Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 23, 2020

Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Incyte Corp)
INCY latest price $101.9000 (0.84%) ($100.5450 - $104.2000) on Thu. Apr. 23, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.21% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $101.9000(0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   INCY advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   INCY advances 10.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support INCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(59%)    XBI(45%)    XLV(41%)    ARKG(40%)    IVW(39%)
Factors Impacting INCY price   INCY will decline at least -1.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    VXX(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    TBT(-3%)    IYT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.605% (StdDev 3.21%)
Hourly BBV 0.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $100.75(1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.98(6.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.33(16.68%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   60.7%
Market Cap   $22.221b

Incyte Corp. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics. Its portfolio includes compounds in various stages, ranging from preclinical to late stage development, and commercialized products such as JAKAFI (ruxolitinib), and ICLUSIG (ponatinib). The company was founded by Roy A. Whitfield in April 1991 and is headquartered in Wilmington, DE.

$. INCY price fluctuates within 12.34% (three month std-dev: 3.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 4.63%(45%) Average negative next day return: -2.12%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 13.8%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -3.21%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 14.21%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.65%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200523

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_23_2020	81.02	87.33	95.98	100.75	100.87	101.66	101.9(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	84	60	43	208	1.26	60%	0.09	88.2	3.21%	0.7	1.4	92	0.4
2	Apr_22_2020	80.95	85.72	94.57	99.49	99.89	99.98	101.05(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	76	20	27	222	1.61	60%	0.1	86.7	3.21%	1	1.4	92	0.3
3	Apr_21_2020	80.87	84.04	93.11	97.48	98.26	100.08	99.56(-1.66%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	85	150	35	236	2.62	59%	0.06	80.2	3.2%	-0.1	1.4	93	-0.2
4	Apr_20_2020	80.82	82.24	91.66	95.82	96.2	99.8	101.24(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	139	270	94	275	2.42	59%	0.09	71	3.21%	1	1.7	96	0.6
5	Apr_17_2020	80.75	80.49	89.41	93.17	93.66	96.45	100(4.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	147	220	105	274	3.84	59%	0.25	63.7	3.24%	1.6	1.9	97	1.2

6	Apr_16_2020	80.55	78.76	87.1	90.55	90.74	92.56	95.62(5.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	103	150	57	241	3.5	57%	0.02	59.4	3.19%	2	1.7	82	1.1
7	Apr_15_2020	80.53	77.28	84.98	88.99	88.75	90.84	90.97(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	94	160	45	239	1.62	55%	-0.04	55.7	3.13%	0.9	1.5	83	1.1
8	Apr_14_2020	80.56	76.2	83.24	88.08	87.89	88.93	91.28(3.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	106	80	56	254	1.9	57%	-0.04	54.1	3.14%	1.5	1.8	85	1.5
9	Apr_13_2020	80.59	75.15	81.33	86.85	86.73	86.67	88(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	76	-10	18	251	1.38	56%	-0.11	55.4	3.18%	1.7	1.6	86	1.2
10	Apr_9_2020	80.68	74.37	79.46	84.99	85.93	86.85	86.86(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	87	110	34	245	1.8	57%	-0.02	51.7	3.17%	-0.1	1.7	76	0.9

11	Apr_8_2020	80.7	73.38	78.04	83.03	83.96	86.79	87.82(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	122	270	77	257	2.08	57%	0	40.3	3.17%	1.1	2.2	78	0.9
12	Apr_7_2020	80.7	72.51	76.18	80.31	81.07	85.01	86.44(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	146	370	113	244	2.92	57%	-0.01	25.9	3.17%	0.9	2.5	76	0.8
13	Apr_6_2020	80.71	71.81	74.24	77.65	77.91	81.13	85.13(8.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	133	300	110	200	3.21	57%	-0.02	11.9	3.16%	1.6	2.8	67	0.8
14	Apr_3_2020	80.73	71.04	72.04	75.07	75.24	77.13	78.69(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	92	180	78	135	2.21	50%	-0.09	-13.3	3%	1.2	2	59	0.1
15	Apr_2_2020	80.8	70.83	70.81	73.13	73.31	74.69	77.05(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	140	42	69	1.47	49%	-0.14	-26.7	3.21%	2.2	1.6	53	-0.1

16	Apr_1_2020	80.91	70.84	69.71	72.3	71.86	73.35	74.24(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	130	35	51	1.96	47%	-0.15	-27.7	3.18%	1	0.8	59	-0.4
17	Mar_31_2020	81.03	71.07	68.94	71.39	71.38	71.92	73.15(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	50	42	28	1.69	47%	-0.16	-30.4	3.2%	1.5	0.5	51	-0.1
18	Mar_30_2020	81.16	71.25	68.59	70.26	70.56	70.35	72.2(4.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	15	-10	22	-7	1.99	47%	-0.16	-35.2	3.19%	1.3	0.2	47	-0.3
19	Mar_27_2020	81.29	71.55	68.47	68.5	69.15	70.85	68.99(-5.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	200	18	-35	1.46	45%	-0.17	-45.1	3.13%	-0.7	-0.6	48	-0.6
20	Mar_26_2020	81.43	71.86	68.89	68.06	67.8	70.77	72.94(4.69%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	49	300	74	-26	1.84	46%	-0.15	-52.9	3.06%	1.3	0.2	46	-0.3

21	Mar_25_2020	81.55	71.98	68.36	66.75	67.09	67.45	69.67(3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	24	50	59	-80	2.5	44%	-0.18	-64.8	3.01%	1.5	-0.5	39	-0.7
22	Mar_24_2020	81.7	72.38	68.54	66.19	66.15	64.83	67.48(6.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-70	-140	-43	-151	2.79	42%	-0.21	-71.3	3%	0.2	-1	35	-0.6
23	Mar_23_2020	81.87	72.88	69.18	66.75	66.7	66.72	63.42(-5.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-78	-0	-50	-161	2.44	39%	-0.26	-70.8	2.87%	-1.6	-2	33	-0.8
24	Mar_20_2020	82.08	73.68	70.01	68.42	68.63	67.47	66.78(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-110	-9	-143	2.68	41%	-0.22	-66.6	2.82%	-0.2	-1.5	34	-1.5
25	Mar_19_2020	82.26	74.39	70.92	69.82	69.43	66.68	66.41(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-93	-290	-74	-148	2.58	41%		-56.4	2.81%	-0.6	-1.7	41	-1.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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