Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Incyte Corp)
INCY latest price $108.9000 (3.33%) ($105.4000 - $110.9900) on Thu. Jun. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.22% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $108.9000(3.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   INCY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   INCY declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support INCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(64%)    XBI(56%)    XLV(49%)    QQQ(43%)    SPY(41%)
Factors Impacting INCY price   INCY will decline at least -1.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.11% (StdDev 2.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $102.86(-5.55%)
5 Day Moving Average   $105.51(3.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $106.1(2.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.16(1.62%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   23.1%
Market Cap   $23.748b

Incyte Corp. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics. Its portfolio includes compounds in various stages, ranging from preclinical to late stage development, and commercialized products such as JAKAFI (ruxolitinib), and ICLUSIG (ponatinib). The company was founded by Roy A. Whitfield in April 1991 and is headquartered in Wilmington, DE.

$. INCY price fluctuates within 1.63% (three month std-dev: 2.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2015	95.38	107.16	106.1	105.51			108.9(3.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.9	-6	-10000	5	-37	0.88	65%	0.29	-35.6	2.22%	0	1	45	0
2	Jun_17_2015	95.1	107.17	105.86	104.95			105.39(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-0	-52	0.49	63%	0.24	-30.5	2.19%	0	-1	43	0
3	Jun_16_2015	94.87	107.32	106.19	104.98			104.07(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-4	-51	0.77	63%	0.23	-22.7	2.19%	0	-1.9	40	0
4	Jun_15_2015	94.65	107.52	106.6	105.41			103.68(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-6	-45	0.82	63%	0.25	-9.5	2.2%	0	-2.4	41	0
5	Jun_12_2015	94.41	107.7	107.2	106.08			105.49(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-6	-32	0.57	63%	0.3	13.1	2.19%	0	-1.7	44	0

6	Jun_11_2015	94.13	107.79	107.66	106.77			106.11(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-1	-17	0.8	63%	0.32	47.4	2.19%	0	-1.4	43	0
7	Jun_10_2015	93.83	107.79	107.88	106.91			105.53(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-6	-21	1.08	63%	0.3	56.5	2.19%	0	-1.6	38	0
8	Jun_9_2015	93.55	107.72	108.15	107.6			106.25(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5	-10000	-3	-11	0.8	63%	0.14	92.6	2.19%	0	-1	45	0
9	Jun_8_2015	93.42	107.67	108.29	107.95			107(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-5	-8	0.87	63%	0.37	104.1	2.19%	0	-0.4	49	0
10	Jun_5_2015	93.08	107.53	108.38	108.49			108.94(1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-2	3	1.1	66%	0.4	116.4	2.19%	0	0.8	58	0

11	Jun_4_2015	92.71	107.21	108.32	108.73			106.84(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-10000	-2	10	1.18	66%	0.35	114.4	2.25%	0	-0.2	52	0
12	Jun_3_2015	92.39	106.93	108.6	108.99			108.98(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10000	2	28	0.94	66%	0.37	96.2	2.23%	0	0.8	69	0
13	Jun_2_2015	92.05	106.39	108.53	108.78			108(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	-10000	1	32	1.1	67%	0.39	72.3	2.23%	0	0.5	63	0
14	Jun_1_2015	91.69	106.06	108.51	108.64			109.68(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	3	39	1.14	67%	0.43	68	2.25%	0	1.1	71	0
15	May_29_2015	91.3	105.5	108.23	108.24			110.15(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	12	-10000	3	40	1.25	67%	0.42	48.8	2.27%	0	1.3	76	0

16	May_28_2015	90.92	104.87	107.88	107.89			108.14(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	-3	45	0.64	67%	0.38	31.1	2.28%	0	0.9	77	0
17	May_27_2015	90.58	104.54	107.53	108.2			107.92(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-1	59	1.08	67%	0.42	26.4	2.3%	0	0.9	80	0
18	May_26_2015	90.2	104.13	107.25	108.26			107.29(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10000	-1	78	0.88	67%	0.57	15.4	2.32%	0	0.8	84	0
19	May_22_2015	89.69	103.83	107.01	108.33			107.69(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	1	88	0.69	67%	0.2	11.5	2.39%	0	1	68	0
20	May_21_2015	89.51	103.77	106.65	108.17			108.41(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	3	101	0.61	67%	0.42	16.9	2.41%	0	1.2	74	0

21	May_20_2015	89.14	103.69	106.03	107.84			109.67(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	-10000	8	112	0.77	69%	0.42	20.8	2.42%	0	1.6	79	0
22	May_19_2015	88.77	103.55	105.13	106.76			108.25(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	5	95	0.56	69%	0.4	22.4	2.43%	0	1.3	62	0
23	May_18_2015	88.42	103.53	104.09	106.11			107.65(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	5	84	0.83	69%	0.4	31.1	2.44%	0	1.1	65	0
24	May_15_2015	88.07	103.39	103.41	105.5			106.86(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	5	77	0.78	69%	0.23	34.8	2.43%	0	1	59	0
25	May_14_2015	87.87	103.12	102.55	104.9			106.78(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	7	51	1.2	69%		41.5	2.45%	0	1.1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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