Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 25, 2015

Trading Signals: INCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Incyte Corp)
INCY latest price $85.6500 (5.52%) ($80.4500 - $85.7100) on Wed. Feb. 25, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.52% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $85.6500(5.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   INCY advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   INCY advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support INCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(65%)    XBI(57%)    XLV(49%)    QQQ(43%)    SPY(41%)
Factors Impacting INCY price   INCY will decline at least -1.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    UUP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.26% (StdDev 2.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.57(3.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.92(7.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.58(9%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.1%
Market Cap   $18.678b

Incyte Corp. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics. Its portfolio includes compounds in various stages, ranging from preclinical to late stage development, and commercialized products such as JAKAFI (ruxolitinib), and ICLUSIG (ponatinib). The company was founded by Roy A. Whitfield in April 1991 and is headquartered in Wilmington, DE.

$. INCY price fluctuates within 4.12% (three month std-dev: 2.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2015	70.88	78.58	79.92	82.57			85.65(5.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	41	-10000	13	124	1.5	58%	0.57	24	2.52%	0	2.2	85	0
2	Feb_24_2015	70.48	78.39	78.96	81.24			81.17(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	-10000	7	105	0.81	58%	0.5	22	2.46%	0	0.9	65	0
3	Feb_23_2015	70.13	78.43	78.42	80.56			83.41(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	-10000	15	90	1.15	60%	0.54	27.8	2.5%	0	1.6	61	0
4	Feb_20_2015	69.75	78.22	77.58	79.07			82.49(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	-10000	14	52	1.18	60%	0.53	26.4	2.5%	0	1.5	54	0
5	Feb_19_2015	69.38	77.96	76.82	77.7			80.15(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	9	10	0.88	58%	0.49	17.4	2.47%	0	0.8	44	0

6	Feb_18_2015	69.04	77.81	76.1	76.87			78.97(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	5	-31	0.77	58%	0.45	11.2	2.48%	0	0.4	40	0
7	Feb_17_2015	68.73	77.73	76.1	76.36			77.8(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	4	-60	1.08	58%	0.7	13	2.48%	0	0	32	0
8	Feb_13_2015	68.25	77.58	75.77	75.97			75.94(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-20	-10000	1	-83	1.28	58%	0.41	12.5	2.46%	0	-0.6	26	0
9	Feb_12_2015	67.97	77.46	76.11	75.85			75.66(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-21	-10000	1	-87	1.32	58%	0.4	10.5	2.46%	0	-0.6	39	0
10	Feb_11_2015	67.7	77.49	76.63	75.77			75.96(-0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	-10000	6	-77	1.19	58%	0.43	11.8	2.47%	0	-0.5	48	0

11	Feb_10_2015	67.41	77.51	77.14	75.18			76.46(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-10000	1	-79	0.72	58%	0.45	13.6	2.47%	0	-0.4	49	0
12	Feb_9_2015	67.11	77.38	77.76	75.08			75.81(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	-5	-69	0.63	58%	0.42	10.8	2.48%	0	-0.5	48	0
13	Feb_6_2015	66.83	77.23	78.45	75.59			75.35(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-9	-40	0.64	58%	0.41	12.5	2.48%	0	-0.6	56	0
14	Feb_5_2015	66.56	77.16	78.93	76.46			75.25(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-13	-8	0.97	58%	0.42	19.7	2.49%	0	-0.6	60	0
15	Feb_4_2015	66.28	77.14	79.23	77.68			73.02(-3.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-9	-10000	-17	17	1.84	56%	0.38	32	2.46%	0	-1.2	47	0

16	Feb_3_2015	66.03	77.12	79.76	79.37			75.96(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-15	53	1.74	60%	0.44	41.6	2.41%	0	-0.3	52	0
17	Feb_2_2015	65.74	77.05	79.98	80.79			78.38(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	17	-10000	-9	96	1	63%	0.46	53.6	2.37%	0	0.4	65	0
18	Jan_30_2015	65.44	76.83	79.65	81.7			79.71(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	31	-10000	-0	125	0.7	70%	0.48	64	2.42%	0	0.8	70	0
19	Jan_29_2015	65.13	76.5	79.03	81.74			81.34(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10000	7	117	0.84	70%	0.48	69.3	2.74%	0	1.3	70	0
20	Jan_28_2015	64.82	76.07	78.48	80.99			81.44(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	7	111	1.54	70%	0.5	62.2	2.74%	0	1.5	65	0

21	Jan_27_2015	64.5	75.68	77.93	80.19			83.07(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	-10000	11	116	1.05	72%	0.48	55.6	2.72%	0	2.2	74	0
22	Jan_26_2015	64.19	75.19	76.93	79.06			82.95(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	37	-10000	16	98	1.91	72%	0.5	49.2	2.76%	0	2.8	65	0
23	Jan_23_2015	63.87	74.59	75.82	77.34			79.9(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	-10000	13	67	1.25	72%	0.46	33.9	2.73%	0	2.5	62	0
24	Jan_22_2015	63.58	74.07	75.12	75.94			77.61(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	3	40	0.86	71%	0.41	13.3	2.77%	0	2	60	0
25	Jan_21_2015	63.32	73.95	74.78	75.58			77.43(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	-10000	2	38	1.37	73%		17.8	2.77%	0	2	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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