Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Incyte Corp)
INCY latest price $85.0600 (1.86%) ($83.3500 - $85.5000) on Tue. Sep. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.43% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $85.0600(1.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   INCY advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   INCY advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support INCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(60%)    XBI(52%)    XLV(45%)    ARKG(43%)    QQQ(42%)
Factors Impacting INCY price   INCY will decline at least -1.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-5%)    BOTZ(-4%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.215% (StdDev 2.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.23(3.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.52(4.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.52(4.34%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   17.4%
Market Cap   $18.549b

Incyte Corp. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics. Its portfolio includes compounds in various stages, ranging from preclinical to late stage development, and commercialized products such as JAKAFI (ruxolitinib), and ICLUSIG (ponatinib). The company was founded by Roy A. Whitfield in April 1991 and is headquartered in Wilmington, DE.

$. INCY price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 2.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2016	81.22	81.52	81.52	82.23			85.06(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	13	-10000	12	15	1.1	49%	0.14	75.3	2.43%	0	2.4	60	0
2	Sep_19_2016	81.11	81.34	81.32	81.06			83.51(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	4	-10000	5	-1	1.22	49%	0.14	69.6	2.42%	0	1.8	56	0
3	Sep_16_2016	81	80.99	81.14	80.59			82.15(2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	-10000	6	-6	1.46	46%	0.12	30.9	2.46%	0	0.7	54	0
4	Sep_15_2016	80.9	80.71	81	79.98			80.36(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-2	-17	1.1	46%	0.1	5.2	2.45%	0	-0.2	52	0
5	Sep_14_2016	80.82	80.54	81.08	80.22			80.05(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-5	-19	1.09	46%	0.06	-7.4	2.45%	0	-0.2	43	0

6	Sep_13_2016	80.77	80.45	81.19	80.7			79.21(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-9	-15	1.07	46%	0.04	-18.7	2.44%	0	-0.6	43	0
7	Sep_12_2016	80.74	80.52	81.19	81.61			81.16(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-2	1	1.47	46%	0.06	-22.6	2.43%	0	0.3	47	0
8	Sep_9_2016	80.69	80.51	81.42	81.78			79.13(-2.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-3	17	1.1	44%	0.01	-41.1	2.41%	0	-0.6	63	0
9	Sep_8_2016	80.68	80.61	81.56	82.12			81.56(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	-10000	1	37	0.81	46%	0.04	-55.9	2.39%	0	0.4	70	0
10	Sep_7_2016	80.65	80.69	81.63	82.03			82.45(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	3	54	2.26	43%	0.07	-70	2.39%	0	0.8	71	0

11	Sep_6_2016	80.59	80.85	81.57	81.73			83.75(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	5	62	1.58	43%	0.11	-69.2	2.42%	0	1.2	69	0
12	Sep_2_2016	80.5	81.01	81.36	81.25			82.02(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	2	57	1.13	44%	0.04	-56.1	2.42%	0	0.3	54	0
13	Sep_1_2016	80.47	81.39	80.81	81.05			80.81(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	1	41	0.67	44%	0.02	-51	2.44%	0	-0.1	49	0
14	Aug_31_2016	80.45	81.82	80.39	80.91			81.1(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-10000	-3	23	1.22	44%	0.05	-45.6	2.45%	0	-0.2	49	0
15	Aug_30_2016	80.41	82.26	79.96	81.18			80.98(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-10000	-2	9	0.76	44%	0.06	-40.7	2.45%	0	-0.3	42	0

16	Aug_29_2016	80.36	82.63	79.65	81.36			81.33(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-4	-10000	-1	-11	0.59	44%	0.05	-36.4	2.46%	0	-0.3	36	0
17	Aug_26_2016	80.32	83.04	79.54	81.49			81.04(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	-10000	10	-24	0.89	46%	0.02	-31.5	2.5%	0	-0.4	33	0
18	Aug_25_2016	80.3	83.47	79.51	80.51			80.1(-2.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	-10000	8	-68	1.64	46%	-0.02	-33.5	2.5%	0	-0.7	26	0
19	Aug_24_2016	80.32	83.87	79.59	79.72			82.44(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	-10000	12	-103	3.33	48%	0.11	-37.7	2.49%	0	-0.3	31	0
20	Aug_23_2016	80.23	84.17	79.63	78.53			81.9(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-30	-10000	8	-143	1.26	51%	0.1	-42.7	2.49%	0	-0.4	29	0

21	Aug_22_2016	80.15	84.43	79.99	77.72			81.98(7.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-38	-10000	3	-162	2.81	51%	0.11	-43.9	2.54%	0	-0.5	35	0
22	Aug_19_2016	80.06	84.66	80.5	77.43			76.11(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-56	-10000	-11	-191	1.15	45%	0.05	-44.1	2.37%	0	-1.7	14	0
23	Aug_18_2016	80.02	85.21	81.92	78.42			76.16(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-52	-10000	-11	-175	1.25	45%	0.1	-40.4	2.38%	0	-1.9	14	0
24	Aug_17_2016	79.94	85.84	83.32	79.43			76.48(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-49	-10000	-14	-155	1.28	45%	0.09	-33.2	2.4%	0	-2.2	24	0
25	Aug_16_2016	79.87	86.41	84.76	80.83			77.86(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-47	-10000	-18	-132	1.39	49%		-22.8	2.4%	0	-2.3	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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