	0	63%	0.12	45.5	0.83%	0	1.9	72	INF
23	Jul_19_2017	24.12	25.19	25.29	25.55	25.58	25.62	25.82(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	10	18	89	0.01	64%	0.17	38.3	0.83%	0	2.3	58	INF
24	Jul_18_2017	24.08	25.15	25.2	25.45	25.48	25.53	25.53(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	20	10	70	0	62%	0.12	28.6	0.83%	0	1.7	61	INF
25	Jul_17_2017	24.05	25.14	25.13	25.35	25.44	25.54	25.57(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	40	23	51	0.01	63%		23.9	0.83%	0	2	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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