Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Renaissance IPO ETF)
IPO latest price $25.3300 (0.8%) ($25.2100 - $25.3895) on Tue. Jun. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $25.3300(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IPO declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IPO advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IPO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(9%)    GDX(7%)    XME(7%)    XOP(6%)    CEMB(5%)
Factors Impacting IPO price   IPO will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    REMX(-5%)    KWEB(-5%)    BOTZ(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.48(-0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.56(-0.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.25(0.32%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IPO price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.92%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.59%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.26%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170713

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_13_2017	23.32	25.25	25.56	25.48	25.46	25.23	25.33(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-70	-25	44	0.01	60%	0.17	41	0.78%	0	0.2	63	INF
2	Jun_12_2017	23.28	25.23	25.54	25.58	25.57	25.4	25.13(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-12	-50	-37	64	0	58%	0.13	52.4	0.78%	0	-0.2	61	INF
3	Jun_9_2017	23.25	25.21	25.56	25.7	25.73	25.7	25.44(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	20	-0	-12	116	0	61%	0.17	58.9	0.76%	0	0.5	73	INF
4	Jun_8_2017	23.21	25.17	25.54	25.78	25.75	25.74	25.77(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	40	-10	-0	160	0	64%	0.22	65.6	0.74%	0	1.3	87	INF
5	Jun_7_2017	23.16	25.13	25.47	25.76	25.78	25.74	25.73(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	57	-0	14	184	0	64%	0.17	80.7	0.74%	0	1.4	87	INF

6	Jun_6_2017	23.12	25.08	25.38	25.65	25.73	25.76	25.82(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	20	20	165	0	62%	0.13	82.6	0.74%	0	1.8	65	INF
7	Jun_5_2017	23.09	25.02	25.29	25.51	25.55	25.79	25.75(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	51	70	23	136	0.01	62%	0.17	87.2	0.75%	0	1.9	64	INF
8	Jun_2_2017	23.05	24.96	25.17	25.4	25.42	25.69	25.84(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	67	80	46	128	0	60%	0.22	100	0.75%	0	2.5	72	INF
9	Jun_1_2017	23	24.87	25.04	25.26	25.26	25.31	25.67(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	44	10	27	94	0.01	61%	0.17	103.9	0.77%	0	2.5	71	INF
10	May_31_2017	22.96	24.78	24.92	25.14	25.14	25.16	25.17(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	10	4	56	0	59%	0.17	93.2	0.73%	0	1.2	54	INF

11	May_30_2017	22.92	24.73	24.9	25.08	25.13	25.21	25.11(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	30	16	58	0.01	56%	0.26	93.4	0.73%	0	1.1	57	INF
12	May_26_2017	22.86	24.68	24.89	25.02	25.03	25.13	25.19(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	30	22	62	0.01	56%	0.18	82.1	0.75%	0	1.3	61	INF
13	May_25_2017	22.82	24.61	24.83	24.91	24.93	25.04	25.15(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	30	23	45	0	56%	0.18	77.2	0.76%	0	1.3	62	INF
14	May_24_2017	22.78	24.55	24.78	24.79	24.83	24.94	25.07(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	40	26	35	0.01	56%	0.18	74.3	0.76%	0	1.2	66	INF
15	May_23_2017	22.74	24.48	24.76	24.67	24.67	24.83	24.86(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	50	7	37	0	55%	0.09	72.8	0.76%	0	0.9	70	INF

16	May_22_2017	22.72	24.42	24.75	24.7	24.6	24.72	24.84(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	20	8	62	0	55%	0.22	79.2	0.76%	0	0.9	62	INF
17	May_19_2017	22.67	24.36	24.73	24.7	24.65	24.51	24.64(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-50	-1	86	0.01	55%	0.18	82.3	0.76%	0	0.5	63	INF
18	May_18_2017	22.63	24.29	24.72	24.74	24.75	24.47	24.54(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-80	-24	103	0.01	55%	0.18	82.7	0.76%	0	0.5	64	INF
19	May_17_2017	22.59	24.23	24.7	24.75	24.81	24.79	24.47(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	0	-25	118	0	55%	0.13	81	0.77%	0	0.4	63	INF
20	May_16_2017	22.56	24.16	24.65	24.84	24.83	25.02	25.02(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	59	50	21	173	0.01	60%	0.13	80.2	0.71%	0	1.3	76	INF

21	May_15_2017	22.53	24.06	24.56	24.79	24.79	24.83	25.04(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	10	25	183	0.01	62%	0.18	78.1	0.72%	0	1.5	77	INF
22	May_12_2017	22.49	23.94	24.46	24.71	24.73	24.63	24.65(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	39	-30	-8	179	0	61%	0.22	79.8	0.7%	0	1.1	76	INF
23	May_11_2017	22.44	23.84	24.38	24.7	24.76	24.74	24.6(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	53	0	4	201	0	61%	0.13	75.1	0.71%	0	1.1	79	INF
24	May_10_2017	22.41	23.75	24.3	24.63	24.71	24.83	24.92(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	84	40	36	228	0.01	64%	0.22	72.7	0.69%	0	1.7	86	INF
25	May_9_2017	22.36	23.65	24.18	24.42	24.55	24.77	24.76(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	81	80	36	214	0	67%		65.8	0.69%	0	1.7	87	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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