Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Incyte Corp)
INCY latest price $106.7800 (2.42%) ($102.8800 - $107.7000) on Thu. May. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.45% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $106.7800(2.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   INCY advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   INCY advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support INCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(65%)    XBI(57%)    XLV(50%)    QQQ(43%)    SPY(41%)
Factors Impacting INCY price   INCY will decline at least -1.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.225% (StdDev 2.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.9(1.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.55(4.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.12(3.55%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   37.2%
Market Cap   $23.285b

Incyte Corp. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics. Its portfolio includes compounds in various stages, ranging from preclinical to late stage development, and commercialized products such as JAKAFI (ruxolitinib), and ICLUSIG (ponatinib). The company was founded by Roy A. Whitfield in April 1991 and is headquartered in Wilmington, DE.

$. INCY price fluctuates within 3.35% (three month std-dev: 2.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150614

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_14_2015	87.87	103.12	102.55	104.9			106.78(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	7	51	1.2	69%	0.41	41.5	2.45%	0	1.1	47	0
2	May_13_2015	87.51	102.9	101.59	103.96			104.26(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	6	15	0.6	69%	0.42	48.8	2.46%	0	0.4	43	0
3	May_12_2015	87.14	102.71	101.29	103.21			105(0.37%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	8	-10000	12	-6	0.79	69%	0.35	53.7	2.45%	0	0.7	44	0
4	May_11_2015	86.84	102.42	100.72	101.71			104.61(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	6	-49	0.78	69%	0.34	54.4	2.46%	0	0.6	41	0
5	May_8_2015	86.55	102.18	100.35	100.99			103.83(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	9	-69	1.36	69%	0.32	57.6	2.42%	0	0.4	47	0

6	May_7_2015	86.27	101.71	100.58	99.88			102.08(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	8	-73	1.2	69%	0.31	50.2	2.44%	0	0.1	52	0
7	May_6_2015	86	101.27	101.07	98.9			100.54(3.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	-10000	-2	-80	1.32	69%	0.35	42.8	2.45%	0	-0.2	48	0
8	May_5_2015	85.7	100.88	101.76	99.12			97.5(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-3	-63	0.94	69%	0.32	40	2.43%	0	-0.6	49	0
9	May_4_2015	85.43	100.55	102.91	99.54			101(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	-1	-37	1.45	68%	0.32	35	2.4%	0	0.1	56	0
10	May_1_2015	85.16	99.98	103.36	99.62			98.28(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-14	-29	1.62	64%	0.28	30.5	2.46%	0	-0.3	50	0

11	Apr_30_2015	84.92	99.58	103.78	101.43			97.16(-4.44%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-10	-10000	-17	10	1.92	64%	0.25	36.5	2.48%	0	-0.4	60	0
12	Apr_29_2015	84.71	99.25	104.44	103.57			101.67(2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-10	67	1.5	68%	0.27	43.7	2.42%	0	0.4	69	0
13	Apr_28_2015	84.48	98.77	104.38	104.83			99.6(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-15	105	1.93	68%	0.28	47.7	2.41%	0	0.1	68	0
14	Apr_27_2015	84.24	98.52	104.42	106.75			101.38(-5.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	36	-10000	-6	162	1.43	68%	0.32	56.6	2.42%	0	0.4	74	0
15	Apr_24_2015	83.97	98.17	104.35	107.57			107.34(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	63	-10000	9	223	0.85	75%	0.42	60.1	2.31%	0	1.3	88	0

16	Apr_23_2015	83.62	97.25	103.06	106.44			107.85(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	62	-10000	8	224	1.11	76%	0.41	51.4	2.33%	0	1.5	87	0
17	Apr_22_2015	83.28	96.35	101.54	105.42			107.98(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	-10000	13	223	1.15	76%	0.42	48.7	2.35%	0	1.8	85	0
18	Apr_21_2015	82.93	95.54	99.92	103.88			109.19(3.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	65	-10000	17	209	1.35	76%	0.44	46.7	2.34%	0	2.3	79	0
19	Apr_20_2015	82.57	94.68	97.93	101.84			105.51(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	-10000	10	170	1.25	77%	0.38	46	2.31%	0	2.1	68	0
20	Apr_17_2015	82.26	94.11	96.22	100.7			101.66(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-10000	14	142	1.77	75%	0.26	52.6	2.32%	0	1.7	63	0

21	Apr_16_2015	82.05	93.82	94.93	99.13			102.76(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	-10000	18	121	1.75	75%	0.35	54	2.33%	0	2.2	74	0
22	Apr_15_2015	81.76	93.25	93.55	97.04			100.29(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	-10000	16	87	1.16	70%	0.36	48.8	2.32%	0	2	67	0
23	Apr_14_2015	81.47	92.82	92.62	95.3			98.97(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	-10000	17	57	1.39	70%	0.3	44.2	2.38%	0	2	60	0
24	Apr_13_2015	81.23	92.4	92.05	93.39			99.83(6.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	24	-10000	21	32	2.43	72%	0.36	33	2.38%	0	2.6	59	0
25	Apr_10_2015	80.94	91.85	91.38	91.11			93.81(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10000	10	-11	0.78	69%		11.8	2.29%	0	0.8	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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